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Fall 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5 (Battle Royale Edition!)

DpObliVion | Posted 11/14/2006 10:02:03 PM | message detail | #051
It's looking pretty damn close for today's point between Moltar and KH. Looks like Moltar will sneak away with it though.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Big Bob | Posted 11/14/2006 10:04:47 PM | message detail | #052
Big Bob's completely biased and nonsensical analysis

Alright, Sephy outlasted Day 1. But he's not going to make it past Day 2! He may be ahead of Mario and Snake, but where are all of Samus's votes going? Mario and Snake. SSBB SFF Baby! Plus the Sephiroth supporters will probably by bored and vote for Cloud instead.

Bob's Prediction: Sephiroth dies with 1%
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 10:56:53 AM | message detail | #053
Hmmm...I'm not sure why the majority expected Mario to outlast Snake today. I guess nobody was expecting Link to be that much more of a benefactor of Samus being eliminated than Mario is.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
DpObliVion | Posted 11/15/2006 11:02:18 AM | message detail | #054
Yeah, I expected sort of a 60-40 split, 70-30 at worst. Not 100-(-5)%.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 4:55:46 PM | message detail | #055
I guess nobody was expecting Link to be that much more of a benefactor of Samus being eliminated than Mario is.

Same as DP, I knew Link would get more...but not that much. Mario looks like he didn't get anything...
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 2 - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (160/200)
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 5:01:02 PM | message detail | #056
Cloud Strife......23.71% 37779
Link...................27.41% 43679
Mario.................11.59% 18473
Samus Aran.......7.74% 12335
Sephiroth.........16.43% 26178
Solid Snake.....13.12% 20903
TOTAL VOTES...........159347

55.68% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Samus loses as expected...and not much else.

Today though, Mario is looking to fall, Snake is beating Seph, and Link is looking beastly.

Moltar - 13
KH - 13
HM - 11
Lopen - 10
Ulti - 8
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex) - 8
Yoblazer - 5

Woo me.
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 2 - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (160/200)
trannyscience | Posted 11/15/2006 9:54:32 PM | message detail | #057
darn you ceej for waiting so long on the picture

I'd ask you to change my pick, but it would kind of void the whole writeup so I'll just leave it as is.
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zizzy
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 9:56:00 PM | message detail | #058
Haha. I wonder how many chose Sephiroth today before looking at the picture!

I waited to make sure he wasn't going to go all sprite on us.

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"I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!"
trannyscience | Posted 11/15/2006 9:56:46 PM | message detail | #059
yeah I wanted to, but it was 10pm and I didn't know how long I had!

darn you solid ugly
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zizzy
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 9:57:10 PM | message detail | #060
Haha. I wonder how many chose Sephiroth today before looking at the picture!

You won't be surprised...
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 2 - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (160/200)
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:57:41 PM | message detail | #061
I'd ask you to change my pick, but it would kind of void the whole writeup so I'll just leave it as is.

Same here, but go ahead and change it anyway, Moltar. Switch Snake and Seph's percentages; it'll be funny. =)
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 10:04:18 PM | message detail | #062
Battle Royale: Day 3 – Cloud vs. Link vs. Sephiroth vs. Solid Snake

Moltar’s Analysis

Cloud
Day 1 – 23.71%
Day 2 – 24.20%

Link
Day 1 – 27.41%
Day 2 – 35.00%

Sephiorth
Day 1 – 16.43%
Day 2 – 14.90%

Snake
Day 1 – 13.12%
Day 2 – 14.70%

Day 2 proves to be a bit more interesting. Link pretty much gets all of the Samus support, and Snake does better as well. Sephiroth and Mario both dropped, and while Mario lost this round, Seph isn’t looking too good now.

Well, with Mario gone, where does he support go? Common sense says a good amount is going to Link. I’d also think Snake will get a bit more support now. Sephiroth? He may be dropping again, and I can’t see him doing much better than he is today…

Screw it, WOO SEPH LOSE YOU LOSER! Snake’s going to make it to Day 4! Go Snake with your super awesome looking self who never looks bad in any of his match pics except the Sprite and Melting ones, but there’s like, no chance of you getting either of those while Seph gets something cool!

*Match picture goes up*



Aww crap…

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Mario will lose? Double crap.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Link ~42%, Cloud ~25%, Snake ~17%, Sephiroth with 16.98%



Ulti’s? More like Transience’s Analysis

four characters are left - Clinkeroth and Solid Snake. normally this would be a foregone conclusion that the non-Clinkeroth character would get demolished here, but Snake has held up rather well with his small-but-consistent fanbase. it isn't likely that he'll be going down in percentage any more like Mario and Sephiroth did last round.

Sephiroth on the other hand just flat out tanked last round. it looks like that 2k3 final was somewhat of a fluke and Link fans were just revenge voting after all. or maybe it's just random variance - who knows? either way, he's not getting close to the support that Cloud is. Sephiroth was supposed to have a more "hardcore" fanbase that would never abandon him, but it sure hasn't looked it this last couple of days. with yet another Nintendo character going down, it's likely that Snake will be the beneficiary more than Sephiroth will, what with the SSB trailer and all.

I want oh-so-badly to say "it's Sephiroth, no way he'll lose to freakin' Solid Snake", but it just hasn't looked good for him. if Clinkeroth is ever going to be broken, it's going to be to Snake. this may be his best chance, what with Cloud slurping up a lot of his FF7 support.

transience's prediction: Link - 44%, Cloud - 31%, Snake - 18%, Sephiroth - 17%



HM’s Analysis

Causality #2 – Mario.

Looks like the plumber’s days of competing in the Battle Royale with that infectious smirk on his face are over! Link remains as the sole representation of Nintendo – and we should see some monstrous domination as a result. But with Mario gone, this makes things a bit harder to predict…

Either Solid Snake or Sephiroth are going to be eliminated today. They had a dead even run yesterday with a slight favoring toward Sephiroth there at the end. This makes it pretty damn hard to decide what happens here, but there is something interesting. After Samus got eliminated, Sephiroth did worse and Snake did better.

Perhaps a sign that Snake is indeed getting some Nintendo support? Maybe.

The real kicker here for me, since everything is so even, is how the picture is going to look for this round. CJayC seems to be following the standard contest picture making when it comes to the Battle Royale. Now why is this bad? Think for a second – Body Shots, Headshots, Sprites.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 10:05:25 PM | message detail | #063
Oh yes, gentlemen, sprites -- the bane of Solid Snake’s existence in these contests. When you combine the fact that Snake may be getting that with the fact that Sephiroth still managed to squeak by yesterday doesn’t put Snake in a good position. My decision here rests entirely on that, so until then (assuming it doesn’t go too late)…!

Aaaaaaaand, the results are in!

Turns out it’s more along the lines of standard artwork, so Sephiroth looks to have gotten a break here! I’ll put my money on him getting out of this one by the skin of his teeth again.

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Link

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Solid Snake – 14%

BONUS PREDICTION AW YEAH

With Mario gone, Link should continue to increase his dominance in a big fashion. He took ~80% of Samus’s votes after she left, and I suspect he’ll take even more of Mario’s here. Expect Link to DOMINATE with 45% of the vote in this four way poll!

Link Domination Time!!



Yoblazer’s Analysis

Looks like I was wrong about Mario, but I like Snake more, so no matter! Anyway, the big story today is Link. And, by that, I mean GOD DAMN. He already looks a freak, and once he absorbs most of Mario's votes (which we all know he will), he'll be completely set to Fedor the other three. As for who wins today... very tough to say. Sephiroth and Snake are completely even right now. While one can argue that Sephiroth will use his status as the far stronger character to edge out the win, one could have also argued that for Mario yesterday. Also, it's possible that a smidgen more of Mario's votes will get thrown in Snake's direction. In addition to that, I have a feeling that Cloud will dip into Sephiroth's voting pool in order to keep from looking too pathetic against a psychotic Link, so that may hurt. I went against Snake fanboyism yesterday and it cost me, so I'd be crazy to do so again.

Link with 44%
Cloud with 26%
Sephiroth with 15.01%
Snake with 14.99% (Yay contridictions?!)




Lopen’s Analysis

Time to stop the Snake doom saying. He almost beat Sephiroth today, so hell, let's put our money on Snake this time. You've gotta believe Mario shares more of a fanbase with Snake than Sephiroth… Snake's got some Nintendo roots! Metal Gear, for the NES. And who could forget Snake's Revenge? Fans of Metal Gear Solid: The Twin Snakes? You bet! And what about the new SSBB cameo? But of course!

I'd love to see a strange voting shift, but it doesn't seem like it'll happen. RobotFAQs!

Lopen's Prediction: Sephiroth eliminated with 16.54%



KH’s Analysis

These writeups aren't that great, are they? I guess the BR isn't as invigorating to analyze. Let me try to touch it up a bit more.

Link's been a monster of course, Cloud's been all alone in the middle, but Sephiroth has struggled, which is what today's match is all about. At the time of writing he's still behind Snake (but he should pass him with the day vote), but the two are very close, and Mario going out should probably help Snake more than Sephy, much like he seemed to benefit from Samus' absence today.

Sephiroth doing significantly worse here perplexes me, though. We may see a little bounce-back from him. People might also be figuring out what's up, and former Cloud (or even Link) voters might default to Sephy to keep him from losing to Snake. Add in that we might be getting the equivalent of the sprite round this time around...

*laugh*...I'm sorry, I had to at least try to make you think I was picking Snake to lose. =D

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Sephiroth loses with 15%



Crew Consensus: Looks like Sephiroth is the favorite to go out today after his poor performance, but with people already changing their minds because of the match pic, you just have to wonder...
trannyscience | Posted 11/15/2006 10:05:58 PM | message detail | #064
woohoo 110%!
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zizzy
trannyscience | Posted 11/15/2006 10:08:12 PM | message detail | #065
man, I've got the picture.. and Lopen!

transience is so screwed
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zizzy
Master Moltar | Posted 11/15/2006 10:09:36 PM | message detail | #066
From trannyscience | Posted 11/15/2006 10:05:58 PM | #064
woohoo 110%!

Yeah...I was kind of wondering about that.
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 2 - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (160/200)
DpObliVion | Posted 11/15/2006 10:10:54 PM | message detail | #067
DpOblivion's Unofficial Guest Analysis:

Well, I have to say I'm a bit disappointed in Mario. He didn't even put up a fight against Snake or Sephiroth, and he actually lost percentage with Samus' elimination.

So now, we shift to Day 3, the final day that is really in question. Will Sephiroth be eliminated, suffering from SFF like Mario? Does Snake have enough in him to eliminate the great villain? Or will Sephiroth manage enough votes to move on for one more day?

After yesterday's great performance by Sephiroth, I figured he would have no problem on Day 3. But he surprisingly dropped quite a bit on Day 2, while Snake gained. Snake led Sephiroth for most of the day, but Seph has clawed back and recently surpassed him.

When Samus got eliminated, I really expected her votes to be spread out better. But rather, almost all of it went straight to Link. Not even Mario benefited from the lost votes. So it stands to reason that an overwhelming majority of Mario's votes will go to Link as well.

As far as Sephiroth and Snake goes, it's really a toss-up as to who goes out. They are so close at this point that even the slightest of swings could give one the advantage. And I would expect the swing of Mario votes to favor Snake more than Sephiroth. So, does that mean Snake wins? Not necessarily. Sephiroth doesn't need Mario's votes to propel him to victory; he just needs to re-find the votes that got him to 16.43% the day before. Perhaps he lost votes because Square voters figured he was safe, so switched their vote to Cloud to make him look better against Link. So he could get those back with the Square voters knowing that he's in trouble.

But that's no guarantee. Myself included, I see a significant percentage of Mario voters going to back Snake temporarily, with no need yet to vote for Link. Mario has over 11% of the votes to go around, and Snake may only need 2-3% of that, which certainly is not unreasonable.

Then again, Cloud has about 24% of the vote that he could share with Sephiroth. Snake just has not been as strong as I expected him to be, and I just get this feeling that when the votes are needed, Sephiroth will be able to gain more than Snake.

My vote: Solid Snake
My bracket: Male winner (Crono) eliminated
My prediction: Male winner (Snake) eliminated with 15.5% (Link 43.5%, Cloud 24.5%, Sephiroth 16.5%, Snake 15.5%)

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/15/2006 10:12:55 PM | message detail | #068
Snake loses with 16%!
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CB06 - Score: 162/200 Rank: Tied - 764th Yesterday's Pick: Samus Elim Today's Pick: Solid Snake Elim
Tomorrow's Pick: Mario Elim Losses: Cortana, Ganondorf, Zero, Master Chief, Kirby, Mega Man, Crono(2)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 10:56:52 PM | message detail | #069
For tomorrow, I don't want to admit it, but I think Snake will get a lot of the Nintendo votes that Mario will leave behind and leave Sephy in the dust :(

So my pick is Sephy to lose and have 14.67% of the vote. Poor Seph.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
Lopen | Posted 11/16/2006 6:14:56 PM | message detail | #070
Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't me (for Sonic/Snake) and uh... whoever got the point for Samus/Snake get screwed out of a point?
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Master Moltar | Posted 11/16/2006 6:17:22 PM | message detail | #071
I thought KH got Sonic/Snake? And Ulti got Samus/Snake. I gave out pages for both (it's on the first page).
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 3 - Bracket: Mario - Vote: Snake (160/208)
Lopen | Posted 11/16/2006 6:28:11 PM | message detail | #072
I got Sonic/Snake. I went with 53.99... I think KH went Snake with 53.5.

Well, I know it was lower than me. I distinctly remember KH responding to this with: "LOPEN WENT HIGHER THAN ME FOR SNAKE!? I HAVE FAILED AT ALL THINGS AND MUST GIVE HIM ALL OF MY POINTS!" (paraphrased)
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Master Moltar | Posted 11/16/2006 6:34:25 PM | message detail | #073
Cloud Strife...........24.27% 34454
Link......................34.91% 49567
Mario...................11.18% 15878
Sephiroth..............14.87% 21116
Solid Snake..........14.76% 20954
TOTAL VOTES...............141969

9.96% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Um...Mario going out 2nd wasn't expected I see...

Today, Snake and Seph are going at it. Looks like this one may go down to the wire!

Moltar - 13
KH - 12
Lopen - 11
HM - 11
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex, Tran-man) - 9
Ulti - 8
Yoblazer - 5

Gave Lopen is point for Snake/Sonic, and Transience brings home a point for the Guests with his Mario pick.
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 3 - Bracket: Mario - Vote: Snake (160/208)
Lopen | Posted 11/16/2006 6:35:30 PM | message detail | #074
Hahah! Through the power of lawyering, I shall claim the crown!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
DpObliVion | Posted 11/16/2006 6:44:22 PM | message detail | #075
Wow, transience and Tran-Man both have points for the guests? Are they like brothers or something? Go them!

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 11/16/2006 6:46:16 PM | message detail | #076
transience = The one who wrote for the Guest spot

Tran-Man = The guy who's holding down Ulti's spot on the Crew.

Clearly, they're different!
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 3 - Bracket: Mario - Vote: Snake (160/208)
trannyscience | Posted 11/16/2006 6:47:40 PM | message detail | #077
screw that, I'm wearing Ulti's shirt! hook that brother from another mother up!

unless you're counting his predictions in this topic, in which case.. huzzah !
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zizzy
"And I am not annoying as a Sephiroth fan!" -ExTha
DpObliVion | Posted 11/16/2006 9:15:18 PM | message detail | #078
I hope noone wrote up their analysis early assuming Snake was gonna advance.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
trannyscience | Posted 11/16/2006 9:53:39 PM | message detail | #079
maybe I should, uh, write an analysis for Snake as well
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zizzy
"And I am not annoying as a Sephiroth fan!" -ExTha
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/16/2006 10:03:12 PM | message detail | #080
So, uh, how about this match stopping me from writing. >>

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"I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!"
trannyscience | Posted 11/16/2006 10:13:40 PM | message detail | #081
eh, if I'm wrong oh well! people can just laugh at me
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zizzy
"And I am not annoying as a Sephiroth fan!" -ExTha
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2006 10:14:11 PM | message detail | #082
I'll laugh at you anyway

while crying
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/16/2006 10:23:05 PM | message detail | #083
Battle Royale: Day 4 – Cloud vs. Link vs. Sephiroth or Solid Snake

Moltar’s Analysis

Cloud
Day 1 – 23.71%
Day 2 – 24.27%
Day 3 – 23.70%

Link
Day 1 – 27.41%
Day 2 – 34.91%
Day 3 – 42.90%

Sephiorth
Day 1 – 16.43%
Day 2 – 14.87%
Day 3 – 16.70%

Snake
Day 1 – 13.12%
Day 2 – 14.76%
Day 3 – 16.70%

Um…looks like Snake and Sephiroth are going toe-to-toe…but whoever wins is gone tommorrow. So…I’m going to go back to watching the match.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Sephrioth with lose

Moltar’s Prediction is: Link ~49%, Cloud ~31%, Snake or Sephrioth with 20.00%



Ulti’s? More like Transience’s Analysis

as I write this, Snake is desperately clinging to a 52 vote lead. it looks inevitable that Sephiroth will take the lead soon and barely eek out a win, setting up the expected Clinkeroth match for the final three. anything could happen, though it's not like the next result will change at all.

tonight's match is all about one thing: how much will Cloud gain from Snake being gone? it's generally assumed that FF7 and MGS have an overlapping fanbase thanks to a couple of overperformances in the past - FF7 beating the bloody hell out of MGS in the Game Contest and Sephiroth beating the hell out of Liquid Snake in the Villain Contest. Snake's never gone up against Cloud or Seph one-on-one, but one assumes that it would be a pretty ugly matchup should it occur.

this is a different Snake this year though, one with Nintendo support. how will his votes end up divided? Link will probably get some, but not nearly as many as Cloud or Sephiroth. if Link gets even a third of what Cloud/Sephiroth get, you can pretty much kiss Cloud's small chances goodbye.

prediction: Sephiroth eliminated with 19.5%

*hits reload, sees Snake still holding on by 50 votes*

just-in-case prediction: Snake with 20%



HM’s Analysis

Causality -- …There is not one?!

Well, there’s not one as of this writing at least! Sephiroth and Snake are locked in such a tight match right now that it’s impossible to tell who’s going to win – and this needs to be sent off to good ol’ Moltar! But what they’re fighting for is simply who loses today.

The only semi-interesting thing about who wins here is what percentage Link will get tomorrow. If Sephiroth wins, it’ll be great to see Link break 50% on Cloud + Sephiroth combined, which means Link rocks Final Fantasy VII here at ol’ GameFAQs!

If Snake wins, we get an idea of how many of Sephiroth’s votes are going to Link and Cloud, which undoubtedly will favor the wielder of the airplane wing.

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Link

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Sephiroth wins – Sephiroth with 23%

Solid Snake wins – Solid Snake with 23%



Yoblazer’s Analysis

It was a fantastic contest for Solid Snake, but he came just short of making the miracle run last one day longer. Looks like my spineless, last-second change paid off! Even though I'm a big Snake fanboy, it seems fitting that we end our fifth annual contest with these three GameFAQs legends. For one, they have been the strongest, most popular entrants since these contests began, and all three have earned the right to be here. Secondly, it will be damn fun to see how Link fares against both his biggest rivals at once.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/16/2006 10:23:35 PM | message detail | #084
With the Hylian Wonder putting on a clinic throughout the first three days and the FFVII pair (especially Sephiroth) not looking too fantastic, the question on some peoples' lips is "Can Link possibly hit 50%?" Without hesitation, I say yes. Now, do I necessarily think he will hit the magic number? Nope, but I certainly think it's within his power. Link is going to finish with about 43%, and Snake will be leaving at least 16.5% up for grabs, meaning Link would need to nab a good 42% of Snake's leftovers to strike paydirt. It may sound like too tall a task, but we've already seen much stranger things take place in this contest, so I wouldn't be arrogant enough to simply write off the possibility.

Of course, Link's best chance is if Snake is still riding some Nintendo popularity this far into the Battle Royal, meaning that his votes will transfer to Link much more easily tonight. However, that's a bit tough to believe, especially with Elfie having already made Samus and Mario look like Daisy and Donkey Kong. It could be close, but I believe Link will fall a bit short of completely humiliating Final Fantasy VII and Square in one fell swoop.

Link with 49%
Cloud with 31%
Sephiroth with 20%

“o wate, what if Snake wins?”

Wow! The Cinderella story simply refuses to end for Solid Snake! Two Noble 9ers defeated and three Battle Royal survivals within the span of a week! Unfortunately for Board 8's new favorite son, the magical ride is over. Snake is now standing with the biggest of the big, and they don't just roll over and die for anybody.

Sephiroth is gone, which means Cloud will see the most notable increase today. For his sake, he better come out looking at least halfway decent (30% is his absolute floor, and he should be able to break that with ease), lest he wants to become a chew toy for Link in the finals. Link and Snake will do battle for the remaining bits and pieces of Sephiroth's percentage, but it's all for naught here. We know who's moving on and who's headed home.

Link with 46%
Cloud with 33%
Snake with 21%



Lopen’s Analysis

Well, I’m not so sure what to write here, and I was asleep for like an hour, yay! Either Snake squeaks by Sephiroth, or Sephiroth squeaks by Snake. The difference? Not much for this match! The only difference is Cloud. If Sephiroth is eliminated, I give Cloud an off shot to actually beat Link’s %! In that respect, I hope Sephiroth loses, just for some chance at variety. However, I think Sephiroth will be pulling it out.

But, you notice my prediction for Snake and Sephiroth are the same! That’s right, I don’t think it matters as much for them as it does for Cloud. Sorry, you two put in a good fight, but your journey ends here!

Lopen’s Prediction: Snake OR Sephiroth eliminated with 20.95%



KH’s Analysis

Well, I'm not around so I don't know if Snake is holding on against
Sephy, but we pretty much know either's screwed today.

HAHAHAHAHA, WHAT AM I SAYING, SNAKE IS WINNING WITH EASE AND IS
WINNING THIS CONTEST OUTRIGHT

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: LINK LOSES WITH 20% OF THE VOTE

(fine, change Link to Snake/Sephy if you must. but you'll see!)



Crew Consensus: Who cares? Close match going on!
DpObliVion | Posted 11/16/2006 10:56:59 PM | message detail | #085
DpOblivion's Very Unofficial Guest Analysis:

OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG 2 VOTE DIFFERENCE WITH 5 MINUTES LEFT

My vote: Snake if there, if not, Link
My bracket: Mario
My prediction: Snake or Seph loses tomorrow, NO WAY!

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/16/2006 11:31:40 PM | message detail | #086
Oh uh, oops.

Snake with 25%.

~*ST*~
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PWNED BY RUFUS SHINRA in the Guru contest! Congrats!
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
Lopen | Posted 11/16/2006 11:33:06 PM | message detail | #087
Damn, Ulti, you nailed that one!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Lugia2 | Posted 11/17/2006 5:50:34 AM | message detail | #088
...Well, I didn't know you guys allowed alternative analyses...That match was pretty hectic...

Too bad it's boring from here on in...Wait, why hasn't Cloud broken 35%? 0_o
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/17/2006 9:52:41 PM | message detail | #089
Cloud Strife.............23.7% 32121
Link......................42.68% 57860
Sephiroth..............16.79% 22754
Solid Snake..........16.83% 22810
TOTAL VOTES...............135555

12.54% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

In a very close one, Snake pulls through with the last minute victory.

Today...he's getting beaten badly by Link and Cloud

Moltar - 14
KH - 12
Lopen - 11
HM - 11
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex, Tran-man) - 9
Ulti - 8
Yoblazer - 5

And Moltar extends the lead!
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Moltar Status: 12th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 4 - Bracket: Seph - Vote: Snake (160/216)
Master Moltar | Posted 11/17/2006 9:53:23 PM | message detail | #090
Battle Royale: Day 5 – Cloud vs. Link

Moltar’s Analysis

Cloud
Day 1 – 23.71%
Day 2 – 24.27%
Day 3 – 23.70%
Day 4 – 35.50%

Link
Day 1 – 27.41%
Day 2 – 34.91%
Day 3 – 42.68%
Day 4 – 44.80%

For a match as huge as Link vs. Cloud…I don’t know what to say about it. I’m not as hyped for it as I should be, and I think a lot of other people feel the same. I mean, Cloud won in 2003, but ever since then, Link was won. In fact, in 2005 he won by more than he did in 2004.

Now, Cloud has had his AC and KH2 since then, but behind Link is the insurmountable hype of Twilight Princess. So what am I expecting? Not much of a difference from last year. Cloud should make this closer, but I won’t be surprised if Link just laughs him off. It all depends on how Snake’s votes are split between the two. Ahh, the one hope Cloud-supporters have for him to overcome the Hylian.

It’s been fun, readers. See ya next contest. Moltar. OUT!

…No…how about this.

Late.

Oh yeah…that’s good stuff.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Cloud with lose

Moltar’s Prediction is: Cloud: 48% - Link: 52%



Ulti’s? More like Transience’s Analysis

here we are, Link vs. Cloud for the fourth straight year. undoubtedly the two strongest characters we have. Ceej comes up with new ways to separate them from the rest of the field because of just how much more popular they are than everyone else.

unfortunately for Cloud, he just doesn't have what it takes to beat Link. he's going to need something like 75% of the Snake votes in order to top Link and I just don't see it happening. even with KH2 out and the Wii/TP delayed, Cloud is going to lose again and this may be the closest he'll ever get after Twilight Princess releases. come next year, we can probably abolish "Clinkeroth" and just rename it "Link".

prediction: Link with..

NEW YORK, N.Y. -- Thousands upon thousands of Nintendo fanatics have been spotted wandering the streets aimlessly waiting anxiously for the newest Zelda game to be released.

"Zelda Zelda Link Ganondorf Link Link Zelda," said Heroic Mario, dress in a green tinue and clutching his Link plushie & Zelda blow-up doll. "Wiimote Mii Wii Sports Zelda Zelda."

It is expected that people will go back to normal when the console launches on Sunday, November 19th.

PREDICTION: CLOUD WITH 78.32%



HM’s Analysis

Dawn of the Final Day – 24 Hours Remain!

We’re finally here at the last day of the 2006 Character Battle! It’s been fun this year with an abundance of twists and surprises. Despite the female bracket’s soporific nature, it was probably the best contest we’ve had, at least on the male side. With tons of new consoles and new games coming out soon – and the stats in a bit of disarray – we should be looking to have a fantastic contest next year, whatever it may be (GO GO GAMES CONTEST !!)

So how do we end the highest voted contest ever, and perhaps the most entertaining? With Link v. Cloud, of course! Regardless of how one side has dominated this “rivalry,” it is always “epic” to see these two battle it out at the end of a contest. Ever since 2003, it’s been pretty much set in stone that the two strongest characters in these contests were Final Fantasy VII’s spiky haired hero against The Legend of Zelda’s legendary Master Sword wielder. But what is the real joy of seeing these each year?

Link’s unstoppable domination.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/17/2006 9:53:38 PM | message detail | #091
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Master Moltar | Posted 11/17/2006 9:54:15 PM | message detail | #092
Some people may complain “Link is too strong, remove him from the bracket completely!” while others think that he makes the contests too predictable as a whole (what silly people these are). Then, of course, there are people like myself who love to see Link absolutely wreck everyone he’s up against. I don’t know about the fellow Crew members, but seeing Link get more votes then over half of the bracket against Noble Nine characters is awesome. His display of dominance over everything has never failed to entertain me at least!

But on the eve of Twilight Princess, the question must be asked once again – can Cloud beat Link? Let me go ahead and answer that for you: No.

The attempts of some people on the board to come up with excuses for how Cloud, and even some other Crew members (HAY WHAT’S UP KAY AITCH !!), will win is simply futile! Even with Kingdom Hearts II and Advent Children on his side, he has not once been able to defeat Link during the Battle Royale, or even come all that close. Each day, Link has increased his lead over Cloud more and more and more – once getting as high as 15,000 over him.

The most interesting thing about Link’s strength is how well he has held up despite the fact that his last console game was in March 2003 – The Wind Waker – and his last game appearance period was The Minish Cap in 2004 on the GBA. He has maintained his dominance and has put everyone eager to beat him in their places. Now he has what is being called his biggest and best adventure yet – Twilight Princess – coming out just 24 hours from when this analysis will go up. He could end up far above even the closest competitor in Cloud. What before was a rather close but not so close match between he and FFVII’s airplane wing wielding rival could actually turn into something really ugly.

But with Twilight Princess still a day away, the best that it will do now is sway the “on the edge” voters, who are people who may like or dislike both but see Link’s biggest game ever coming out the next day and vote for him. If this match, against all odds, ends up being close I would imagine that this has the potential to at least pull Link through to yet another victory.

Speaking of which, that’s an interesting thing about Link. In his entire contest history, he’s racked up a whopping 22 wins. The only blemish on what would otherwise be a perfect run in these contests is his one loss to Cloud in 2003, the year of Kingdom Hearts. Even with this being the year of another Kingdom Hearts (II), it still doesn’t look like it’s going to be enough to do it, or even get all that close!

Unfortunately, I’m not going to be here to witness this epic beating since I’ll be in line almost the entire day to pick up my Wii and Twilight Princess – guaranteed to be the greatest game ever! Buy it Sunday, folks! Regardless, I will be back sometime after playing multiple hours of the game to check up on the result of the match, to which I fully expect to see LINK DOMINATION AW YEAH. In fact, I am so confident in Link’s ability to win this match, and in a dominating style, that I’m going to go big on my prediction. Ready? I know you are!

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Link

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Link – 55% ; Cloud Strife – 45%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Link



Yoblazer’s Analysis

I'm going to make my final Battle Royal analysis short and sweet. Cloud looks good today. In fact, this is easily his best performance since the BR began, which was readily expected due to Sephiroth's demise. Regardless, Link only needs a little over a quarter of Solid Snake's votes to win this thing, and it would be extremely wishful thinking on the part of any Cloud support to think that Link couldn't pull it off. Cloud will probably get a majority of Snake's votes, but certainly not enough to put him over the hump.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/17/2006 9:54:39 PM | message detail | #093
My prediction: Link def. Cloud Strife (53-47)



Lopen’s Analysis

Remember me for my last good write-up… somewhere back there. Not much time on my hands right now, and these battle royal matches aren't inspiring me. So I leave you… with a foul taste! Behold, my analysis!

DIE LINK DIE.

The end.

Lopen's Prediction: Cloud with 98.93%



KH’s Analysis

LINK

"..."
"HYYYAAAAAAAHHHHH!!!"
"I can't wait to bomb some Dodongos!"


versus

CLOUD STRIFE

"Sephiroth...I have to settle the score."
"I know -- I'm not alone. Not anymore."
"Finger? What the hell!?"


I'm sure you're worn out from what was surely a one-of-a-kind rant from Aitch Emm (though really, why write so much on a match that's supposed to be obvious? ^_~), so I'll keep the opposition's rebuttal as brief as possible.

In typical KH fashion, I'll tell you who I think will win if you put a gun to my head -- Link. That's it, analysis over, time for some pie. However, in spite of that I think this is the best shot Cloud may ever have -- and I'll go over some reasons why.

First and foremost is probably the wildcard that this whole match hinges upon -- KH2. Obviously, Cloud ain't getting the kind of boost he got in 2003 (or Link would be so screwed), but I think it can pull him even with him or better. Of course, we haven't really seen any 'KH2F' for the characters who appeared in the first game -- Squall and Aeris -- but we knew it wouldn't do anything for the latter, and you can't really hold it against the former if he never got his chance to shine. Basically, the question that you have to ask yourself is if Snake SFFed Squall. If he did, KH2F exists, and Cloud is looking good. If not...he's not.

Next is Advent Children. I don't think it'll do THAT much, but it is worth mentioning. However, the characters who stood to gain the most from AC -- Vincent and Tifa -- had other reasons to boost (KH2 and DoC). It didn't hurt that they both looked very good, though. I don't really buy the FFXII influx, but if you believe it, it's there for Cloud. Same for the PS3 influx (all 10 of them!). Basically, Cloud has had stuff, Link hasn't, and the gap between them wasn't too big to begin with.

All Link has really had is hype (and Snake kind of makes this look bad for Cloud, but Link's had hype for years) and the fact that Twilight Princess comes out tomorrow (and as much as it damages my hubris to admit it, FFXII *really* didn't make Aeris look better). And that may be enough for him -- heck, it may be enough for him to hand Cloud his worst loss ever.

But I don't think so. I called the percentages pretty well today, and I did so with an optimistic Cloud win in mind. Does it appear that Cloud will gain more from Snake's loss than he did from Sephy's? Superficially, but keep in mind that a good portion of those Sephiroth voters defaulted to Snake today (otherwise he wouldn't be at a significantly higher percentage today).

And then there are intangibles -- and don't look at me like that, my opponents are the ones that call foul on Link getting a Wind Waker picture in 2003. The "FFVII always wins" stigma has GOT to have taken a hit after seeing Link win every round and Solid Snake outlasting Sephiroth in the Battle Royale. In fact, if there's any growing resentment, I'd say it's against Link -- he's dominated every single round to the point of ludicrousness thanks to SFF, and your average voter doesn't have a clue what that acronym stands for. If there's any 'backlash' of sorts, Cloud stands to gain from it. And let's not forget, for the first time in Link v. Cloud history, Cloud will be the top option! We all know GameFAQs is just a bunch of top option fanboys - 1 vs 2, anyone?
Master Moltar | Posted 11/17/2006 9:55:18 PM | message detail | #094
...yup. In any case, I'd like to thank Moltar for allowing me to be on the Crew, it was a ton of fun -- and it didn't hurt that this was my favorite contest ever for numerous reasons. And may the more popular character win -- hey, I mean it! I have disdain for Link, but I don't begrudge his strength -- if people like him more he deserves to win in a popularity contest!

But I think that for perhaps one more day, Cloud Strife can be that character. And I sure as hell don't want to pass up that chance.

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Cloud Strife wins with 50.99% of the vote.



Crew Consensus: Um...
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/17/2006 9:55:36 PM | message detail | #095
CLOUD IS THE FAVORITE
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 11/17/2006 10:01:40 PM | message detail | #096
DAMN YOU LOPEN
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RUFUS SHINRA 777 > ME
...let's just say his Guru skills are better than his username.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/17/2006 10:04:09 PM | message detail | #097
Oh, snap. Cloud for the win. On another note, I demand Kay Aitch return to the crew next contest. >=/
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/17/2006 10:06:41 PM | message detail | #098
Zelda hating jackasses. I'm done with this place.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
trannyscience | Posted 11/17/2006 10:09:52 PM | message detail | #099
:)

LINK SUCKS
LINK SUCKS
LINK SUCKS

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RUFUS SHINRA 777 > ME
...let's just say his Guru skills are better than his username.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/17/2006 10:58:12 PM | message detail | #100
Link wins the final with 54.44% of the vote, mate.

~*ST*~
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PWNED BY RUFUS SHINRA in the Guru contest! Congrats!
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
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