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Character Battle VI Contest Analysis Crew

transience | Posted 9/4/2007 7:33:56 AM | message detail | #101
also, blah at those rankings. I think I had a higher Rikku pick than anyone and my Vaan pick was near-perfect!
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
konfuzed | Posted 9/4/2007 7:42:19 AM | message detail | #102
gat
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Before that though, I had just come off of a 2 week suspension for jokingly saying that I was a fetus. - Pizza_Buddy
Bokonon_Lives | Posted 9/4/2007 9:12:24 AM | message detail | #103
GO ARTHAS GO!!!
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bokonon get your sense-making the **** out of this topic now - Cat1001
DpObliVion | Posted 9/4/2007 11:43:53 AM | message detail | #104
Familiar grounds, last place in the consistency rankings...

Hey, you did better than me!

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket
Bokonon_Lives | Posted 9/4/2007 1:57:13 PM | message detail | #105
Well, unless something starts to happen in the next hour or two, it looks like KOS-MOS is going to hang onto second place... Heck, Diablo might even overtake Arthas. :-( He did beat Diablo in the last update, but KOS-MOS is steadily rising.
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bokonon get your sense-making the **** out of this topic now - Cat1001
transience | Posted 9/4/2007 1:59:02 PM | message detail | #106
yeah, I'd say that Arthas coming in fourth place is likely now that the day vote has begun. the day vote is generally like the first hour of the poll, which is where Arthas did the worst.

I still think it's an impressive showing though.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Bokonon_Lives | Posted 9/4/2007 4:55:34 PM | message detail | #107
Oh well. I hope I didn't make you guys look too bad :P
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bokonon get your sense-making the **** out of this topic now - Cat1001
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 6:30:54 PM | message detail | #108
Knuckles the Echidna...........27.84% 43939
Rikku.........................................27.14% 42830
Vaan............................................9.54% 15064
Yoshi.........................................35.48% 55989
TOTAL VOTES...............................157822

29.96% of the brackets predicted Yoshi to come in 1st.
37.78% of the brackets predicted Yoshi to come in 2nd
21.34% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 1st.
50.91% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 2nd

Day 1 of the Contest is actually pretty surprising. Rikku comes a lot closer to Knuckles than most had expected. In fact, she even held #2 for a small part of the day! In the end, Yoshi easily takes #1 while Knuckles squeaks by at #2. Oh, and did people read the rules with the brackets, because that is a LOT of people who had Knuckles in first.

Today, Arthas in 3rd!?!?



KH - 1
Moltar - 0
Ulti - 0
HM - 0
Yoblazer - 0
Lopen - 0
Tran - 0
Guest - 0

KH most accurately predicted the percentages of Yoshi and Knuckles, being a little over a percent off on both.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Arthas/Diablo/KOS-MOS/Mega Man - Bracket: Mega Man > KOS-MOS - Vote: Mega Man (4/4)
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 6:51:42 PM | message detail | #109
To keep this separate from the normal point system, I'll introduce...

Crew Accuracy Challenge - Similar to the consistency rankings, you get points here for predicting the final percentage for a character closer than anyone else. These will be for all four characters.

Moltar gets 1 point for Yoshi, KH and Yo get 1 point for Yoshi, Tran gets 1 point for Rikku, and Lopen gets 1 point for Vaan

Moltar - 1
Yoblazer - 1
KH - 1
Lopen - 1
Tran - 1
Ulti - 0
HM - 0
Guest - 0
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Arthas/Diablo/KOS-MOS/Mega Man - Bracket: Mega Man > KOS-MOS - Vote: Mega Man (4/4)
DpObliVion | Posted 9/4/2007 9:20:24 PM | message detail | #110
Posting now because I'm going out....

DpOblivion's Unofficial Supposedly-Quick-But-Apparently-Not Analysis:

Whew, still perfect....an intense first couple days, and there's no signs of stopping. Day 3 sees another match with one obvious winner with potentially 2 battling out for the 2nd position. This time though, it's the expected 2nd and 3rd who could split as opposed to 3rd and 4th. The huge Nintendo female with the hot new game, Samus is expected to walk to an easy victory, like Mega Man did today. The battle for 2nd place is between 2 Square characters, the old-school Frog, and the new-school Axel. Who comes out on top?

I'll just come out and say it because I'm supposed to be quick: Frog. Axel does have the advantage of being fresh, being from the Kingdom Hearts series. But in these contests, the classics never seem to die, and Frog is from one of the biggest classics, Chrono Trigger, which placed 2nd in the Best Game Ever contest. I think the popularity of Chrono Trigger and Frog himself will propel him to victory, though it could be close.

And also, don't completely count out Sarah Kerrigan. Two Blizzard characters both finished with over 15% today. Diablo is from....Diablo....Arthas is from WarCraft, and Kerrigan is from StarCraft, so the question is how these votes will combine. If you combine the Blizzard votes as one, Kerrigan advances. But nobody expects her to. In fact, everybody expects her to just fall flat on her face. So, tough break, Sarah. But I wouldn't be surprised if my prediction is way off, since this assumption doesn't seem to follow the numbers all that much.

Okay, I'm never surprised if my prediction is way off, becasue I suck....but especially this one!

DpOblivion's bracket says: Samus > Frog

DpOblivion's prediction is: Samus > Frog

Confidence Rating: 80%

Samus - 48.5%
Frog - 19.5%
Axel - 16.5%
Kerrigan - 15.5%
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:35:03 PM | message detail | #111
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 3 – Axel vs. Frog vs. Samus Aran vs. Sarah Kerrigan

Moltar’s Analysis

Axel
Game/Series Known From: Kingdom Hearts
Seed in 2006: 7
Lost in 2006 to Mega Man in Round 1

Remember when, “Got it, memorized?” was cool? Good times.

Frog
Game/Series Known From: Chrono Trigger
Seed in 2004: 6
Seed in 2005: 5
Lost in 2004 to Solid Snake in Round 3
Lost in 2005 to Samus in Round 2

Frog hasn’t failed to amuse us yet with his Contest appearances.

Samus
Game/Series Known From: Metroid
Seed in 2002: 5
Seed in 2003: 2
Seed in 2004: 2
Seed in 2005: 1
Seed in 2006: 1
Lost in 2002 to Sephiroth in the Elite 8
Lost in 2003 to Link in the Elite 8
Lost in 2004 to Cloud in the Final 4
Lost in 2005 to Mario in the Elite 8
Won the 2006 Contest, but lost in Day 1 of the Battle Royale

The strongest female character is back to show her stuff.

Kerrigan
Game/Series Known From: StarCraft
Seed in 2005: 4
Seed in 2006: 5
Lost in 2005 to Vincent in Round 1
Lost in 2006 to Terra in Round 1

WHYWHYWHYWHYWHYWHYWHY??!?!

All contest vets right here. That makes this one pretty easy to predict. Kerrigan’s pretty much a non-factor. If you can’t beat Terra of all people, you won’t be doing much contest-wise, even with a face picture. Axel is a little bigger blip on the radar. He didn’t do that bad against Mega Man last year, but he still lacks the strength to compete with the big dogs.

Now to the two names that matter in this match, Samus and Frog. Deciding between these two would be super-duper extra tough if 2005 never happened. But luckily, for the sake of all our brackets, it did.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2100

There’s no way Frog recovers from a beating like that, so Samus has this one locked up. I think Axel may come closer than expected to #2, but Frog shouldn’t have fallen that far since 2005.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Samus > Frog > Axel > Kerrigan

Moltar’s Prediction is: Samus: 53% - Frog: 21% - Axel: 16% - Kerrigan: 10%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

After Samus won last year's contest, she returns in the third group and has a pretty easy time of things. She should win this group pretty easily, and Kerrigan should finish in last pretty easily. Kerrigan has proven to be terrible fodder in these contests.

So yet again, the battle for second place is the intriguing part of the match. Kingdom Hearts has been trending up in popularity, and Chrono Trigger really showed its age over the past two contests. Frog almost lost to pre-KH2 Riku in 2005, then didn't even make the contest in 2006. Magus lost to Knuckles in his first match in 2005, then didn't even make the contest in 2006. Crono lost in the final to Mario in 2005 in a contest tailored for him to win, then in 2006 gave up the biggest vote swing ever in his embarrassing loss to Sonic. Even in 2004, which was CT's best year in contests, Frog almost melted down twice.

Meanwhile, Kingdom Hearts characters have done nothing but impress, outside of Sora's slipup against Snake in 2005. Riku proved how overrated Frog was in 2005, winning a ton of updates and percentage during the day before ultimately losing. Kairi overcame Claire Redfield in 2006 thanks to the after-school vote from KH fans that vote for KH over anything else, before putting up a good showing on Rikku. And Sora's résumé has spoken for itself since 2004. And most importantly of all, Axel put up 30% on Mega Man last year. Granted it was a gimp Mega Man, but Axel's strong showing during the after school vote proves how dedicated the KH fans are.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:35:40 PM | message detail | #112
So what does all this mean? Frog put up 30% on a strong Samus but is pretty underrated in the raw 2005 stats due to Samus's meltdown against Mario. Axel put up 30% on a gimp Mega Man, and there's no reason for Axel to be too underrated. Stats point to Frog coming in second place, but recent contest trends heavily favor Axel to win this. If Axel is anywhere near pre-KH2 Riku (which he should be) and CT continues to melt down, Axel could make a strong push during the day at second place if Frog isn't too far ahead.

Furthermore, Frog's last match was against Samus and he completely sucked in it. Samus is in this group. Then there's the issue of the LOL, X-STATS. SFF-adjusted 2005 Frog scores 53.64% on 2006 Axel. That's a 7.28% difference. Mathematically, you cut that percentage in half when you double the options, giving us 3.64%. Given recent contest trends and the fact that fan favorites (which Axel is, big time) tend to overperform in polls with multiple entrants, Axel can't make up 3.64%?

I've got Axel taking second place. Frog should ride the CT night vote to a decent lead, but if it's not a big enough lead, Axel will completely bury him during the day. He has no one to compete with for a big day vote push. Samus doesn't have typical day vote power, Kerrigan is just crap, and Frog is a master of melting down during the day. It's an upset pick, but it's a good upset pick.

Ulti's Prediction:

Samus [52.34%]
Axel [18.46%]
Frog [18.00%]
Kerrigan [11.20%]



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Samus Aran -- 66%
Frog -- 19%
Axel -- 10%
Sarah Kerrigan -- 5%


Samus domination -- do you dig it?

Fresh off of -- mmm -- Corruption, Samus is primed to lay the smacketh downeth all over these losers. I went pretty high on this one, doubling the three other characters combined, but I’ve got faith in Samus rocking this one pretty hard. I mean, look at that competition, who in the world isn’t going to vote Samus? Hellions, that’s who!

The only question now is who takes second place. Initially, I might have said Axel due to that crazy Kingdom Hearts fanbase. But after remembering how weak he was, all things considered, it’s hard to take him in this one. Frog doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence, too, but with him being from Chrono Trigger and likely being higher on the Square pecking order, it’s probably the safer bet to side with him.

Depending how well (or poorly) Frog does here might give some indication of how other CT characters are going to do. If Frog sucks it up and either barely slips by, or actually gets beaten, I’d say Crono might be in for some trouble when he has to go up against Vincent later in the contest. I’d figure that the Chrono Trigger fanbase would be pretty hardcore, though, what with the game not having anything done to it since 1995. But you never know.

The main bit here is Samus rocking faces. While it’s not necessary that she go out and put up huge numbers, her doing so can only help to dispel all of the crazy discussion about the possibility of Mega Freak pulling off an upset.

Bracket: Samus > Frog
Vote: Samus



Yoblazer’s Analysis

Yesterday, I called Mega Man the "elephant in the room" - the one character who had everyone else absolutely trumped and his top position in the next round locked up. The same thing can be said of Samus today... if she weren't about a trillion times too sexy for such an unpleasant sounding metaphor. Samus Aran is the merciless, leather clad dominatrix in the room, and she's about to go to town on three white collar stiffs who paid entirely too much money for five minutes with her. *****.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:31 PM | message detail | #113
For the second day in a row, the question is not who will win - as it will assuredly be Samus - but who will come in second. Kerrigan, who can be called anything from a pathetically weak character, to a waste of an entrant, to one of the biggest busts in contest history, is out of the running. Don't come back, please. No, my friends, if any excitement is generated today, it will be generated by Frog and Axel.

Although one has been around longer, each of these entrants has at least one impressive performance under his belt. In 2004, Frog beat a very determined Liquid Snake, 7-vote'D Master Chief in one of the contest's all time great matches, and capped off his miraculous run by making Snake look like **** (get it? haha!). He returned in 2005 to defeat Riku and job to Samus (hey Frog, look down a spot. Guess who's happy to see you?) before taking a sabbatical last year. Normally, such a resume would call for an open-and-shut case. Even when one disregards Frog's amazing matches in his inaugural year, he still beat Riku, a very popular Kingdom Hearts character who is much more central to the series than Axel. If Riku couldn't do it, how does Axel stand a chance?

It's a fair question, but one with a simple answer. Axel stands a chance by virtue of his very surprising performance on Mega Man last year. In said match, the Flurry of Dancing Flames (Got it memorized?), put up over 30% on Mega Man, a contest force renowned for tearing apart those on a lower tier. Is that lone shocker enough for me to gamble and take Axel over Frog? No sir, although I kinda wish it were. I doubt that either Samus or Kerrigan will hurt one of these guys more than the either, so neither has a distinct advantage or disadvantage outside of his innate strength. In such a case, I'll go with Frog, the bigger character from the bigger game. Hope you make it next year, Axel.

Samus (53%)
Frog (20%)
Axel (16%)
Kerrigan (11%)



Lopen’s Analysis

Samus to win? Easy money. Kerrigan to lose? You betcha, after seeing her get smashed by Vincent and Terra. She has no fanbase here, that's pretty clear.

So then, the question is: Axel or Frog? Frog is the instinctive choice if you've seen what he's done before. His 2004 run was pretty sick... narrow victories against Liquid Snake and Master Chief... and 48% against Solid Snake ain't not no joke. A lot of power there. Whereas in Axel's sole match, he lost to Mega Man pretty soundly. However, looking at it more closely, I don't think it should be this simple.

While Axel did lose to Mega Man, he wasn't crushed. And Frog... what has he done since 2004's sequence of crazy matches? First round, he edged out Riku... which, admittedly, doesn't make Axel look like a million dollars, but it's pre KH2 Riku. Second round, he lost to Samus by about what Axel lost to Mega Man. Samus might be stronger than Mega Man, but by how much? I don't believe it to be by as much as the stats say.

All things considered, I'm thinkin three things here: #1. Axel is just below 2005 Frog in popularity... last year. It's possible he'll be more popular this year. (And Frog being less so is not an impossibility either) #2. Frog's the one to lose more votes here to Samus, even if just a bit more. Frog has more ties to Nintendo than Axel. #3. With four combatants in one match pic, it's possible Frog will be mistaken for Frogger, or Poison Dart Frog of MGS3 fame. Instant loss.

All of these things considered... give me Axel for second place.

Lopen's Prediction:
Samus – 45.91%
Axel – 23.09%
Frog – 19.54%
Kerrigan – 11.46%



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

The fun continues in our first match that doesn't have a whole lot of SFF to go around. Samus is top-tier Nintendo, winner of last year's contest. Frog is old Square, night vote beast and daytime chump. Axel is new Square - KH to be precise, night vote chump and daytime beast. And Kerrigan... is lol Kerrigan.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:37:07 PM | message detail | #114
UPDATE: BUT WITH HER BROOD WAR PIC OMG

As much as I'd like Axel to take this due to my fanboyism for him and dislike of Frog (not to mention it would be lol BT), I can't see Frog dropping this. There's not *too* much to say, we haven't seen him in awhile and he's overrated... but even then he's done more than the other two in this match have dreamed of.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Axel. Commit it to getting it memorized.
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Samus with 57%, Frog with 20%, Axel with 14%, Kerrigan with 9%

Upset Probability: 65%

I'm fanboyish enough to think Axel has a good chance here. Frog is almost certain to have slipped since 2k5, and even if Axel is indirectly weaker it's possible the fanbase may favor him over Frog here. Frog *barely* beat Riku, and if he hadn't had his run in 2k4 it's quite possible he would have lost. He's got nothing near that confidence here. If Mega Man is legit, Axel's got a great shot.

And Kerrigan... OH GOD... dare I say it?

No, I won't.

(THAT BOX SHOT IS BALLIN' SUCK IT SAMUS)



Transience’s Analysis

now here's a boring match. Samus will obviously dominate this fourpack - she's gotten 70% on Frog before and is projected to get 75% and 85% on Axel and Kerrigan respectively. if that wasn't bad enough, Metroid Prime 3 just got released, Chrono Trigger characters have been on a slow decline for the last couple of years, and Sarah Kerrigan has already proven herself to be one of the most disappointing entrants of all time.

I guess you can make a case for Axel over Frog, but I don't buy it. not only is Frog stronger than Axel, but he's got a more dedicated fanbase and Chrono Trigger is simply much more popular on this website than Kingdom Hearts. I don't think they'll abandon Frog here. it's theoretically possible, but 30% on Mega Man isn't really all that impressive when you look at MM's other matches in 2006. again, I wouldn't call Frog a lock, but I'd be pretty damn surprised if he lost here.

two Square characters
Chrono Trigger has more fans
Samus and Frog win

transience's prediction: Samus - 53.56%, Frog - 23.24%, Axel - 16.06%, Kerrigan - 7.14%



Guest’s Analysis - ff6man

Hello all, this is my first attempt at a match analysis and I hope it's to the liking of the Analysis Crew.

This match is an interesting one in my opinion, as most of the board seems to have cast this match off as a simple and easy prediction to make. I, however, would have to disagree, while Samus will, of course, be the clear cut winner, second place is not as clear as many would like to think. Frog is a character from Chrono Trigger, a fantastic RPG made by Squaresoft for Super Nintendo many a year ago. In Frog's career in the Gamefaqs Contests, he's had some great runs, from defeating Master Chief in the closest match in Gamefaqs history, to almost breaking the noble nine by defeating Solid Snake, Frog has had some amazing matches. This is all well in good, except for the fact that these matches took place in 2004, three long years ago. In 2005, Frog's contest outing didn't look nearly as good, he barely defeated Riku of Kingdom Hearts fame, and got annihilated by Samus in the second round. After that, he completely skipped the 2006 contest only to return now.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:38:38 PM | message detail | #115
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:39:25 PM | message detail | #116
Now we take a look at Frog's competition. Sarah Kerrigan has only had two contest showings in the past, and they were not pretty. She not only disappointed hundreds of bracketmakers by losing to Vincent Valentine in 2005's contest, but disappointed THOUSANDS of bracketmakers in 2006 by losing to Terra Branford (WOOOOO!!!!) from Final Fantasy VI, but not only did she lose, but she lost very convincingly to Terra, who (though I don't like to admit it) is a very weak, almost borderline fodder character. This is, in my opinion, due to FFVI's ensemble cast, but that's an argument for another day. At any rate, the bottom line is no matter how you look at this match, Kerrigan has almost no chance of seeing second place, and I'd be surprised if she ever saw third place at any point in the match.

That leaves one character for Frog to battle for second place, Axel. Axel has only entered one contest so far, and it did not leave much room for analysis, as it was a feeding to a noble nine character. Axel did, however, manage to put up over 30% on Megaman, which for all intents and purposes, shows some promise within him. Combine this decent showing with the fact that two years ago, Frog was barely able to defeat Riku, AND the fact that Chrono Trigger characters have been sliding more and more every year, AND the fact that vote totals have increased significantly from the last contest (Which hurts Chrono Trigger characters even more), and I'd say we have ourselves a match on our hands ladies and gents.

While many would love to shrug this possibility off as a crazy pick, I'd like to think that Axel stands a very good chance of taking second place, and sending myself and all the other Axel believers, farther up the top bracket list. With all the new factors coming into play with this crazy Four way bracket type, this match (Along with so many others) looks to be another exciting one for Frog.

Summary:

ff6man's bracket says: Samus > Axel

Percentage prediction:

Samus - 58.4%
Frog - 16.5%
Axel - 17.4%
Kerrigan - 7.7%



Crew Consensus: In a surprising turn of events, Samus > Frog is not the roaring majority here. 5 of us went with it, but 3 bold folks went with Samus > Axel. Will it pay off for them?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:40:48 PM | message detail | #117
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:51:12 PM | message detail | #118
Whoa, 3/8 analysts took Axel? Wasn't expecting that.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2007 9:52:54 PM | message detail | #119
I see BT remains as tactless as he is trolling.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 9/4/2007 9:54:37 PM | message detail | #120
Alright man, at the risk of sounding elitist, I'm just gonna be the ones with the balls to say it after that nonsense.

Turtle, would you mind not posting your analyses in here? Make your own topic for it. People would read them if they're worth reading. I read them in the stats topic. You have no affiliation with the Analysis Crew, so why do you post your analyses in here? Heck, even Leonhart, a former member, doesn't do it. There's a reason there aren't 9 people again... having too many write-ups is too much.

*disclamer* Lopen's thoughts and/or opinions do not necessarily reflect those of the Analysis Crew.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:55:26 PM | message detail | #121
Heh.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:55:54 PM | message detail | #122
I usually skip Turtle's write-ups, but you guys have now DOGGONE FORCED ME TO READ IT.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:56:19 PM | message detail | #123
Lopen's balls decree that you DO NOT READ IT.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
Lopen | Posted 9/4/2007 9:56:51 PM | message detail | #124
disclaimer: The above disclamer may or may not have been a disclaimer.

And dude, you're all idiots! KERRIGAN IS GONNA WIN, FACE KERRIGAN = 79% victory!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 10:03:38 PM | message detail | #125
I wrote my analysis like three weeks ago, so I'll post my updated thoughts here:

this match is all about Samus competing with Mega Man here. Frog is approximately KOS-MOS's equal while Axel and Kerrigan have both shown to be weaker than Diablo and Arthas. Samus is also flat-out stronger than Mega Man, and she's got a new game that came out a week ago. she's #1 on the FAQs, the talk of everywhere, and Heroic Mario is currently rocking some Zero Suit wallpaper on his computer. I may or not be making this up.

the point is that Samus should get at least 50% here. the rest of the guys are fighting for what's left. Frog should be able to match KOS at the very least, assuming there's no fanbase overlap with Axel. that seems pretty unlikely to me. Frog may be weaker than when we last saw him, but I'm not taking Axel to do much here. Frog already beat Riku once in what was considered a huge letdown. I don't think Riku 60/40s him at this point, and that's what would be needed in order for Axel to even have a chance.

then there's Kerrigan. we all know that Kerrigan's long-awaited box art picture will give her 173% on Base Link. Kerrigan obviously has some fans - this is her third straight contest after all - so she may be able to keep it respectable here. by "respectable", I mean over 10%. I don't think she'll be doing much better than that. when you get quadded, I tend to not expect much out of you. sorry, K.
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now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc
trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 10:04:32 PM | message detail | #126
as for that BT thing, I've got no problem with him posting his analysis (I won't read it, but that's because I never read his posts), but please don't combo break Moltar with your own analysis. that just confuses the hell out of everyone.
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now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc
GTM | Posted 9/4/2007 10:04:44 PM | message detail | #127
Not that it matters much now but:

21.34% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 1st.
50.91% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 2nd


Other way around.
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lets close this topic at 499 >.> ~ dj hypnosis
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/4/2007 10:05:28 PM | message detail | #128
Saying it's her third straight contest isn't really worth much considering we had the female bracket last year and then 128 entries this year. <_<
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 10:06:54 PM | message detail | #129
tell that to Tifa HAHAHAHA KERRIGAN > TIFA CONFIRMED Tifa is so screwed dot dot dor
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now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/4/2007 10:07:36 PM | message detail | #130
Ha ha ha ha ha ha.
Ha ha ha ha ha ha.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/4/2007 10:08:24 PM | message detail | #131
me likes Yoblazer's predictions, seem right about on par with mine. >_>
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Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2007 10:08:34 PM | message detail | #132
ball of fail
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 10:29:33 PM | message detail | #133
Not that it matters much now but:

21.34% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 1st.
50.91% of the brackets predicted Knuckles to come in 2nd

Other way around.


Ahh yes, nice catch. Thanks.

As for Turtle, since you have your own topic, I'd really prefer if you posted your write-ups just there and the stats topic. I don't mind if DP posts his here because he doesn't post them anywhere else (and doesn't post them in the middle of mine!)

That being said, I won't lose any sleep if you keep posting them here, but please, next time just be a bit more careful.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
DpObliVion | Posted 9/5/2007 1:26:45 AM | message detail | #134
Some good reading from all of the Crew for this matchup. It's a good match, nice to see Frog on top (in 2nd) though, of course since I picked him. But either way, good reading through all of them. And I read them all while drunk, so yeah, good job.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 7:43:33 AM | message detail | #135
heh, looks like the Crew is on a roll this year. 3/8 is probably way better than the rest of the board did.

this result shocks me if Axel does indeed win.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/5/2007 8:04:04 AM | message detail | #136
I am actually quite surprised to see 3/8 of the stats expert actually got Axel in coming second. Only 7/75 of the people here had Axel > Frog according to the BOP chart.

BTW, lol at BT's action.
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 8:04:35 AM | message detail | #137
He wont win.
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
Master Moltar | Posted 9/5/2007 9:30:38 AM | message detail | #138
Arthas Menethil........15.67% 21950
Diablo.......................15.42% 21603
KOS-MOS...............18.43% 25822
Mega Man................50.49% 70743
TOTAL VOTES.................140118

43.16% of the brackets predicted MM to come in 1st.
18.17% of the brackets predicted KOS-MOS to come in 2nd

50.43% of the brackets predicted MM to come in 2nd
11.92% of the brackets predicted KOS-MOS to come in 1st.

Well, this is a bit interesting. Diablo/KOS-MOS was originally the big question for #2. The match rolls around and KOS-MOS takes #2 with ease, but Arthas comes out of nowhere to take 3rd, putting Diablo in last. Arthas looks to be stronger than alot of us originally predicted, but unfortunately, he's done for this Contest.

Today, Axel is chasing after Frog for 2nd.

Crew Prediction Challenge - Tran gets the point today with easily the best picks for Mega Man and KOS-MOS

Tran - 1
KH - 1
Moltar - 0
Ulti - 0
HM - 0
Yoblazer - 0
Lopen - 0
Guest - 0



Crew Accuracy Challenge - Even though Tran had the closest prediction, the Guest spot most accurately picked the percentages of Mega Man and KOS-MOS, so two points there. HM had the closest Diablo pick, and Ulti had the closest Arthas prediction.

Guest (Bokonon_Lives) - 2
Ulti - 1
HM - 1
Moltar - 1
Yoblazer - 1
KH - 1
Lopen - 1
Tran - 1
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 9:32:55 AM | message detail | #139
When will the next batch of signups open? Can't believe I missed the first batch...
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=34492787 Sign plz
"NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU *****!" - Molly Weasley, Deathly Hallows
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 9:36:00 AM | message detail | #140
heh, #1 in the Oracle, yet I was beaten by someone who picked KOS third?

aww yeah this contest
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Master Moltar | Posted 9/5/2007 9:39:44 AM | message detail | #141
When will the next batch of signups open? Can't believe I missed the first batch...

Next week.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/5/2007 10:08:07 AM | message detail | #142
Turtle is just a lost puppy dog looking for some affection. Sure he may bark a lot, but he's ultimately harmless.

And if all else fails you can sell him to that gentleman over there... I believe his name is Ron Mexico...
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
Bokonon_Lives | Posted 9/5/2007 10:11:46 AM | message detail | #143
lol sweet, my upset pick at least amounted to something
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bokonon get your sense-making the **** out of this topic now - Cat1001
DpObliVion | Posted 9/5/2007 11:06:31 AM | message detail | #144
What the hell, my predictions for Mega Man, Diablo, and Arthas (mostly MM and A) were all over the place, but I was pretty much dead on with KOS-MOS, .07% off. 1 out of 4 is enough to make me happy!

And not looking too bad today, either. Went a little low on Samus, little high on Kerrigan, but Frog and Axel are fairly close.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 11:21:20 AM | message detail | #145
=(

Noone reads my topics

And I honestly didn't mean to post it in the middle of the other ones.

I'll stop =(

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
NominateSerge | Posted 9/5/2007 11:26:21 AM | message detail | #146
The only reason I don't post my write-ups here is because I don't want to put you guys to shame!
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Vote for Serge.
Either that or I'm just bitter! Not sure yet...
Master Moltar | Posted 9/5/2007 6:24:30 PM | message detail | #147
And we thank you for that!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 7:37:21 PM | message detail | #148
Oh, and Moltar, what's your email? I'll do my guest writeup sometime tomorrow afternoon and send it to you then.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 9/5/2007 7:45:51 PM | message detail | #149
mastermoltar@gmail.com

And I haven't gotten the Guest write-up for today yet, so it may be up in the air soon.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/5/2007 8:31:54 PM | message detail | #150
Arthas Menethil vs. Diablo vs. KOS-MOS vs. Mega Man
First Place
+8 Guest
+7 tran
+6 KH
+5 Lo
+4 Yo
+3 Mo
+2 HM
+1 Ulti

Second Place
+8 Mo (tie)
+8 Yo (tie)
+6 tran
+5 HM
+4 Lo
+0 Guest
+0 KH
+0 Ulti


Overall Rankings
1. Yoblazer33 (23)
2. Master Moltar (21)
3. Karma Hunter (20)
3. transience (20)
5. Board 8 (19)
6. Lopen (15)
7. Heroic Mario (14)
8. UltimaterializerX (8)

Big shakeup tonight!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
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