GameFAQs Contests
Character Battle VII Contest Analysis Crew
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/27/2008 9:53:34 PM | message detail | #401 |
|
I love you too Soul. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2008 9:54:04 PM | message detail | #402 |
|
KamikazePotato (#401) *slap* I called dibs on his babies first! --- i am false |
| Lopen | Posted 9/27/2008 9:59:38 PM | message detail | #403 |
|
You know, I thought Moltar's interview thingy was funny, but I think
Soul's stat hacking to make that sound like a viable pick was even
moreso. Let's go Soul! (Ironically, if GlaDOS does the reasonable upset pick, the crew gets shut out ha ha awesome) --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/27/2008 10:06:56 PM | message detail | #404 |
|
DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis: So once again, we have a very strong character guaranteed an easy first round victory with a division of 3 poor characters, and we're just left with a fight for second. Originally, I went with GlaDOS in 2nd here. A combination of L-Block's surprise success last year, the great popularity of Portal over the past year, and a lack of confidence in Falco. I still have a lack of confidence in Falco, but it's hard to not expect him to ride the Nintendo vote into the next round, and it's just too hard to trust a character like GlaDOS. Underestimating Portal can be a mistake, as it not only was very highly acclaimed, but it also seems to be a big hit amongst gamers who would frequent a site such as this. But instinct and contest knowledge tells me to trust Nintendo over an unknown. Dp's bracket says: Vincent > Falco Dp's prediction is: Vincent > Falco Vincent - 46% Falco - 26% GlaDOS - 21% Wander - 7% --- NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!! Character Battle VII *PRINTABLE BRACKET* - Look in my profile for links. GO SONIC |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2008 10:08:29 PM | message detail | #405 |
|
GlaDOS: I think it does, Moltar. The only voice throughout the game
worth listening to is mine, and I must say, that listening to my
beautiful soothing voice for 3 hours causes even those with the coldest
hearts to fall in love with me. XD --- Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/28/2008 5:11:03 AM | message detail | #406 |
|
Where do I e-mail my analysis again? --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/28/2008 9:18:49 AM | message detail | #407 |
|
mastermoltar@gmail.com And while I overrated Ganondorf yesterday, seems some of you equally overrated Vincent today. --- NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!! Character Battle VII *PRINTABLE BRACKET* - Look in my profile for links. GO SONIC |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 10:20:33 AM | message detail | #408 |
|
Frog......................24.24% 31076 Ganondorf...........43.86% 56235 KOS-MOS..............19.5% 25010 Neku Sakuraba....12.4% 15903 TOTAL VOTES..............128224 What Happened - Ganondorf dominates, and Frog easily gets the victory over KOS-MOS by a margin bigger than most expected. Neku was looking horrible at first, but once the match picture went up, he recovered and ended up looking not too bad. Why it Happened - Well, Ganondorf did about as expected, and even Frog did nothing out of the ordinary. KOS-MOS looked weaker than expectations, but that may just be either Xenosaga losing some relevance or RPG fans supporting Frog over her. What Will Happen - Samus/Nightmare/Ganondorf/Frog, eh, nothing really changes here. Samus and Ganondorf still look to be the best candidates to advance by a good margin. Crew Prediction Challenge - Yay everyone (except Lopen)! Guest - 7 HM - 6 Yoblazer - 6 Tran - 6 Ngamer - 6 Moltar - 5 Lopen - 4 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Ngamer nearly nails Ganondorf, Moltar gets the point for Frog and Neku, and HM gets the point for KOS-MOS. HM - 9 Yoblazer - 7 Ngamer - 7 Moltar - 6 Tran - 6 Lopen - 5 Guest (War, KP (2), Dp) - 4 --- Moltar Status: augh Falco/GlaDOS/Vincent/Wander - Bracket: Vincent > Falco - Vote: GlaDOS (30/40) |
| transience | Posted 9/28/2008 6:26:39 PM | message detail | #409 |
|
holy Soul --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/28/2008 6:27:25 PM | message detail | #410 |
|
Moltar, by what time tomorrow do I have to have emailed my analysis to you? --- Justin's CB Points: 34 | Points After this Round: 38 Today: Vincent > Falco | Tomorrow: Scorpion > Gordon Freeman |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/28/2008 6:34:23 PM | message detail | #411 |
|
I e-mailed my analysis! --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. Brawl FC: 3050-7287-5564 Kart FC: 3738-0020-0896 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 6:44:01 PM | message detail | #412 |
|
I got it! Guest Sign-ups for Divisions 5 and 6 are up. http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=45689987 --- Moltar Status: augh Falco/GlaDOS/Vincent/Wander - Bracket: Vincent > Falco - Vote: GlaDOS (30/40) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:19:30 PM | message detail | #413 |
|
Division 3: Round 1 - Match 12 – Balthier Bunansa vs. Big Daddy vs. Gordon Freeman vs. Scorpion Moltar’s Analysis Balthier Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy XII 2007 Results: 2nd Place in Round 1 vs. Ada, Frank and Jade 4th Place in Round 2 vs. Dante, Amaterasu and Ada Flopthier, how do you lose to ADA WONG goddam Big Daddy Game/Series Known From: Bioshock 2007 Results: N/A The scary daddy from one of the best games of 2007 makes his contest debut Gordon Game/Series Known From: Half-Life 2007 Results: 2nd Place in Round 1 vs. Duke, Ike and Guybrush 3rd Place in Round 2 vs. Sonic, Sub-Zero and Duke The lovable loser is turning into a lovable winner! Scorpion Game/Series Known From: Mortal Kombat 2007 Results: 1st Place in Round 1 vs. Midna, Kratos A. and Agent 47 2nd Place in Round 2 vs. Samus, Frog and Midna 4th Place in Round 3 vs. Samus, Mega Man and Yoshi Get over here! Well this is an…interesting match. For one, it’s one of the few matches with no Nintendo characters. Scorpion looks good for first. We saw him walk all over his Round 1 fourpack of Midna (speaking of flops…), Kratos Aurion and Agent 47. This fourpack should turn out to be stronger, but nothing Scorpion should have a problem with. Big Daddy is a nice upset pick for second. I mean, his opponents are Gordon Freeman (Never Wins) and the biggest flop of last year, Balthier. Bioshock, as I said before, was one of the best games of 2007, and GameFAQs received the game fairly well. I wouldn’t be shocked if he pulled off the upset, but I don’t expect it. I’m done putting any stock in Balthier after he ruined me last year. Combine that with Gordon looking a lot better contest wise since Half-Life 2 came out, and he’s almost guaranteed to take second. Gordon Freeman wins again, can’t believe this horrible trend is continuing! Moltar’s Bracket Says: Scorpion > Gordon Moltar’s Prediction is: Scorpion: 33% - Gordon: 28% - Balthier: 20% - Big Daddy: 19% Heroic Mario’s Analysis The only guarantee in this one is that Scorpion is going to advance. Who knows what happens between Balthier, Big Daddy, and Gordon Freeman. My first instinct was that Balthier is a clear second, but thinking about it how badly he did last year (losing to Ada Wong is pretty inexcusable for a FF character), Freeman didn't sound too bad. The question mark in this one is Big Daddy. Bioshock was a big hit here and abroad, doing well in that Game of the Year poll and sales, and Big Daddy no doubt has an 'iconic' look to him. He's distinctive - it's hard to confuse him with anything else. But, the problem is that he's not so much a character as he is a 'random' enemy. These things are big, menacing, almost like bosses if you choose to encounter them), and certainly memorable, but how many people care about them? Probably not too many. This more than likely comes down to Balthier and Gordon. As bad as it is to trust in Freeman winning a match, Balthier hasn't given a whole lot of reason to support him either. I think The Orange Box came out this past year, too, which has been something of a hit, so Freeman could maybe get a boost from more exposure there. Throw in the fact that he a more impressive showing last year and Gordon's the way to go. Prediction: Scorpion - 34% ; Gordon Freeman - 28% ; Balthier - 23% ; Big Daddy - 15% Bracket: Scorpion > Freeman Vote: Balthier Yoblazer’s Analysis Scorpion. Gordon Freeman. Big Daddy. Balthier "It's a Bonanza!" Bunansa. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:19:56 PM | message detail | #414 |
|
...I don't trust these guys. Seriously, there's just something "off"
here. Judging by any recent stats and a bit of common sense, the two
winners seem clear as day, but I can't shake the feeling that something
weird's going on behind the scenes. Ah well, it's probably nothing.
Let's take a look at this rather ordinary trio+1 of competitors. Scorpion, our longtime undead ninja friend and shouter of phrases awesome, is the comfy favorite. After some time off, he promptly returned last year and proved he didn't miss a step. Scorpion crushed the Board 8 favorite, Midna, in the first round, before easily disposing both Midna and Frog in his next match. He's back this year, and he's up against very beatable competition (that won't challenge him for the all-important casual vote), so he'll be on his way to another easy win, assuredly. The only guy with a shot of finishing anywhere near Scorpion's mark is Gordon Freeman, and boy, what a long way he's come. The Half-Life star is no longer cursed by his status as these contests' most lovable loser. Yes, by virtue of wins and respectable performances over the past few years, Gordy has improved his reputation by leaps and bounds, and the immensely popular Orange Box (released late last year), should help him maintain his newfound midcard status for a while. One potential disadvantage for Mr. Freeman is the possibility of a fanbase split with Big Daddy, one of the defining enemies from last year's Bioshock. Personally, I'm expecting very little from Big Daddy. Bioshock, while very critically acclaimed, didn't make much waves on GameFAQs, posting uninspiring numbers during the Game of the Year voting. In addition, the Daddy is... well... just an ordinary enemy. I get the feeling ordinary enemies wouldn't do well in these things unless they're instantly recognizable or are clearly intended as joke entries, and Big Daddy is neither. If there is a fanbase split with Gordon, it should be negligible at best. And then there is Balthier. It's a Bonanza with Balthier, alright! If I were to describe this match as a poll between Scorpion, Gordon Freeman, an enemy from a somewhat niche FPS, and the fan favorite from a multi-million selling PS2 Final Fantasy game, who would you take? You'd take Balthier, and you'd burn your bracket a week later. Trust me. We all did it. At first glance, Balthier has all the tools of someone who should excel in these contests. He's from a Final Fantasy game. It's on the PS2. It has sold millions. It was the first real Final Fantasy game in five years. He is clearly the fan favorite from this game. Dude, this sounds like Auron. He'll, at the very least, it's Vivi. Unfortunately, Balthier crashed through the bottom level everyone gave him and proceeded to dig underground for a few miles (you know, for good measure). He lost to Ada Wong last year. Twice. In the process, he proved that absolutely no one gives two flying craps about FFXII or anyone from it. I tried to convince myself that Balthier might do better because he's the only RPG character in the poll and because of that tiny Gordon/Daddy split. But he won't. He'll suck dingleberries yet again. I've been perpetually lowering my prediction percentage for this guy all day, and it still seems too high! Why, this is a... it's a... IT'S A BONANZA!!! Balthier Bunansa - 21% Big Daddy - 16% Gordon Freeman - 28% Scorpion - 35% |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:20:37 PM | message detail | #415 |
|
Lopen’s Analysis This is the kind of match that looks tough on paper, until you read the page where Balthier lost to Ada Wong in a rout last year. I'm thinking there might be some sorta... crazy... Big Daddy/GFNW overlap, but even with that, I'm thinking Gordon has this well under control. Only, however, because Scorpion is strong enough to waylay this pack... otherwise I'd take Balthier to have a decent chance, yes you heard me, a decent chance at beating Gordon Freeman, last year's performances and X-Stats be damned. I also vaguely considered Big Daddy... but I've gotta figure the face of Half Life destroys the face of Bioshock around here, and, of course, Scorpion pushing %s down for GFNW to do well. Big Daddy, man, that may be the best name for an entrant ever-- but I'm going on a tangent again. This match will help in proving one thing: The myth of Gordon Freeman. Gordon ain't even remotely strong, he just overperforms against the big boys. Is it any coincidence his x-stat value keeps getting higher with every stronger opponent he loses to? Think of him like Master Chief but with a lower starting point and a lower vote ceiling that prevents him from beating things that aren't fodder. So that means, in 1v1 competition, the biggest game he'll be hunting is the likes of Phoenix Wright... but here? Here he's good to get second place over more worthy opponents with ease. People say his R1-R2 performances (losing to Duke vs beating him by a good 6-8%) last year was because of the Orange Box? Yeah, may be part of it... but I have a feeling that it's mostly him rising to the occasion when the opposition gets strong. Now, you wonder... how will this match prove it? Simple: If Gordon really is as strong as the stats say he is, he'll be able to hang at least somewhat close to Scorpion. If he isn't, Scorpion will kick his ass by a good 8-10%. Are we agreed? Try not to forget this match, XxSoulxX. I will say that "the myth of Gordon Freeman" makes him a bit of a threat next round, but that's next round. Not now. Lopen's prediction: Scorpion – 36.15% Gordon Freeman – 26.55% Balthier – 23.45% Big Daddy – 13.85% Transience’s Analysis I *hate* this match, and it's not even because of the Freeman fad. I just.. feel every choice is wrong. Scorpion almost definitely has first here. he rocked Midna last year en route to burying Frog -- well, comparatively anyway. he even did all right against three heavyweights in Mega Man, Samus and Yoshi. but second... blah. the consensus pick is Freeman because he's the least worst choice -- Balthier bombed last year and uh Big Daddy woo yay. I think Freeman is a pretty good pick here because The Orange Box has had a chance to introduce him to a whole new group of fans -- I would argue that this is actually more important than Snake was to Brawl because you're talking about two entire different breeds of gamers as opposed to crossing over into a Nintendo game. obviously it won't matter as much as Snake's did, but between being a console game now and the huge effect Portal has had on the gaming community (take a look at how a disembodied voice is doing today), Freeman should see a pretty nice boost. he already saw one last year in round 2, coming pretty close to Sub-Zero, and Portal hadn't really had a chance to permeate the gaming community yet. but Balthier, man, he sticks out like a sore thumb. two FPS characters and one of the ultimate casual draws in MK vs. a Final Fantasy character. Balthier's also kinda like Zidane - he can't actually be as weak as he seems! Square's looked pretty decent this year too. seriously, you expect me to trust anything involving a Gordon Freeman victory? well.. I don't. but I'm sticking with it because you don't lose to friggin' Ada Wong twice and expect me to pick you again. at least Zidane lost respectably. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:21:05 PM | message detail | #416 |
|
BALTHIER YOU SUCK BAD GORDON FREEMAN, THREE STRAIGHT WINS UNIVERSE BOOM SMASH whoa what a haiku can you tell I've been driving for 20 hours over the last 48 transience's prediction: Scorpion with 39.51%, Gordon Freeman with 25.44%, Balthier with 22.11%, Big Daddy with 12.94% Ngamer’s Analysis ...holy smokes! Maybe it's unfair to call this a true "bombing" for Vincent, since even though I expected 50% from him some of that can be explained by GlaDOS eating up more percentage than we thought. But there's no way to discount what a great showing Falco is having here- I always thought he and Fox would have some serious power if they could stop drawing Nintendo opponents. Bring on Sora v Fox! Today we should be in for another good one. Three characters that are at least somewhat comparable in strength plus a newcomer who should have a pretty wide range. Let's jump right into it! Last Known Values Scorpion - 26.73% (2007) Gordon - 19.89% (2007) Balthier - 17.09% (2007) Big Daddy - new I'd never bought into Mortal Kombat too much in these Contests, but between that upset of Master Chief and how good both Subby and Scorp looked last season, they've made a believer. Actually pretty much everything connected with fighting games had solid showings in '07, and I don't see any reason for that to change this time around, so even though I don't think he's going to run away with this group as easily as some are predicting, I still can't see him being challenged for the win. Big Daddy is one of our more exciting entrants IMO. Between the critical acclaim, Game of the Year awards, and the very positive reviews I've heard from most gamers, I'd have to imagine that Bioshock is going to have a strong core of support backing it all the way, much like GlaDOS did. Unlike GlaDOS, though, the big poppa ought to have considerable promise as a "joke character" on top of that. By joke I mean, his name is funny enough in itself, and then you look and its a giant mech kind of thing, whoa! Should have some decent casual appeal for those voters who don't feel strongly about any of the other choices (and considering Balthier and Gordon's past history, that could be quite a few!). I'm not going to do anything crazy and pick him for second outright, but heck, we've seen stranger things happen already this Contest. Balthier was a flop in '07, I don't think anyone really denies that. He was supposed to be the next Auron, and instead looked like the next... uh, Cecil or something. And that was when FF12 was at its peak! Even so, I think he's going to have something of a chance here. Zack and Zidane have already impressed, and also, couldn't Daddy and Freeman share something of a fanbase? Moody, atmospheric, really good FPSes that are available on both the PC and the 360... I wouldn't call a huge overlap likely, but again, we've seen weirder things happen, and Gordon certainly has a history of allowing the slightest bumps in the road to throw him off course. Overall though, between the success of Portal and TF2 and the Orange Box helping HL2 reach something of a new audience, GF ought to have enough in the tank to pull this one out. So why can't I get rid of this nagging doubt? Alright, but what happens when you translate those thoughts into numbers? With a little potting and stirring, THIS happens! Scorpion - 35.32% Gordon Freeman - 26.15% Balthier Bunansa - 22.04% Big Daddy - 16.49% Gosh, do I ever feel nervous about those numbers though... Ngamer Says: Scorpion > Gordon Guest’s Analysis - Midget_Fetish I wanna get one thing straight before you get into the meat of the writeup here - the result will be Scorpion > Gordon Freeman. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/28/2008 9:21:47 PM | message detail | #417 |
| This is not the same Gordon Freeman that lost to
such illustrious characters as Tina Armstrong and Max Payne - this guy
took Ike and scored 38% on KHII Sora. He's legit. And Scorpion? Scorpion, Subby, and Ryu are all main characters in fighting games. For whatever reason, these three have kicked it up a notch in 4 ways. Ryu beat Bowser handily twice last year, and Subby hung with Sora in his last match. Scorpion stayed within range of Yoshi in his last match as well - these guys are simply boosted. Balthier sucks. He lost comfortably to Ada Wong, who got 20% on Samus. He's probably worth 13% on BL or something like that. He sucks. Don't worry about him. So then you must be thinking, "Creepy guy with a midget fetish, why did you even bother giving a writeup if this match is so obvious?" The answer is simple, this match's token newcomer. The Big Daddy. People have been quick to completely ignore the Big Daddy as a competitor. Why? I'm not really sure. Maybe it's the name, maybe it's the fact he's a generic enemy. But for whatever reason, everyone has ignored the Big Daddy. They will be surprised. The Big Daddy is the face of Bioshock. He's on the box art. He was in the commercial. You see him in the first five minutes of the game and he appears constantly throughout the game, and how you fight(or not fight) the Big Daddies are a big part of whether you'll beat the game or not. But still, it's no big deal right? Bioshock's just another 360 shooter that nobody on GameFAQs will care about, right? Well, I don't know. I don't have the drive to check and see if there's a poll suggesting this is correct or otherwise, but I do know this. The main character of another generic 360 shooter(said with much tongue in cheek, by the way) happened to beat Kefka and Revolver Ocelot last year - the one and only Marcus Fenix. He totally took my name, by the way. But there's not much in saying all this. Scorpion still beats Freeman, who then beats Balthier and the Big Daddy. It's a pity Big Daddy didn't get put into a winnable bracket spot so I could bank on this upset. Oh well. Percentages(which I am terrible at why did I enter the Oracle contest) --- Scorpion: 35% Gordon Freeman: 29% Big Daddy: 22% Balthier Bunasa: 14% Crew Consensus: Scorpion > Gordon because Balthier lost to ADA FREAKIN' WONG |
| transience | Posted 9/28/2008 9:35:55 PM | message detail | #418 |
|
huh, no one going with Balthier. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/28/2008 9:36:35 PM | message detail | #419 |
|
Balthier finishes with negative percentage confirmed. --- Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/28/2008 9:36:49 PM | message detail | #420 |
|
Balthier needs reeeealy favorable circumstances to beat Gordon after The Orange Box. --- Bracket: http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=10 |
| Lopen | Posted 9/28/2008 9:37:12 PM | message detail | #421 |
|
Heh heh heh heh... no Balthiers... yeah. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 9/28/2008 9:40:40 PM | message detail | #422 |
|
FOOLS --- This was KING BELLIS LOL ed status: throw bees on everything |
| NotTerrafire | Posted 9/28/2008 9:40:46 PM | message detail | #423 |
| why is balthier so weak though? it makes. no. sense. at. all. why did he lose????? |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/28/2008 9:41:57 PM | message detail | #424 |
| I'll agree that Balthier being weak is a complete mystery. He's a kickass character and FF12 is the best in the series since 8, it really revitalized a stagnant franchise. |
| NotTerrafire | Posted 9/28/2008 9:45:50 PM | message detail | #425 |
|
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/29/2008 3:41:57 AM (#424) whoa, balthier doesn't need associating with damaged opinions like that. not sure i disagree, but still, give the man a chance! |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 9/28/2008 9:53:00 PM | message detail | #426 |
|
Huh, for such a weird match I'm surprised we're all in agreement. --- Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/ Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/28/2008 9:53:48 PM | message detail | #427 |
|
<_> Guys, I still think Big Daddy will be a dark horse. And I should probably get started on my analysis for tomorrow. --- Justin's CB Points: 34 | Points After this Round: 38 Today: Vincent > Falco | Tomorrow: Scorpion > Gordon Freeman |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 9/28/2008 10:03:03 PM | message detail | #428 |
|
Now, you wonder... how will this match prove it? Simple: If Gordon really is as strong as the stats say he is, he'll be able to hang at least somewhat close to Scorpion. If he isn't, Scorpion will kick his ass by a good 8-10%. Are we agreed? Try not to forget this match, XxSoulxX. I will say that "the myth of Gordon Freeman" makes him a bit of a threat next round, but that's next round. Not now. So the bet is on whether Gordon can stay within 10% of Scorpion? Works for me. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
| Lopen | Posted 9/28/2008 10:09:09 PM | message detail | #429 |
|
Well I'm thinking if the stats are at all accurate he should keep it
within 5% at the most. I'm saying Scorp beats him by around 10% though.
6% or under you win. 8% or over I win. In between that we'll call it a
push. Good to see some people actually read the analyses, though, especially the people I'm actually addressing in them...! --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/28/2008 10:11:41 PM | message detail | #430 |
|
DpOblivion's Unofficial Quick Analysis: Well, add another to the Scorpion > Gordon consensus. Scorpion should easily ride his recognizability to a first place here, but it may not be by a whole lot, with 2nd place not too far behind. And the Gordon pick definitely comes down to a lack of confidence in Balthier, and Gordon was finally able to show that he's not a complete failure last year in this format. Still, I wouldn't be too surprised to see Balthier advance, as he is the only FF character in the poll with no other RPG or Nintendo in the poll. (Just remembered my Confidence ratings from last year, I should start doing those again.) But as far as the FF totem pole is concerned, he is pretty low, so that might not help him all that much - not even 17% against Dante, Amaterasu, and Ada Wong - and Gordon has a fairly strong and growing fanbase. Dp's bracket says: Scorpion > Gordon Dp's prediction is: Scorpion > Gordon Confidence: 70% Scorpion - 32% Gordon Freeman - 29% Balthier - 22.50% Big Daddy - 16.50% --- NEW YORK GIANTS: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!! Shea Stadium - My home. You will be missed. 1964-2008 |
| Lopen | Posted 9/28/2008 11:05:46 PM | message detail | #431 |
|
Hmmm Well then Looks like you win, my dear Soul. I still think my theory about Gordon staticness is correct to some degree, though... Gordon's got next round, I think. --- Master Chief's quest to defeat Cloud: Round 1 - Raiden/Kain/Other Dude. Target: 48%. GAME FUEL. Believe |
| RaeSaraneth | Posted 9/28/2008 11:42:12 PM | message detail | #432 |
|
At first, the analysis discouraged me because I have
Gordon>Scorpion, and I was thinking man, another yellow blob on my
bracket. But now :D I'm optimistic that Gordon will keep his teeny lead
over Scorpion. wee! --- ^_^ |
| Midget_Fetish | Posted 9/28/2008 11:43:52 PM | message detail | #433 |
|
in retrospect, using the enter key so much was probably not a good idea. oh well. here's hoping scorpion's day vote > gordon's --- SensiShadeSlaye Hey, you. |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 9/28/2008 11:50:56 PM | message detail | #434 |
|
GFAW fever strikes! --- Check out the '08 Guru Site! http://thengamer.com/guru/ Other Hot Content: thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
| transience | Posted 9/28/2008 11:53:32 PM | message detail | #435 |
|
still likin' Scorpion here, but man. --- xyzzy "Man...tranny gets bored, the rest of us suffer." -satai |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/29/2008 12:08:10 AM | message detail | #436 |
|
Falco Lombardi........26.82% 37158 GlaDOS...........................20% 27708 Vincent Valentine......45.67% 63262 Wander.........................7.51% 10405 TOTAL VOTES......................138533 What Happened - Vincent easily takes these guys, but most were expecting more. Falco holds up pretty well, and GlaDOS proves that Portal does have a pretty solid base on GameFAQs (here comes cube). Why it Happened - Vincent probably didn't hit around 50% because the strength of his opponents was underestimated. Falco looks to be worth a solid midcarder (or low-mid, I dunno how Fox would have done here offhand), and GlaDOS also looks to have decent strength as well. What Will Happen - This kind of changes the landscape for Round 2. Falco did well here, and it may carry over into Round 2. Crew Prediction Challenge - Yay everyone (except Guest)! Guest - 7 HM - 7 Yoblazer - 7 Tran - 7 Ngamer - 7 Moltar - 6 Lopen - 5 Crew Accuracy Challenge - Moltar had the lowest Vincent pick and gets the point for Falco, tran gets the point for GlaDOS and HM gets the point for Wander HM - 10 Moltar - 8 Yoblazer - 7 Ngamer - 7 Tran - 7 Lopen - 5 Guest (War, KP (2), Dp) - 4 --- Moltar Status: augh Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44) |
| RaeSaraneth | Posted 9/29/2008 9:59:39 AM | message detail | #437 |
|
Oh man, here comes the day vote and I'm losing already --- ^_^ |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/29/2008 10:25:34 AM | message detail | #438 |
|
Well this certainly is interesting. No one on the Crew had smaller than a 5 point gap in between Gordon and Scorpion. I actually had a three point gap before I posted my write-up, but raised Scorp by 1 and dropped Gordon by 1. Definitely did not expect things to be this close. This match also raises a lot of questions about Scorp, Gordon and Balthier...oh boy --- Moltar Status: augh Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44) |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:10:38 PM | message detail | #439 |
|
How much longer do I have to submit my analysis? I just got back and I'm wondering how much time I have. --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/29/2008 8:13:09 PM | message detail | #440 |
|
about 45 minutes. don't be late! --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:19:06 PM | message detail | #441 |
|
Okay. Can do ^_^ --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:45:17 PM | message detail | #442 |
|
Okay, finished. Sending it now. --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:47:01 PM | message detail | #443 |
|
>.> What's his email? I can't find it in either of the topics. --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/29/2008 8:47:48 PM | message detail | #444 |
|
I feel like Moltar's secretary. mastermoltar@gmail.com --- xyzzy http://users.tpg.com.au/112358//85454546braidav.gif |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/29/2008 8:49:57 PM | message detail | #445 |
|
I always tell myself to put my e-mail in the first post when I make these topics. Yet every time I forget to actually do it. --- Moltar Status: augh Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44) |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:52:39 PM | message detail | #446 |
|
Thanks Ms. Pennington ;D --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 8:53:09 PM | message detail | #447 |
|
And that was meant to tranny >.> But Moltar, at least you had it in the original topic that we signed up in. --- Justin's CB Points: 38 | Points After this Round: 42 Today: Scorpion > Gordon | Tomorrow: Crono > Amaterasu |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/29/2008 9:48:50 PM | message detail | #448 |
|
You know, I never got Justin's e-mail --- Moltar Status: augh Balthier/Big Daddy/Gordon/Scorpion - Bracket: Scorpion > Gordon - Vote: Gordon (34/44) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/29/2008 10:01:26 PM | message detail | #449 |
|
Division 4: Round 1 - Match 13 – Amaterasu vs. Crono vs. Frank West vs. Kaim Argonar Moltar’s Analysis Amaterasu Game/Series Known From: Okami 2007 Results: 2nd Place in Round 1 vs. Dante, Little Mac and Matt 2nd Place in Round 2 vs. Dante, Ada and Balthier 4th Place in Round 3 vs. Pikachu, Dante and Leon Ahh, the one good surprise character of 2007 Crono Game/Series Known From: Chrono Trigger 2007 Results: 1st Place in Round 1 vs. Raiden, Sam Fisher and Simon Belmont 1st Place in Round 2 vs. Zero, Raiden and HK-47 3rd Place in Round 3 vs. Link, Vincent and Zero With CTDS around the corner, can Crono finally rebound? Frank Game/Series Known From: Dead Rising 2007 Results: 3rd Place in Round 1 vs. Ada, Balthier and Jade Obligatory “He’s covered wars, you know.” mention Kaim Game/Series Known From: Lost Odyssey 2007 Results: N/A Another JRPG character, because we can never have enough Hmm, you know, maybe we do need Nintendo characters in every match, because the ones without them are the very definition of boring. Last year, we saw Crono…stink it up. Compared to the rest of the Noble Nine, he looked weak in all his matches. He failed to break 50% on a complete fodder group save Raiden, he almost got beat in Round 2 by Zero, and then the infamous Round 3 loss to Vincent. Ever since 2006, Crono has been looking bad, but brighter times may be ahead. A Chrono Trigger remake was announced for the DS and is coming out this fall. It won’t be out in time for the contest, but we may see Crono return to his former strength in the future. Oh, and plus Frog did good a few days ago. For now though, he’ll win this fourpack with ease, but I doubt he’ll look that impressive while doing it. As for the 2nd Place spot, it’s going to Ammy, the shining beacon of hope in last year’s “oh god why is ________ doing this well” bracket. A lot of people underestimated her, thinking she’d fall in Round 1 thanks to Okami’s weak reception. Now, she’s the favorite to get 2nd here. Oh, and there’s this. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2884 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2905 But who really uses past polls to prove a point? C’mon now! Moltar’s Bracket Says: Crono > Amaterasu Moltar’s Prediction is: Crono: 48% - Amaterasu: 23% - Frank: 16% - Kaim: 13% Heroic Mario’s Analysis Not going to be much to see with this one. Crono and Amaterasu should have no problems taking this one easy. We saw last year that Amaterasu has a solid, dedicated fanbase that will vote for her regardless of the competition -- and honestly, Kaim and Frank West are probably worth less than Balthier and Ada Wong, anyway, which is kinda a shame since Kaim's cool. Since then, she's gotten a Wii port of Okami, too. Not sure how much that will be worth (if anything), but it can only help. The only way she loses this is if Kaim turns out to be stronger than anticipated. There is some reason to consider him for an upset, but it's not something you want to bet on. Lost Odyssey wasn't received well enough, I don't think, for Kaim to be a contender in this one. It was a good game, and the 360 has picked up a lot of steam in the past year, but I doubt it reached enough people or managed to get the hardcore following (how many people do you see always talking how great Lost Odyssey is) it would need for Kaim to outdo Amaterasu's. Maybe he surprised me here, but I'm not expecting much. I'll take outdoing Frank West! Prediction: Crono - 48% ; Amaterasu - 23% ; Kaim - 16% ; Frank West - 13% Bracket: Crono > Amaterasu Vote: Kaim |
| Justin_Crossing | Posted 9/29/2008 10:01:27 PM | message detail | #450 |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
