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Character Battle VII Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:10:14 PM | message detail | #001
The "oh god its block time" Edition

Welcome to the 40th annual Contest Analysis Crew topic! We thank you for sticking with us over the years.

Okay, so it isn't that old, but we've been going strong since Spring 2004, and another four-way contest won't stop us now!

For those who are new here, the Contest Analysis Crew (or The Crew, or AC, whatever you want to call us) is a group of users who know how these Contests work. Our duty is to analyze each match and predict who will win each match and the percentages each character will get. We might not be 100% right, but then again, who is?

So, it's time for me to find my Crew members. In order to build a strong Crew, I'm going to have to travel across the whole land!

My name is Master Moltar, the self-proclaimed leader of the Crew!

*after 30 minutes of dialogue skipping and random running around*

Moltar: Hey, it's my good friend Heroic Mario. We've known each other for years, and-

HM: You want me on your Crew? Sure!

Random person: Hey, there's trouble in the next town!

*an hour later*

Moltar: We got here too late, darn it!

Yoblazer: When I find out who did this, they'll pay for ruining my village! My name is Yoblazer btw.

Moltar: So your name is Yoblazer. Didn't you win a contest a while back? How about you join my Crew.

Yoblazer: Okay!

*3 hours later*

Lopen: Look at me, I'm Lopen, a bad guy who's going to steal your money to help save my dying sibling!

Moltar: No, join my crew instead Lopen, you who likes to make those crazy upset picks.

Lopen: Okay I'll forget about my bitter past and look forward to a bright future with my new friends!

*10 hours later*

Moltar: So we've traveled across nearly the whole continent, but I don't think my partner is big enough.

Tran: 5 people is plenty!

Moltar: 5...wait, how long have you been here, Transience, he who joined for the CB6 Crew?

Yoblazer: He popped up around 7 hours ago.

Lopen: Yeah, he and HM just keep going back and forth

HM: zack zack zack

Tran: tim tim tim

*20 hours later*

Moltar: So we're almost at the end of journey and-

Ngamer: Wait, I want to come along.

Moltar: Ngamer? The mysterious figure from my past who was hinted at through various dream sequences? You've never been on a Crew before!

Ngamer: I'm ready to learn.

*10 hours later right before the final boss*

Moltar: Well then, I guess our Crew is complete!

???: Not yet!

Moltar: Why look, it's everyone from my hometown. I guess I can pick one Guest to join me on the Crew from the upcoming challenges! Here's who I plan to pick so far.

L-Block/Meta Knight/Ryu/The Dog - Big Bob
Alucard/Capt. Falcon/ Diddy/ Kratos A. - greatone10
Arthas/Ike/Pikachu/Spy - Biolizard

DK/Tails/Tidus/Cube - nintendogirl1
Banjo/Olimar/Mega Man/Nero - gamer88coool
Dedede/Pit/Ryu H./Zero - DaruniaTheGoron
Wesker/Sackboy/Snake/Vivi - NotTerrafire

Chris/Fox/Sora/TIM - Soul
CATS/Nathan/Squall/Yoshi - SFF_potential
Axel/Cloud/Midna/Miles - Turtle
Mewtwo/Ness/Pac-Man/Travis - Warning



10 posts about a tetris piece coming soon
DpObliVion | Posted 9/30/2008 8:16:35 PM | message detail | #002
Before everyone asks:

Guest writeups are sent to mastermoltar@gmail.com

---
NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:31:22 PM | message detail | #003
goddammit why am i so augh

Oh, and here's another link I've seen requested a few times. Here's the link to look at past Crew write-ups for previous contests.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/9
---
Moltar Status: augh
Amaterasu/Crono/Frank/Kaim - Bracket: Crono > Ammy - Vote: Ammy (38/48)
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:35:20 PM | message detail | #004
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 14 – L-Block vs. Meta Knight vs. Ryu vs. The Dog

Moltar’s Analysis

L-Block
Game/Series Known From: Tetris
2007 Results: 2nd Place in Round 1 vs. Kirby, Laharl and Nathan
2nd Place in Round 2 vs. Kratos, Kirby and Donkey Kong
2nd Place in Round 3 vs. Solid Snake, Kratos and Riku
1st Place in Round 4 vs. Solid Snake, Sonic and Squall
1st Place in Round 5 vs. Solid Snake, Master Chief and Dante
1st Place in Round 6 vs. Link, Cloud and Solid Snake

Like a Katamari, becoming stronger over time and only causing more destruction

Meta Knight
Game/Series Known From: Kirby
2007 Results: 2nd Place in Round 1 vs. Sephiroth, Peach and CATS
3rd Place in Round 2 vs. Sephiroth, Fox and Wario

Brawl Character #12, Victory is his destiny!

Ryu
Game/Series Known From: Street Fighter
2007 Results: 1st Place in Round 1 vs. Bowser, Mewtwo and Toad
2nd Place in Round 2 vs. Auron, Bowser and Shadow
2nd Place in Round 3 vs. Cloud, Auron and Marcus Fenix
4th Place in Round 4 vs. Cloud, Samus and Mega Man

The lone-Street Fighter this time around

The Dog
Game/Series Known From: Duck Hunt
2007 Results: N/A

Part of the Character Battle ’08 Joke Character Initiative

This is it. This is the Round 1 match that scares me the most. A lot of brackets can and will be busted by this match, and there’s not even a Noble Nine character anywhere in sight!

“Hey, it’s L-Block! He won the contest last year!”

Why, look, it is Billy the Casual Bracketmaker! Looks like you remember L-Block’s meteoric rise to Character Battle champion last year. But here’s the biggest question going into this match, will L-Block strength and momentum carry over from last contest?

“Why do you ask that? He won! Of course he’s strong!”

Really? Remember back in Round 1 when L got second place to Kirby. It only made it to the second round because 1) Its other opponents were weak as sin (hmm) and 2) It’s a Tetris piece, and everyone has played Tetris, so it’s extremely recognizable. After that Round 1 match, L-Block started to build a base. It was able to make it through Round 2 because of the split between Kirby and DK, as well as having a following starting to back it. Once Round 3 hit and it performed well with Snake in the poll, most saw that it was only getting stronger. There would always be a percent of votes that would vote it over anyone. No one could stop it, and it even managed to topple Link and Cloud at the end.

“Okay, so what does that have to do with anything?”

Well, L only got as strong as it did because it was able to capitalize off its earlier wins on weaker opponents. If it had two strong competitors to face in Round 1, like Kirby and Squall or something, it wouldn’t have made it out of the group. This year, instead of Laharl and Nathan Fail to pick on, it has Meta Knight and The Dog, along with a strong opponent in Ryu. This could be it. This could be the year that kills L once and for all.

“Wow, you really think L-Block will lose in Round 1.”

There’s a chance, but I’m taking that chance. For L to win here, it would need to carry over its following from last year. Now if you remember, a lot of people were in on the joke, and even people from other sites came to support the block. However, a joke is only funny for so long. There are still some who will be voting for the Block non-stop, but others are over it. It will be impossible to know for sure until the match actually begins, but it already beat Link and won a contest, so there isn’t much more it can do.

“So…what do you think will happen?”
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:35:43 PM | message detail | #005
Well, Billy, I believe that Ryu will take first. Even if the Block does have some of its momentum from last year, Ryu is very strong in this format. Last year, he only crumbled once he faced top characters. Meta Knight in second place is a bit of a stretch, as he’s already a low-rung Nintendo character. He only got to Round 2 because Nintendo fans like him more than Peach (which, uhh, makes sense). Plus, in both his matches, he had to face other popular Nintendo/Smash characters, so he should look much better this year. He also has BRAWLFEAR in his corner, and that should help as well.

Now for The Dog. Yes it’s a joke character like L, but it’s also a bad joke character. Why would you like The Dog from Duck Hunt geez? Regardless, it will get votes and it could potentially tap into L’s joke vote pool because people will be looking for “the next L-Block”. It does look really good in the match picture too…hmmm.

“So, you think Ryu and Meta Knight will advance”

Eh, it’s less what I think will happen than it is what I hope will happen. L’s biggest hurdles this year are Round 1 and 2. If it can advance, then we’ll see a repeat of last year. The key to killing L is to kill it early. Last year, the competition was just too weak to allow for this. This time, there’s Ryu and Meta in Round 1, and Crono in Round 2. There is a very good possibility that people will still support L. I hope people have realized that this joke lost its funny a long time ago, but then again, I may just be giving humanity too much credit.

“Wow, Moltar, you sound like you have a vendetta against L-Block. What’s wrong, are you upset that it ruined your bracket. Are you sad I make a mockery of your precious contest? Are you mad because I screwed you out of having a top bracket?

You…you’re not Billy! I can’t believe it’s you, L-Block!

Well done, Moltar. You figured it out. But you should know it’s too late for anyone who wants to see me lose. I have the hearts of the people now. I am unstoppable, and there’s no way I will lose this contest! I am no ordinary character, I am a Tetris Piece, fueled by the masses!

Die monster! You don’t belong in this Contest!

It was not by my hand that I am once again in these Contests. I was called here by humans who wish to nominate me again.

Nominate!?! You steal men's souls, and make them vote for you!

Perhaps the same could be said of all characters.

Your words are as empty as your character depth! GameFAQs ill-needs a character such as you!

What is a character? *tosses T-Block to the floor, causing it to shatter* A miserable little pile of fanbases! But enough talk... have at you!

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Ryu > L-Block (yeah I changed my bracket like the day after I wrote this and I think L will win but I’m too lazy to change this creation I made)

(i mean just look at it goddam)

Moltar’s Prediction is: Ryu: 35% - L-Block: 28% - Meta Knight: 21% - The Dog: 16%



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

l-block sighting

This match cracks me up. The arguments I've seen for this one range from 'what' to 'well then.' I'm not sure if Block winning last year has created some sort of backlash on the board or what, but there's some major Block underestimation going on. Some have said it's not even going to advance here, with Meta-Knight using - wait for it - Joke SFF to his advantage to slip by. You know it's time to retire the character battles when we're talking about Joke SFF. What does that even mean?

(the funny is split joke characters have no chance serious character breaks through watch out - 'what')
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:36:28 PM | message detail | #006
I can't believe that The Dog is going to have enough pull to beat, or hinder, the Block. Best to keep in mind that this thing beat Link and Cloud with ease last year in the final. You can make an argument that it might not have the same strength right off the back, but I don't think so. The Block is a known quantity now - people know what it's capable of doing, unlike last year where it picked up steam each match by winning where it shouldn't have. I think the support for Block will only falter if the joke is 'old' - not that there was much of a joke with it to begin with. If that's the case, it could lose to Meta-Knight, but that's a dramatic drop I don't see happening.

The bigger question isn't whether or not Block advances so much as who comes in first - Ryu or Block? If Block beats Ryu here, we can pretty much call this contest right away. Block won't lose if it comes in first off the bat, because it'd be a guarantee for round 2 - and if it wins there it's off to win the contest again. I think Block's going to be a little weaker this year, enough that Ryu wins this round. I almost have to predict Ryu ahead of Block because I have it losing in round 2.

But I wouldn't mind it going out early, provided it's not The Dog advancing. This contest is much more interesting later on if the Block isn't there to mess up another Vincent/Crono exchange. Come on Joke SFF don't let me down

Prediction: Ryu - 35% ; L-Block - 25% ; The Dog - 20% ; Meta-Knight - 20%
Bracket: Ryu > Block
Vote: Ryu


Yoblazer’s Analysis

Welcome to hell. After what seemed like a lifetime of anxious waiting, we've finally reached the most disputed, most debated, most hotly anticipated match of the first round. This ain't no Peach/Daisy, folks. In fact, this may be both the most important first round match ever and the most important match (period) of this entire tournament. Why? Because this match can potentially decide the direction of the whole contest. Yes, it can mean everything. I've said this before, so forgive me if I sound like a broken record, but if this match plays out a certain way, 90%+ of the Gurus may as well burn their brackets. How can a mere Round 1 match be so damn huge? Let's take a long look...

There's one reason, more than any other, why we've been waiting for this match on pins and needles: joke characters. They are back (in greater numbers than last year), and they are the crux of this bracket. Gracing us with his angular presence tonight is the king of all joke characters: L-Block, our returning champion. L-Block rode a tsunami of ever-increasing momentum last year on his way to the title, and that leads us to our first big question: how strong will L-Block be in his first match back? Will he be as weak as he was in his first match last year? If so, he'll almost certainly lose this. Will he be as strong as when he beat Link and Cloud? If so, he'll tear this poll apart. Personally, I think he'll be in a healthy middle. No, he won't beat Link and Cloud tomorrow, but he should have retained enough of his oomph and static fanbase to do well here.

Time for me to be honest. I'm not necessarily happy with the idea of joke characters doing well. To me, it sort of renders all this lovely discussion and debate useless. My bracket reflected this attitude for nearly the entire prediction period. I only changed it (my bracket is now joke-i-fied; I have Block, WCC, and Sandbag all doing extremely well) after I was slapped in the face with this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3240
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:37:09 PM | message detail | #007
That... is the sort of thing that makes you think. In a poll of who the GameFAQs voters thought would repeat, L-Block held his own against both Link and Cloud, and "another gimmick character" crushed every other option. Taking the aggregate, this poll suggests that L-Block + Other Joke Characters = Link + Cloud + The Rest of the Field in victory probability, at least in the eyes of our voters. I saw this and immediately retooled my bracket while the rest of the board (and sorry if this sounds disrespectful) chose to stay blissfully ignorant, pretending the poll never even occurred. Well, it did occur. Yes, I've heard the arguments regarding how this is showing us what the voters think will happen, not what they want to happen. While this is true, I argue that no character can go from staying even with Link and Cloud in one poll (any poll) to getting their ass kicked by Kirby two weeks later (L-Block easily lost to Kirby in his first match last year).

Believe what you will, but that poll suggests L-Block is starting on a higher level than he was last year. Still choosing to close your eyes and stick two fingers in your ears? Here:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2497

Are you kidding me? Would Snake have won that poll so easily in 2005? In 2004? Snake won that poll like butter and went on to win the male bracket like even butterier butter. Like it or not, even in polls that ask for the contrary, voters are swayed by their most favored options. That 15% L-Block put up on Link and Cloud two weeks ago won't just melt away tonight. That 35% "other joke characters" put up won't simply disappear, either. Wait. Other joke characters. I thought there was something about other joke characters... what was it; it was right under my nose... oh yeah.

The Dog. The damned Dog. Our second entrant, and the only thing likely to hurt L-Block for rounds and rounds, is The Dog. Hailing from Duck Hunt, The Dog is very similar to the Tetris piece in that he is a pure joke character. A huge chunk of this guy's votes will be sapped directly from the stronger Block. Now, I won't lie and pretend to know how strong The Dog will be. Hell, I initially had him in the finals (this was when I first put my bracket together in two minutes while nearly pissing myself with joke fear, but still), and now I have him getting last place here, proving I still have no idea how he'll do. He may do alright, but I certainly don't expect him to take the lion's share of joke support from L-Block, thus limiting his potential. I think he'll end up somewhere in the mid teens. Plus, I heard that no one likes this dog, anyway! ****ing mutt. ****ing mutt I'll teach ya to laugh at me you flea ridden sack of ok moving on.

Now, they can't all be joke characters, and luckily for us, we're blessed with two very legit dudes. They are Ryu, our ever consistent Street Fighter veteran, and Meta Knight from the Kirby series (and, more importantly, BRAWL). Ryu is the massive Board 8 favorite for first place here, and rightfully so. He is one of our most consistently strong characters ever, and he had an amazing 2007. Ryu took advantage of two consecutive Nintendo fanbase splits to make the division finals, where he then took advantage of Cloud's presence to sprint past Auron and into the quarterfinals.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:37:32 PM | message detail | #008
While I think Ryu can easily win this match by a very healthy percentage (being that the other three guys are all huge question marks), I think the people expecting him to outdo his Round 1 performance from last year are a bit too blinded by their L-Block hate. Last year, Ryu scored a great 36% in Round 1, but he did it against Bowser, Mewtwo, and Toad. In other words, he did it against the biggest, most amazing Nintendo fanbase split any character could ask for. The fact that his opponents are more diverse this year (never mind the fact that they could easily be stronger), should knock Ryu down a peg or two. Once again, he definitely can pull a great win given favorable circumstances such as The Dog overperforming, but I feel L-Block will make this one close.

Our final entrant, Meta Knight, is a very unknown quantity despite the fact that we saw him twice last year. He has gotten Brawl since then, but I'm believing more and more that the Brawl release won't do much above and beyond the Brawl hype he already had. No, I think Meta Knight has a wide range because both his 2007 matches were all sorts of ****ed up. In two matches, MK saw nothing but Sephiroth and other Nintendo characters (most of them being very far down the Nintendo SFF ladder). That won't tell us much about any character, and this is no exception. With all this uncertainty, I think the best way to peg Meta Knight would be to pit him against the consistent Ryu. For some reason, I keep thinking of a standard 60/40 result when I think of these two squaring off, so I kept that proportion for them here.

Overall, none of us really know what's going down tonight, other than it being BIG and possibly shaping the rest of this contest. Most Board 8ers I've spoken to are very critical of L-Block's chances, as was I up until a few weeks ago. However, I think there's a big difference between us and the people who make up 99% of the votals. We've had a year to digest this L-Block crap. He ruined our brackets. He made our analyses seem useless. He dried up all stats discussion for ten solid months (seriously, what the **** was there to talk about?). We've long since been sick of him. That's Board 8.

"Oh hey, it's L-Block again! Man, that was a hilarious day last year." *click*

That's everyone else. While I won't make any bets on this uncertain a match, I can't shake the suspicion that L-Block will start to murder this thing after the first update (when most of us will be frantically anti-voting him). Guess we'll have to just wait and see!

And hey, for all this trash talking about the joke characters, their presence sure does produce some lengthy write-ups!

L-Block - 33%
Meta Knight - 21%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 32%
The Dog - 14%



Lopen’s Analysis

Isn't it cool for your make or break match to be in round 1? A lot of people have L-Block taking the bracket again. A lot of people have him going out in round 1. And the crazy thing is... BOTH ARE VERY POSSIBLE.

Me? If you remember last year, I think you know what I gambled on. DIE L-BLOCK DIE. But... I won't risk my bracket on any old terrible pick, even one that involves a character I hate, not without a good reason. Are there reasons to doubt L-Block this year? Absolutely, there are. Let me break em down for ya.

-In round 1, L-Block has The Dog there. We saw after the tournament last year in the exhibition match where ? Block laid the smack down... L-Block voters are not exactly the most loyal, despite what his seemingly static percentage implies. Against normal entries, sure, but fellow jokes? I would imagine Duck Hunt is one of the few games that exist that can say "yes, I hold a candle to the playrate of Tetris." Game was packaged with the NES, remember? People will know who The Dog is, his potential is great. People hate him... but that's part of the humor.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:38:10 PM | message detail | #009
-I forecast a decrease in L-Block strength this year. I think the joke, along with all joke entries, are largely shock-driven in their appeal. Personally the only truly funny joke entry events last year were the beginning of Bidoof's R2 match and L's R1 match, for me. By the time R2, R3, etc hit for the L, we'd already analyzed it to death and were humoring an L victory in the next round. I don't think the general voters expected as much, and as such the shock value was still strong. The pre-contest poll indicated that around 30% of GameFAQs expects L-Block or some other joke entry to repeat, meaning the shock value is largely gone.

-In round 2, L faces the perfect L stomping squad, but that's for R2, if he makes it that far.

Meta-Knight showed some reasonable strength last year, somehow, and with him being one of the most popular Brawl characters with some of the least exposure beforehand, he's sure to go up more than most. Assuming he can avoid getting blown out by Ryu, Dog joke SFF + a slight L decrease should bring L's floor low enough for Meta-Knight to win.

Lopen's prediction:
Ryu – 36.09%
Meta-Knight – 26.02%
L-Block – 24.11%
The Dog – 13.78%



Transience’s Analysis

time to write about the single most important first round match of all time. Starcraft/Halo's reign is over. this match is quite possibly the best (only?) chance to kill The Block -- if this thing gets past round 2, it's going to be unbeatable unless some other weird fad ends up in a match with it.

anyway, let me pick apart some arguments that have been made over the past couple of months about the Block:

Argument: L-Block will suck this year because the joke is old.

my thoughts: this is so incredibly incorrect. Wylvane doesn't really say much, he mostly just sits there and trolls people while laughing the entire time. he's kind of an idiot. but he's absolutely right about one thing: if there's one truth about the internet, it's that they'll beat a joke to death and then beat it some more. just last week, we saw friggin' Mudkip win some updates on Mega Man X. Mudkip is the oldest, lamest joke on the internet, and yet people still vote for it. CATS is coming up on ten years old and people still vote for it. I think a lot of people using this argument have just spent too much time on board 8 - for most people, this was a random thing that happened a year ago and was never thought about since, if you asked the average person, "hey, remember when the Tetris Block won that GameFAQs contest?", most people's responses would be "ha, yeah, that was awesome." this is not something they've dealt with every week for the
past year. it's new, it's exciting, and people are going to vote for it.

and let's not forget that L's got a truckload of brackets behind it now.

Argument: L-Block needs momentum in order to repeat, and he just won't have time to build up momentum when he's got Ryu and Meta-Knight right off the bat.

my thoughts: I disagree - people remember L-Block. we had a poll the other day where about 15% of the voters said L-Block was going to win - as many as Cloud or Link got - and then another 34% voted "Another gimmick character will win the character battle". people remember this and it's going to start out stronger than 2007 round 1 - which, by the way, rolled up some 30% in round 1 regardless. now, this pack is certainly stronger than last year's, and I don't think it'll be at the same "alert the entire internet, L-Block's in a match" level that it was at for the finals last year, but people will be ready, there will probably be linkage from various sites, and L-Block almost definitely starts out the poll with a huge lead like always. put another way, I don't expect L-Block to decline.

Argument: The Dog will "joke SFF" L-Block.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:38:36 PM | message detail | #010
my thoughts: ha. man, who knows here. the idea of "joke SFF" is so dumb, and yet it makes sense - we saw what happens to The Block last year when it faced other joke characters in that bonus match: it lost to ? block. if you believe in joke characters getting a relatively static percentage - and by now, it's all but proven given L's matches - then the only thing stopping L from getting that 28% every match is another joke character.

the problem is, how strong is The Dog? seriously, how do you gauge that thing? it seems to me like it'd get some 12-15% in a match without another joke character. where does the "joke fanbase" (oh god overanalysis) side here, with a Tetris Block or the dick from Duck Hunt that laughs at you? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lzLwvfiBZs8 aww yeah who wants some

I'll tentatively say that The Dog will impede L, but it's impossible to say by how much - for all we know, The Dog could be the new Block and kick ass. or it could bomb. who knows?


---

now then. let's move on to the other main question -- how strong is Meta-Knight?

it's difficult to gauge Meta-Knight from last year because it went up against another Nintendo character and a joke character, and then against two other Nintendo characters in round 2. Meta-Knight looked to be around the fodder line though, and now he's TOP TIER STUPID BROKEN SPAM TORNADO INFINITE CAPE GLITCH JACKASS Knight, so I imagine he's gained a bunch of fans. I'll cautiously say that he's about the strength of Marth and just move on.

the thing is, Meta-Knight's strength doesn't really matter because the Block is a static entity. it's not going to get 40% just because Meta-Knight is weak. it's going to stay at that same boring 28%. the better question is, is Meta-Knight strong enough to get 28% with Ryu in the poll? Ryu is certainly stronger than Meta-Knight, one of our most consistent performers over the years and a guy you can count on to be of a certain strength. the worse Ryu does, the better chance Meta-Knight has of gobbling up percentage - L-Block's kryptonite would be two characters of equal strength and one weak as hell character. L-Block is just weird as hell and you have to think all stupid-like in order to figure out what's going to happen. can Meta-Knight perform well enough on Ryu in order to win? and can The Dog hold down Ryu? that's basically what this match comes down to.

I've been a big supporter of The Block, cheering for it, arguing like hell for it all throughout last year's run (got every match but the semifinals right in the Analysis Crew!), and argued a lot for it this year as well.. but for some reason, I've got Meta-Knight here. this is like the perfect storm for the Block to lose. two legit characters and a joke character that may hurt him. I think L + Dog will break 30%, but that split might not be so one-sided and Meta-Knight has to have gotten stronger now that Brawl is out. if he can pull 25%, the Block's reign of terror might be over. Meta-Knight pulled 20% on Sephiroth/CATS/Peach last year. I feel like betting against last year's contest champion is incredibly stupid and he's (it's?) going to embarrass me, but oh well. come on, SPAM KNIGHT oh god I hate fighting you I will never vote for you screw you Meta-Knight why did I do this

The Dog hurts L-Block
Meta-Knight's gotten stronger
Ryu kills them both

transience's dumb as hell prediction: Ryu with 36.01%, Meta-Knight with 25.45%, L-Block with 24.89%, The Dog with 13.65%



Ngamer’s Analysis

So it begins... the great battle of our time.

For the first time in history, we can honestly say that the most important match of the Contest takes place tomorrow... in the first round. What the wha? Let's jump right in!


Last Known Values
L - 64.83% (2007)
Ryu - 28.05% (2007)
Meta Knight - 22.80% (2007)
The Dog - new
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:39:12 PM | message detail | #011
The great battle is, in this case, BRAWLFEAR vs JOKEFEAR. Meta Knight's got alot going for him in this one- he was dismissed as "guy from a trailer" last season and some B8ers picked him to not only finish behind Peach, but behind CATS as well. (CATS!) Instead he proved that he's got a loyal Kirby following that stuck behind him and pushed him on to nice showings, even when SSB competition arrived in the form of Fox. He's still got that loyal Kirby backing, he's still got his very appealing character design, and now he's actually BEEN IN SSB as well. Where, just by the by, he's both a casual favorite and the undisputed #1 ranked choice on the pro-level tiers. Whoa! What could stand in the way of so many strong positive points?

Well, his opponent, uh... beat Link last year. Pretty easily. Does that count for anything? The crazy thing is, maybe it doesn't! Even though L ended the season as arguably the biggest powerhouse we've ever seen, he STARTED it not all that far above the fodder line, and had to rely on extremely fortunate bracket placement in order to survive in both round one and round two. Will the L-Block train need a few rounds to gain steam in '08? Will it even gain steam at all, or will the internet at large agree that the joke has grown stale and its time to move on? So many questions regarding JOKEFEAR, with so few answers to this point in the Contest... lucky for us those answers will be arriving in only a couple hours now.

Seems like an epicly close battle to this point- but what's this? It appears that SB has introduced a new twist that's going to tip the scales! In a brilliant move on his part, SB has decided to throw a major monkey wrench into L's gears right from the outset: not only are Ryu and Meta strong in their own right, and independent of each other so that both should perform at peak strength, L is also being challenged by a little something called Joke LFF! Could The Dog be L's perfect poison? I contend that it's more likely than you might think. He's an old school character that any gamer from the NES era should recognize, but he's also totally ridiculous and will look look just as out of place in the selection block as any other joke from this season. Plus, he got the perfect match pic! Let's not forget that the last time voters were offered a joke vote alternative to L-Block they jumped ship in droves, rallying ?-Block to a very easy victory over '07 champ- and this on the day when his strength should have been at its all-time height.

In summation, Ryu is great in this format and should perform like a champ tomorrow, Meta Knight is very good in this format and should perform well also, and even though L-Block outdid Kirby, there will be no Donkey Kong tomorrow to hold MK back- instead, Blocky's the one who will have to deal with LFF, and The Dog will be the key to his defeat.

(Now, how much of that writeup was honest reasoning versus wishful thinking? You decide!)

When we take all of that wall of text into consideration, convert it into numbers, and cook it up in the big ol' pot, we come out with

Ryu (Street Fighter) - 34.60%
Meta Knight - 26.85%
L-Block - 26.75%
The Dog - 11.80%

Death to the Block, you say? Why that sounds... delicious!

Ngamer Says: Ryu > Meta Knight



Guest’s Analysis - Big Bob

Oh yeah, I signed up for one of these things. Hm...

Well, L-Block won the contest last year. Big deal. He was riding on a high wave of momentum carried by the entire internet. People won't automatically rush to vote for him again in a little match like this. Sure, he'll be of decent strength, and if he wins this match he could possibly go on to win the entire thing again (assuming he gets past round 2), but I'm gonna go for the longshot and say he doesn't make it out of the first round.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:41:23 PM | message detail | #012
Why not? Well, Ryu looked great last year, and Street Fighter IV's been pretty heavily hyped, so he should maintain that strength. I'd say Ryu's got first. Now...I think Meta Knight has second here. He unexpectedly beat Peach and Wario last year, so he's got some strength behind him. New Kirby game that predominantly features him also just got released (though I really doubt it's that big), but I'm gonna go with BrawlFear here. Meta Knight is easily one of the most popular characters in the game, and I can see him getting a huge fanbase from Smash.

Not only that, but there's The Dog. While most people probably won't associate L-Block and The Dog as both joke characters, I must admit that many of the core fanbase on GameFAQs may abandon the block for what could possibly be their sole chance to vote for The Dog.

And if this analysis sounds half-assed, meh. I'm more interested in school and Mega Man 9 right now anyway.

Ryu - 39%
Meta Knight - 25%
L-Block - 22%
The Dog - 13%



Crew Consensus: So apparently you can win a contest, but the Crew still won't put you over Meta Knight of all characters in Round 1! Ryu > MK is the Crew pick, as you can see from the 10 posts of points we made (90% of them being "i hope this joke block loses c'mon voters save us")
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/30/2008 8:45:06 PM | message detail | #013
Huzzah! Regardless of the result, the LONG WINDED BLOWHARD AWARD OF REFUSING TO SHUT UP is mine once more!
---
Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
DpObliVion | Posted 9/30/2008 8:50:26 PM | message detail | #014
DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis:

Ugh, this match.

Originally I had L-Block all the way through to the finals finishing behind Link. Then I got to thinking that with the joke going all the way through once, it just wouldn't get the same kind of momentum needed again. I put L-Block into the second round, but not getting past the tough combo of Crono and Ryu.

For whatever reason, perhaps disdain for L-Block, I put him out in the first round, trying to rationalize Meta Knight getting a strong Nintendo/SSBB vote, and The Dog SFFing L-Block.

But....Meta Knight? Really? I just don't have that much faith in him anymore, and while I'm sure L-Block won't be near as strong as he was at the end of last year's contest, there should be enough left over voters to push him over Meta Knight.

Sigh....I had nine straight correct....I feel I will be falling short of double digits, though.

Of course, I could still be right, if I am wrong in thinking I overestimated Meta Knight.

Dp's bracket says: Ryu > Meta Knight

Confidence: 25%

Dp's prediction is: Ryu > L-Block

Confidence: 40%

Ryu - 35%
Meta Knight - 23.50%
L-Block - 24.50%
The Dog - 17%


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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008
trannyscience | Posted 9/30/2008 8:50:27 PM | message detail | #015
didn't beat me by much! let's do this
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xyzzy
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/30/2008 8:50:55 PM | message detail | #016
Surprising the consensus is that L goes out in the first round. I figured most would have him advancing here then bowing out to Crono/Ryu next round.
Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/30/2008 8:51:47 PM | message detail | #017
Moltar, I do an analysis each night on my home board, so would you mind if I posted them here like Oblivion does for his?
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Justin's CB Points: 42 | Points After this Round: 46
Today: Crono > Amaterasu | Tomorrow: Ryu > L Block
Master Moltar | Posted 9/30/2008 8:58:41 PM | message detail | #018
I'd rather you didn't. I don't mind if Dp does it because 1) He's been doing it for a long time and 2) He was on the original Crew waaaaaaaaaay back in 2004.

I suggest you post them in the Stats topic instead.
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Moltar Status: augh
L-Block/Meta Knight/Ryu/The Dog - Bracket: Ryu > L-Block - Vote: Meta Knight (42/52)
Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/30/2008 8:59:40 PM | message detail | #019
Okay no problem ^_^
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Justin's CB Points: 42 | Points After this Round: 46
Today: Crono > Amaterasu | Tomorrow: Ryu > L Block
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:02:59 PM | message detail | #020
Time for my analysis. Long analysis coming up.

Luster Soldier's analysis

Contest History from last year

L-Block
Round 1: 2nd place (30.89%) against Kirby (44.39%), Laharl (16.95%), and Nathan Hale (7.78%)
Round 2: 2nd place (28.33%) against Kratos (32.48%), Kirby (24.81%), and Donkey Kong (14.39%)
Round 3: 2nd place (28.63%) against Solid Snake (32.44%), Kratos (20.91%), and Riku (18.02%)
Round 4: 1st place (29.03%) against Solid Snake (28.86%), Sonic the Hedgehog (21.63%), and Squall Leonhart (20.49%)
Round 5: 1st place (34.63%) against Solid Snake (26.20%), Master Chief (24.04%), and Dante (15.13%)
Round 6: 1st place (33.51%) against Link (29.74%), Cloud Strife (24.49%), and Solid Snake (12.27%)
Bonus Match: 2nd place (30.03%) against ? Block (41.41%), Weighted Companion Cube (19.61%), and Paddle (8.95%)

Ryu (Street Fighter)
Round 1: 1st place (36.30%) against Bowser (28.62%), Mewtwo (24.95%), and Toad (10.14%)
Round 2: 2nd place (26.16%) against Auron (35.83%), Bowser (24.07%), and Shadow (13.94%)
Round 3: 2nd place (20.25%) against Cloud Strife (49.59%), Auron (18.16%), and Marcus Fenix (12.00%)
Round 4: 4th place (11.54%) aganist Cloud Strife (41.23%), Samus Aran (28.80%), and Mega Man (18.43%)

Meta Knight
Round 1: 2nd place (18.20%) against Sephiroth (55.23%), Princess Peach (15.35%), and CATS (11.22%)
Round 2: 3rd place (13.19%) against Sephiroth (57.11%), Fox McCloud (19.74%) and Wario (9.97%)

The Dog
New character with no past contest history.

Match Analysis

L-Block

L-Block, the winner of last year's contest and one of only two characters to topple Link, the other being Cloud. The returning champion has returned to try and defend his title. Last year, L-Block was heavily fueled by an internet-wide rally, mostly in the later rounds to lead up to his victory over Link. Certainly stunned all of us by winning the entire contest. L-Block gained quite a huge amount of momentum by the end of the contest and a good amount of that should carry over to this year's contest. A quick glance at the contest leaderboard shows 5 users with L-Block to win the entire contest, plus more users who were once on the leaderboard, but had fallen off. L-Block should definitely receive better bracket support from users voting according to their bracket. Almost no one really suspected L-Block to even come close to winning last year's contest, which of course shows less users supporting L-Block in their brackets.

An earlier poll before the contest started may give an idea of how L-Block will perform. The results:

Who do you think will win the Character Battle this year?
L-Block for the repeat! 15.43% 13576
Link will come back and reign supreme 16.37% 14405
Cloud will come back and win this year 14.47% 12733
Another popular character will take the throne 19.44% 17104
Another gimmick character will ruin everybody's brackets 34.28% 30154
TOTAL VOTES 87972

The way I interpret this, L-Block is surely going to get at least 13500 votes. That poll result doesn't even reflect all of the brackets that picked L-Block to go to round 2 or later, so L-Block will probably get a few thousand more votes. Add in internet rallying and the board vote, and L-Block is going to get at least 35000 votes. Which amounts to around 26.92% of all the total votes if the match got 130000 votes.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:03:01 PM | message detail | #021
L-Block hails from Tetris, an almost universally known game by all gamers. Who hasn't played Tetris, especially with it being released on almost every game system imaginable? Tetris being universally known gives L-Block an advantage over The Dog, a character that will be discussed later. L-Block's success in this match is on the shoulders of the users of GameFAQs heavily supporting L-Block, plus assistance from internet rallying. We have already seen Mudkip perform above expectations against Lloyd Irving, Tom Nook, and Mega Man X, so it's clear that Mudkip has not grown any weaker this year. Mudkip's success in his match gives me hope that L-Block also shall not significantly weaken from last year.

There were many L-Block supporters last year and many of them will continue to support L-Block in the upcoming match. L-Block may very well get by with little rallying, seeing as Mudkip was rallied by 4chan and that's about it. L-Block's biggest chance at advancing farther lays in rallying other internet sites and forums as early as possible into the match, plus building up a big lead as quick as possible. Any anti-votes for L-Block should have very little effect on his performance, since they can be split between 3 other characters. L-Block is caught up in a tougher fourpack this time, but should be able to take second place. L-Block's first match last year had him finishing almost 14% higher than Laharl, so replacing Kirby with a slightly more powerful midcarder, a low midcarder, and another fodder character should not make L-Block perform significantly worse against the expected 3rd place character.

Meta Knight

Kirby's short lived contest run last year at the hands of L-Block have led Meta Knight to finish slightly higher than Kirby in the x-stat rankings. Meta Knight's true strength has been masked by his first round match featuring Peach, a Nintendo character. Meta Knight was caught up in SFF with Peach, causing both of them to underperform. Meta Knight had to face triple Nintendo SFF in Round 2 and also looked horrible there too, leading the way for Sephiroth to overperform. Meta Knight is definitely weaker than Kirby, but stronger than Laharl.

Here, Meta Knight poses somewhat of a threat to L-Block, being stronger than both Laharl and Nathan Hale combined. Meta Knight's matches from last year came before the release of Brawl, with huge hype about Meta Knight being in the game itself. Now that Brawl finally be out for several months already, there's also the issue with BRAWLFEAR. I think Meta Knight might only get a very small boost here.

And if BRAWLFEAR wasn't enough, the release of Kirby Super Star Ultra 8 days ago may provide Meta Knight with a slight boost. Since the game has not been out for very long, it hasn't had quite a lot of time to sink into a lot of the gaming population. Any boost Meta Knight gets here should be almost negligible.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
trannyscience | Posted 9/30/2008 9:03:43 PM | message detail | #022
ha, it goes right over Luster's head.
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xyzzy
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:04:05 PM | message detail | #023
Ryu (Street Fighter)

Ryu is the lead fighter in the Street Fighter series, and does the best in the contests compared to other Street Fighter characters. He should easily take first. Street Fighter is probably the best known fighting series, with Street Fighter II on the SNES being among the best known representative of the series. Street Fighter IV was released on the Arcade about 3 months ago in Japan, with planned releases on the PC, PS3, and Xbox 360. It will be interesting to see if this has any effect on Ryu's performance.

The Dog

The character from Duck Hunt who catches the ducks you shoot and laughs at you when you mess up badly. I see The Dog as a slight threat to L-Block, but not quite as bad as Meta Knight. L-Block's bonus match from last year showed that L-Block could be SFFed, as 3 other joke characters in the same match provided users with other joke options to vote for. L-Block was effectively leached of its votes, allowing the famous ? Block from the Super Mario Bros. series to win instead. Some of us think that The Dog could leach votes from L-Block and while this could possibly occur, the degree of leaching should be way less severe than what was seen in the bonus match. In the bonus match, there were 3 other joke characters and no actual serious options available, leading the majority to side with the Nintendo option ? Block. As for here, only one other joke character exists to leach votes.

Duck Hunt, being a Nintendo game, may overlap with Meta Knight's fanbase enough to allow The Dog to SFF him. I personally wouldn't count on this happening, but it might weaken Meta Knight to allow L-Block to more easily take second. Many copies of Super Mario Bros. exist that also come with Duck Hunt on the same cartridge, so many users may associate Duck Hunt with Nintendo. Duck Hunt may be a common NES game to get ahold of, but it is not anywhere near to being universally known like Tetris is, which L-Block is at an advantage for.

Supporting The Dog by voting for him is a bad decision here. Man, you want to vote for a joke character who has a past history of success in the contests. That would be L-Block, who won last year's contest. The Dog is totally untested and if you want to rally behind a joke character to win the contest, The Dog is not a good option here with more votes going to L-Block instead. Had The Dog been put in a match without another joke character, then it would be okay to rally behind him.

Luster Soldier's prediction: L-Block with 27.60%, Meta Knight with 25.34%, Ryu with 35.16%, The Dog with 11.70%
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
FFDragon | Posted 9/30/2008 9:04:31 PM | message detail | #024
Captain Oblivious strikes again.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:06:13 PM | message detail | #025
Captain Oblivious strikes again.

Whatever. I can write an analysis of my own if I wish.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/30/2008 9:11:16 PM | message detail | #026
Good for you, Luster! Never let the man hold you back!
---
Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
DpObliVion | Posted 9/30/2008 9:14:21 PM | message detail | #027
DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis Revised:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb7/cb7-14.jpg

Seeing that match pic just gave me an urge of revived confidence in my bracket. I just don't get how a "joke voter" can see that and vote for L-Block instead of The Dog. Oh, the nostalgia....and the L-Block just looks so bland and boring in that pic. The Dog is fresh and cool!

SFF FTW.

Dp's bracket says: Ryu > Meta Knight

Dp's prediction is: Ryu > Meta Knight

Confidence: 200%

Ryu - 35%
Meta Knight - 24.50%
L-Block - 23.50%
The Dog - 17%

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008
trannyscience | Posted 9/30/2008 9:18:54 PM | message detail | #028
joke SFF due to pic factor confirmed
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xyzzy
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Lopen | Posted 9/30/2008 9:25:54 PM | message detail | #029
Get that out of here, Luster. What in the god damn your obliviousness is to the point of ridiculousness at times. This isn't the topic for that.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Lopen | Posted 9/30/2008 9:29:07 PM | message detail | #030
And yeah I pretty much agree with DpOblivion here. THE DOG's picture just shot my confidence up in L-Block losing. Unfortunately I'm not sure if THE DOG will be taking second or Meta-Knight will be now haha.

And what the hell HM why is it so hard to understand the concept of joke SFF we saw the block lose against ? Block last year.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:29:30 PM | message detail | #031
What in the god damn your obliviousness is to the point of ridiculousness at times.

I don't even know what you are talking about.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
FFDragon | Posted 9/30/2008 9:31:05 PM | message detail | #032
You see, that's exactly the point we're trying to make.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
Lopen | Posted 9/30/2008 9:33:57 PM | message detail | #033
Oh, you're oblivious to what I'm talking about big surprise.

You're free to write analyses, but that's not what this topic is for. It's like running into someone's contest analysis topic and posting all of yours in there. It's not even that I'm being elitist or something you're just basically trolling.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Ninja4820 | Posted 9/30/2008 9:34:18 PM | message detail | #034
epic lulz were had at the Symphony of the Night reference
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 9:40:04 PM | message detail | #035
You're free to write analyses, but that's not what this topic is for. It's like running into someone's contest analysis topic and posting all of yours in there.

The L-Block match is quite possibly the most important round 1 match, so I jumped the bandwagon and wrote one of my own. I will not be writing an analysis for any other round 1 matches at all. Now if L-Block advances, you'll see me write an analysis for each future match he's in, but not for any match that L-Block isn't in.

It's not even that I'm being elitist or something you're just basically trolling.

Nope, no trolling here.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
th3l3fty | Posted 9/30/2008 9:41:32 PM | message detail | #036
HAIL L-BLOCK
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
Lopen | Posted 9/30/2008 9:48:34 PM | message detail | #037
It's trolling because the topic creator kindly asked that you didn't do it but you did it anyway. You have "a right" to post your analyses, and you can use that handy "post new topic" button to do so without annoying anyone.

But anyway, whatever. Let's not detract from the EPIC MATCH.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 10:03:38 PM | message detail | #038
It's trolling because the topic creator kindly asked that you didn't do it but you did it anyway. You have "a right" to post your analyses, and you can use that handy "post new topic" button to do so without annoying anyone.

I consulted a lead mod about this and this is what he said about my analysis:

"There's virtually no chance a mod would bother checking into something that far, so I highly doubt it'd be moderated."
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
FFDragon | Posted 9/30/2008 10:05:27 PM | message detail | #039
From: FFDragon | Posted 9/30/2008 10:04:31 PM | message detail | #104
Captain Oblivious strikes again.

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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com//wesker.gif
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/30/2008 10:07:52 PM | message detail | #040
It's trolling because the topic creator kindly asked that you didn't do it but you did it anyway.

I did not see that post before I posted my analysis.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
DpObliVion | Posted 9/30/2008 10:08:39 PM | message detail | #041
DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis Re-Revised

Nah, L-Block is taking second, Meta Knight sucks....

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NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!
Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008
satai_delenn | Posted 9/30/2008 10:14:37 PM | message detail | #042
Oh man...I think Moltar's analysis is the most awesome thing I've seen in weeks. XD
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Attention, all yoctograms! (It's x2) DIE!
trannyscience | Posted 9/30/2008 10:17:04 PM | message detail | #043
http://youtube.com/watch?v=tMvgh9Afwmo
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xyzzy
http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/30/2008 10:17:14 PM | message detail | #044
Ashe's Absolutely Amazing Analysis!

Here we have the most important match by far. It's between Ryu - a contest veteran with a fair bit of strength, Meta Knight - A Nintendo character with awesome design who is also fresh off of Brawl and a remake of Kirby Superstar, where he is now playable, and two pieces of crap.

predix - ryu - 65%, meta knight - 35%, l-block - 0%, the dog - -0.01%

Was tempted to do an actual writeup just because of the Luster hate but luckily I'm a lazy bastard. You guys need to calm down though. <_<
Lopen | Posted 9/30/2008 10:22:33 PM | message detail | #045
I think it's more that Luster did it that annoyed me. It's like "hey I'm oblivious so I get to ignore things such as common courtesy and people will just say LUSTER'd" I swear the guy is not as dense as he lets off.
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Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude.
Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe
Kaxon | Posted 9/30/2008 11:01:06 PM | message detail | #046
Moltar's analysis today is epic. One of the best I've ever seen!
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I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
RaeSaraneth | Posted 9/30/2008 11:10:07 PM | message detail | #047
Dearest Lopen, just calm down :P Those analyses were too long tonight (ohno, reading)... Anyway, I have no faith in the dog, and have been refreshing the page to watch the little bars move (try it some time). I've got L-Block>Meta, though I think now that it's going to be Ryu in second. Figured there was enough gusto left over from the joke vote thing last year... so uh, go tetris?
^Doesn't count as an analysis :D
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^_^
RaeSaraneth | Posted 9/30/2008 11:17:55 PM | message detail | #048
And also I have to add that yes, Moltar's analysis was pretty damn epic.
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^_^
transience | Posted 10/1/2008 12:48:35 AM | message detail | #049
well uhh whoops there this goes contest
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xyzzy
"Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai
Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2008 12:53:15 AM | message detail | #050
thanks guys, was hoping you all would like it

As for today's match. Waaay to early to call things, but this is L's worst start so far. Who knows though, people might see it as a legit character and it may not completely collapse.

(c'mon ryu)
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Moltar Status: augh
L-Block/Meta Knight/Ryu/The Dog - Bracket: Ryu > L-Block - Vote: Meta Knight (42/52)
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