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Fall 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4

DpObliVion | Posted 11/5/2006 9:34:39 PM | message detail | #251
DpOblivion's Quick Analysis:

Remember, remember, the fifth of November.....Sonic with 60% on Luigi, sweet! Lookin good. Unfortunately, Crono's performance today probably won't help to much in predicting next round's match, as he could SFF Auron.

My vote: Crono I suppose
My bracket: Crono over Auron
My prediction: Crono with 62%

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Remember, remember, the fifth of November, the gunpowder treason and plot,
I see of no reason why gunpowder treason should ever be forgot.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/5/2006 9:39:19 PM | message detail | #252
What the hell does that November 5th crap have to do with this match?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
wavedash101 | Posted 11/5/2006 9:39:47 PM | message detail | #253
Old timer picture?

I thought he had the KH2 picture for the Subby match?
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
DpObliVion | Posted 11/5/2006 9:42:40 PM | message detail | #254
Nothing, it's just fun.

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Remember, remember, the fifth of November, the gunpowder treason and plot,
I see of no reason why gunpowder treason should ever be forgot.
Big Bob | Posted 11/5/2006 9:45:30 PM | message detail | #255
Big Bob's completely biased and nonsensical analysis

Crono may have shown Bowser up, but Bowser was overrated. By a LOT. He's weaker than Luigi, who Auron's consistently been stronger than. Auron's also had Kingdom Hearts II since then. Sub-Zero's the mascot of Mortal Kombat AND has had new games accounting for his strength, and Auron beat the hell out of Alucard when everyone expected it to be closer. Keep in mind the recent release of Final Fantasy XII to remind people why they like those games so much, and you've got a victory for Auron.

Bob's Prediction: Auron with 60%
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2006 9:56:04 PM | message detail | #256
Ashe, I dunno what other Zelda match you predicted or how well you did it, but the whole Zelda > Samus thing is enough for me to say it's going to keep Board 8 from getting a POSITIVE number of points.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/5/2006 9:59:01 PM | message detail | #257
Um, I got the point for the Guests.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2006 10:18:06 PM | message detail | #258
Right, fine, and EC's got two (and 2nd his third time), and he's got Samus > Zelda. History goes in his favor there as well.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/5/2006 10:21:24 PM | message detail | #259
Ah, but I'm clearly better when it comes to predicting Zelda matches! Besides, he has had more guest spots than me, so I get priority anyways. ;o
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2006 10:24:51 PM | message detail | #260
I'll give you the priority point...but when I was on the Crew last year, I got the point for both matches Fire Emblem was in. Rest assured when I say I am no Fire Emblem expert, heh.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2006 10:27:38 PM | message detail | #261
Er...last contest, not last year.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/5/2006 10:34:34 PM | message detail | #262
Did you see my Zelda/Aerith writeup? I undershot Zelda by a lot. Don't assume I'm going to do anything too insane, if I get it.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/5/2006 11:15:48 PM | message detail | #263
I'll take Yuna/Zelda if no one who hasn't done a writeup wants it.
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CB06 - Score: 86/92 Rank: Tied - 224th Yesterday's Pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
Today's Pick: Crono Tomorrow's Pick: Samus Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 2:45:45 PM | message detail | #264
I'm liking my chances on this point!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
HoorayProxies | Posted 11/6/2006 3:30:35 PM | message detail | #265
I'm liking your face!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 3:31:37 PM | message detail | #266
Who doesn't? This is one beautiful face I have!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
goku z | Posted 11/6/2006 3:33:21 PM | message detail | #267
When are sign-ups for next round taking place? I'd like to do Snake/Mega Man, and haven't done a write-up yet.
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Dirty old men > Squall || Check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
Every time red13n mods a fad, a nerd gets his zits.
HoorayProxies | Posted 11/6/2006 3:37:11 PM | message detail | #268
It's no wonder your mother is so damn fine.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
chocoboslayer | Posted 11/6/2006 3:59:21 PM | message detail | #269
Hey...any way I can do a guest write-up for next round?

If so, any way I can get Zelda/Yuna?
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*dances Yuna-style through this topic*
Contest Score: 84/94! Next Pick: Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockhart
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 5:00:45 PM | message detail | #270
Sonic the Hedgehog..................60.19% 79761
Luigi..........................................39.81% 52760
TOTAL VOTES ...................................132521

40.02% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Well, this is interesting. Sonic did better than he was supposed to against Luigi. That means either Sonic's boosted (meaning Vincent and Ganon look even better) or Luigi isn't even at his 2005 level (meaning Kirby and Zero got beat by a weaker Luigi). Hmm...nice vote totals too.

Today, Auron is doing very well against Crono.

Moltar - 11
KH - 10
HM - 9
Lopen - 9
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex) - 8
Ulti - 7
Yoblazer - 5

Point goes to me for my Sonic pick, woo.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Crono vs. Auron - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Auron (84/92)
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 5:03:17 PM | message detail | #271
I already have the Guest write-ups for Samus/Tifa and Zelda/Yuna, HaRR is doing Snake/MM and DP is doing Crono/Sonic.

We'll get to Round 5 later...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Crono vs. Auron - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Auron (84/92)
satai_delenn | Posted 11/6/2006 5:08:26 PM | message detail | #272
Hehe. I always love the unashamed Marle hate in Lopen's analyses.
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Beating FE5 and FE6 hard mode is a true test of manhood in the Japanese culture. However. This explains why they have a lot of effeminate men. ~Sytha
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/6/2006 5:09:27 PM | message detail | #273
If the Male Bracket final is Snake vs. Sonic, I want it. I know I've already done two, but I've been hoping and calling for that match all contest!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo - W, 28-26
trannyscience | Posted 11/6/2006 6:29:28 PM | message detail | #274
dang, I wanted Sonic/Crono!

*calls final!*
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zizzy
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/6/2006 6:32:21 PM | message detail | #275
From trannyscience
dang, I wanted Sonic/Crono!

*calls final!*


I already offered Zelda/Snake to EC in exchange for Zelda/Samus. Sorry. D:
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/6/2006 7:16:22 PM | message detail | #276
I'll take any available match if I can

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/6/2006 7:20:59 PM | message detail | #277
I must have a MM/Sonic analysis if it happens.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/6/2006 9:55:32 PM | message detail | #278
Wow, these writeups are awesome today. I love how Lopen perfectly supports his Tifa > Samus pick. He has made a believer out of me!

</Impatience>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 9:56:02 PM | message detail | #279
Limit of the Spazer Division: Round 4 - Match 57 – (1)Samus vs. (1)Tifa

Moltar’s Analysis

Samus - The Best of the Best in the female half, and the whole bracket!
Round 1 – 81.85% vs. Nidoran F (18.15%)
Round 2 – 79.78% vs. Ada (20.22%)
Round 3 – 69.00% vs. Rikku (31.00%)

More Samus domination in Round 3

Tifa - The Breast of the Best in the female half, WOO Tifa Breast joke #53324!
Round 1 – 76.18% vs. Ivy (23.82%)
Round 2 – 74.55% vs. The Boss (25.45%)
Round 3 – 66.05% vs. Peach (33.95%)

Tifa nearly doubles the Princess.

Samus has taken down all that have stepped in her path so far, but now she faces her toughest opponent yet. Hey Samus, Breasts have arrived!

Now, Tifa has looked pretty good so far. Good numbers against Ivy and The Boss, decent stuff against Peach. That’s all good and stuff…but you need a bit more than that to face Samus. I mean, Tifa got 43% on Sonic last year, and Samus has beaten Sonic twice in the past. Tifa doesn’t even look to be much stronger than her last year self. Maybe it was just her opponents though…

Samus on the other hand is looking to be at or above her 2005 value, and that’s more than enough to win this match easily. Samus beats Tifa 60-40 using last year’s stats, and I honestly don’t see it being to far away from that result. Tifa fans should feel good if she breaks 40%, because 45% is waaay too much to ask for.

Oh, and it’s the debut of Zero Suit Samus! Time to see her kick some ass and take some names!

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Samus will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Samus: 59% - Tifa: 41%



Ulti’s Analysis

We're in the final eight and still have eeeeeeeasy matches on the female side. All this is is a "guess the winner's percent!" type of match.

Prediction: Samus with 59.47%



HM’s Analysis

Samus Aran

Previous Matches:

Samus Aran – 81.85% -- 95,533

Nidoran F – 18.15% -- 21,180

Samus Aran – 79.78% -- 98,352

Ada Wong – 20.22% -- 24,923

Samus Aran – 69% -- 85,439

Rikku – 31% -- 38,387

Tifa Lockhart

Previous Matches:

Tifa Lockhart – 76.18% -- 96,118

Ivy Valentine – 23.82% -- 30,046

Tifa Lockhart – 74.55% -- 90,595

The Boss – 25.45% -- 30,934

Tifa Lockhart – 66.05% -- 79,830

Princess Peach – 33.95% -- 41,033

Starting the female bracket now isn’t so bad when you’re starting it off with something like Samus/Tifa! Although the result of this match is a foregone conclusion, it’ll be nice to actually see two strong Nintendo and Square characters going at it. This one should help us get an idea of where Tifa stands after KH2 and where characters like Peach and Jill end up placing. Samus had a pretty “by the stats” match against Rikku last year, out doing them by less than a percent, whereas Tifa put up a pretty impressive doubling on Princess Peach despite starting out pretty badly.

I think there is a slight possibility that Samus may undershoot her expectations and projections in this match. I doubt the picture, which is Zero Suit Samus from SSBB, will hurt her that much, but it just seems like the female bracket would have some over and underperformances similar the Villain Contest for whatever reason. It probably won’t be anything major, but Tifa may put up surprising numbers or she may just get rocked hard.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 9:56:40 PM | message detail | #280
It’s nice to see that we’re starting to get into some of the more interesting matches. We pretty much only have the strong characters left in the contest at this point, which is particularly good for the female half! The most exciting match – ZELDA > SAMUS – has yet to come though!

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Samus Aran

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Samus Aran – 60% ; Tifa Lockhart – 40%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Samus Aran





Yoblazer’s Analysis

Before getting to gourge ourselves on the two terrific men's matches, we'll have to sit through two boring, predictable matches on the female side. Despite these matches not being very good for the Elite 8, let's look on the bright side: they're about ten times better than what we've had to deal with so far from the female bracket.

Both Samus and Tifa have more or less done exactly what was expected of them. It can be argued that Tifa underperformed against Princess Peach, but it's difficult to argue that point when Peach is completely new to the contest scene. Either way, we all knew both of these characters would be here, and we knew what the ending result would be.

Truth be told, the most interesting aspect of this match is probably the fact that it's the first time Samus has been pictured without her Power Suit. Will she underperform? Overperform? Will it make no difference? Unless the percentages are completely out of whack, it will be hard to tell, but the Metroid heroine should have no trouble in winning. Personally, I think Samus is going to look good here, but I'm not sure why either of the FFVII ladies haven't looked more impressive, especially when given the fact that every male character who starred in KHII has looked extremely impressive thus far. It strikes me as very strange, and almost gives me a forboding feeling that Tifa will have the match of her life. Regardless, my Nintendo fanboyism has once again gotten the better of me, so I'm going with Samus for the easy win. See you in Brawl, sexy mama.

My prediction: Samus Aran def. Tifa Lockheart (58-42)


Lopen’s Analysis

This match kinda bores me. None too interesting. I'd like to say Tifa has an upset chance here, but she really doesn't. We saw Sonic smash her into the dirt last year, we know Samus is at least on the level of Sonic. Kind of a no-brainer. Not even the results of this year give it any support. Tifa got less on Peach than Samus got on Rikku… and come on, who here takes Peach over Rikku. Anybody, anybody? I guess Tifa smashing the Boss with 75% or so was pretty impressive, but we know about that FF7/MGS stuff that goes on.

Anyway, Samus has shown to typically be stronger than Sonic, Sonic got ~57% on Tifa last year, I expect Samus to get a tad more.

Lopen's prediction: Samus with 58.12%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

Samus Aran

Summer 2002 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 4th Place [41.07%]

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 7th Place [36.72%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 4th Place [39.50%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 5th Place [38.21%]

Samus does about as expected on Rikku. Not much to say about it, just like every other female match!

Tifa Lockheart

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 16th Place [30.77%]

Tifa doubles up on Peach, not too much to say either way about it. Just like every other female match!

Rikku struggles against Kairi. Not exactly good when your next round opponent is...Samus? Oh, dear...
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 9:57:30 PM | message detail | #281
Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Samus Aran: Metroid Prime: Hunters (DS), Metroid Prime Pinball (DS), Super Smash Brothers Brawl Trailer (lol internet)
Tifa: Kingdom Hearts II (PS2)

Upcoming Releases

Samus Aran: Metroid Prime 3: Corruption (WII), Super Smash Brothers Brawl (WII)
Tifa: N/A

Well, this match is only really important because it's the debut of Zero Suit Samus, and will help to quell speculation concerning whether or not it will help or hurt Samus. I really don't think it'll matter either way, maybe a lil' to hurt, but it's not like Tifa had a chance here anyway. Her big goal is to do as well as possible to show that she has a chance at challenging Zelda (though the point is perhaps moot since such a match would be after TP).

Karma Hunter's Vote: Tifa. blah blah personality > Samus blah blah

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Samus Aran with 57.46% .

Tifa should clear 40% pretty easily here, I should hope. Everything else is fair game.

Upset Potential: 0%

Tifa isn't affiliated with Nintendo in the slightest! She has no chance here!



Guest’s Analysis - nintendogirl

Hey it’s me, the user you’ve never seen or even heard of before! I’m stepping in as the guest today because I think that even I can predict this one without looking like too much of an idiot. Before this year, I lurked during contest time but never really paid any interest to the subtleties of the contest. Swings and SFF and surprisingly, I had no concept of the Noble Nine.

So now, with all that knowledge and a little hoping I reckon I can quite happily say that Samus is going to win.

<_<

Okay, so you knew that bit. Samus is Noble Nine and there is I don’t think anyone in the main bracket that can hit over 47% on her. She is a fully-suited Nintendo mascot with missiles blaring while Tifa is the big boobed girl from FF7. Yeah, she had a cameo in KHII, but to be honest, it will mean absolutely nothing next to Samus.

Incidentally apparently even most of the casuals know that with Samus being the character with the highest bracket support in the second and third rounds and the second highest in the first round.

So, in summary, Samus will breeze through this match as she heads all the way to the Battle Royale with a comfortable margin against whoever meets her in the final.

Ngirl’s prediction: Samus with 59.83%



Crew Consensus: Easy Samus win says the Crew. Samus in the (surprise surprise!) mid to high 50's.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 9:59:19 PM | message detail | #282
...I thought I took out that line from Samus/Rikku! BAH
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/6/2006 10:03:04 PM | message detail | #283
I don't want to read about you. I want to read about the match. >_>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2006 10:08:54 PM | message detail | #284
Big Bob's completely biased and nonsensical analysis

Tifa has obviously boosted from Kingdom Hearts II. Samus has her ZSS pic, which could possibly hurt or help her. Samus is gonna win easily, but I fully expect this match to set off some alarms. Board 8 will be in a riot after this match happens.

Bob's Prediction: Samus with...um...hold on.

(goes to check what Sonic got on Tifa last year)

...56.39%
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
PokemonPatriarch | Posted 11/6/2006 10:16:58 PM | message detail | #285
What's truly ironic is that Samus has just as much if not more of TJF for once...and against TIFA!
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Proud fanboy of the Ogre Battle saga!!!
~~~Allah Approves~~~
Lopen | Posted 11/6/2006 10:23:06 PM | message detail | #286
Tifa > Samus? That's not my flavor of upset... you don't know me, Ashe!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
DpObliVion | Posted 11/6/2006 10:23:33 PM | message detail | #287
DpOblivion's Quick Analysis:

Divisional Finals are down, we now move to the SemiFinals! No Belarus here, but whatever, that's beside the point. The point is, we have Samus vs. Tifa, a great Noble Nine / Nintendo character vs. a strong Final Fantasy character. Should be an interesting match, but nothing more than a mere speedbump for Samus. Yup, the Noble Nine remains in tact after this year, folks. Hopefully noone's too disappointed about that fact.

My vote: Samus (even though I hate her)
My bracket: Samus over TIFA! I SWEAR TO ****ING GOD I HATE TIFA!!
My prediction: Samus with 57%

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 10:25:38 PM | message detail | #288
Ivy > Tifa in TJF, no TJF in Tifa/The Boss, sprite against Peach and Samus > Tifa in TJF.

This just hasn't been Tifa's contest TJF-wise.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Samus vs. Tifa - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (88/96)
Lugia2 | Posted 11/7/2006 6:32:42 AM | message detail | #289
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/7/2006 6:55:49 AM | message detail | #290
From Lopen
Tifa > Samus? That's not my flavor of upset... you don't know me, Ashe!

Hah! Well it's pretty clear now that it should be!
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 9:19:03 AM | message detail | #291
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Samus Aran with 57.46% .

Tifa should clear 40% pretty easily here, I should hope. Everything else is fair game.

Upset Potential: 0%

Tifa isn't affiliated with Nintendo in the slightest! She has no chance here!


LOL KH
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
TheSwizzle | Posted 11/7/2006 10:39:21 AM | message detail | #292
If only Vlado were here the guests would've won... DARN IT.
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"If at first you don't succeed, find out if the loser gets anything."
Lopen | Posted 11/7/2006 1:08:55 PM | message detail | #293
You know... if I knew they were using Malibu Suit Samus, I'd have made this match a lot closer. I really should've looked at the pic.

Believe it or not.

(Not this close, mind you.)
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
wavedash101 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:09:43 PM | message detail | #294
PIC FACTOR = APPROVED
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
wavedash101 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:10:43 PM | message detail | #295
lol KH!

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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
FourthDeus | Posted 11/7/2006 1:11:54 PM | message detail | #296
Upset Potential: 0%

Tifa isn't affiliated with Nintendo in the slightest! She has no chance here!


lol ZS Samus (aka Samus Fans are Morons Factor) + FFXII Factor
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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
DpObliVion | Posted 11/7/2006 1:39:51 PM | message detail | #297
I knew you were all going too high, but......wow.....

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 11/7/2006 3:46:39 PM | message detail | #298
Crono..................54.5% 68115
Auron..................45.5% 56865
TOTAL VOTES ............124980

46.04% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Pretty good prediction percent for Crono, considering it's well...Crono. Still, Auron made him sweat today, as he pulls 45.5% on the Noble Niner. We knew Auron was underrated last year, but it seems Auron is even stronger this year, and that Sub-Zero is pretty darn strong.

Today, I guess the casuals don't recognize ZSS is all. because Samus is barely beating Tifa!

Moltar - 11
HM - 10
KH - 10
Lopen - 9
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex) - 8
Ulti - 7
Yoblazer - 5

HM is on a tear as he gets another point.
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Samus vs. Tifa - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (88/96)
Master Moltar | Posted 11/7/2006 9:27:01 PM | message detail | #299
Triforce/Aeon Division: Round 4 - Match 58 – (1)Princess Zelda vs. (1)Yuna

Moltar’s Analysis

Zelda - This Twilight Princess looking to win another match.
Round 1 – 86.08% vs. Carmen (13.92%)
Round 2 – 79.45% vs. Terra (20.55%)
Round 3 – 56.87% vs. Aeris (43.13%)

Zelda beats Aeris Ulti-Style! How embarrassing.

Yuna - Our annual “Their division must have been real crappy if they could make it to Round 4” contestant this year!
Round 1 – 79.30% vs. Roll (20.70%)
Round 2 – 78.05% vs. Joanna (21.95%)
Round 3 – 60.84% vs. Chun-Li (39.16%)

Yuna laughs at Chun-Li’s attempt to challenge her.

The female half is almost over, and we still have predictible as crap matches, great. Oh well, at least the payoff of Snake/MM and Sonic/Crono should be worth it.

This match isn’t that bad. I mean, both these characters have impressed a lot of us round after round. Round 1, both blowout their opponents by much more than expected. Round 2, both again destroy their opponents, who had also been in the last Contest, by enough to make them look like Noble Nine people. Round 3, in debated matches, Zelda easily takes care of Aeris, and Yuna easily takes care of Chun-Li.

Now, if last year never happened, there may be some talk on this match. But, last year happened, so oh well Yuna. Yeah, if you don’t remember Yuna got thrashed by Ganondorf last year in a 61-39 affair. Now, Zelda is at Ganon’s level…so you put 2 and 2 together. At least Yuna had a good run though…and I’ll give her a couple percent extra for her efforts this Contest.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Zelda will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Zelda: 59% - Yuna: 41%



Ulti’s Analysis

We're in the final eight and still have eeeeeeeasy matches on the female side. All this is is a "guess the winner's percent!" type of match.

lolcwutididthur?

Prediction: Zelda with 65.00%



HM’s Analysis

Zelda

Previous Matches:

Zelda – 86.08% -- 102,509

Carmen Sandiego – 13.92% -- 16,578

Zelda – 79.45% -- 92,826

Terra Branford – 20.55% -- 24,005

Zelda – 56.87% -- 71,597

Aeris Gainsborough – 43.13% -- 54,300

Yuna

Previous Matches:

Yuna – 79.3% -- 97,716

Roll – 20.7% -- 25,501

Yuna – 78.05% -- 89,711

Joanna Dark – 21.95% -- 25,229

Yuna – 60.84% -- 71,634

Chun-Li – 39.16% -- 46,106

Zelda comes into this match looking absolutely dominative in every possible way. She has exceeded both expectations and stats in every single one of her matches. Her latest match gave FFVII its worst loss in contest history, beating out Link’s beat down of Sephiroth in 2002. That kind of strength is very nice to see from Zelda. Yuna, too, comes into this match looking much stronger than usual. She’s exceeded expectations and made Chun-Li look like nothing with an easy victory over here.

With all that said, even with both of them having impressed, Zelda comes into this match with much more impressive wins and over stronger characters. She took care of Aeris nearly as well as Yuna took care of Chun-Li; that about takes care of any questions surrounding the winner of this one. What will be really interesting to see in this match is if Zelda can match, or get close, to what Ganon put up on Yuna last year. Of course, Yuna looking stronger this year may have Zelda having trouble matching the percentage, but it will be great if she’s able to.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/7/2006 9:27:49 PM | message detail | #300
Zelda’s path, for the most part, seems pretty set regardless of this match. She has a showdown with Samus next round for the female bracket winner and I think she has a shot there, even if it’s not a great one. If Zelda can match, or even exceed, Ganon’s percentage last year, I think she’ll be looking really good. I doubt she wins without Twilight Princess out, but considering the new screenshots and trailer that have her in them – she looks fantastic, I might add – she may put on a show here and in the next round.

She’s been the highlight of the contest for me and it’ll be good to see that continue here !!

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Zelda

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Zelda – 62% ; Yuna – 38%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Zelda





Yoblazer’s Analysis

This match has me a lot more conflicted right now than it did about 22 hours ago. On the one hand, Tifa is having one of the great performances in contest history against Samus Aran as we speak. Could Final Fantasy XII be having a profound effect? Could KHII have boosted its female characters more than we previously thought? Add to this the fact that Yuna has already looked amazing herself, and the concept of another FF overperformance is looming its ominous head.

However, there's also no denying the fact that Zelda scored 57% against Aeris. Think about it... fifty-seven ****ing percent on a character who many once thought could challenge or even defeat Tifa. I get the feeling that a lot of people will go low here in the face of Tifa's miraculous job, but there's no way I give this to Zelda with less than 57%. Absolutely no way. Hell, up until yesterday, I was ready to put her a good percentage point or so ahead of Ganon's percentage last year (which means I would have picked Zelda with about 62-63%). Sadly, I'm too chicken for that bold of a prediction now, but I still have a feeling Zelda will lay the smack down.

Now, if you gentlemen will excuse me, the polls close in less than an hour, and I feel like voting for some reason. America FTW.

My prediction: Zelda def. Yuna (60-40)



Lopen’s Analysis

Yuna doing better than Aeris… it defies all logic we've had from previous years. And yet, I think it could happen here. Yuna has just looked better than Aeris this year. Come on, beating KOS-MOS with 61.65% or beating Chun Li with 60.84%? Which is better? I know I'd take Chun Li to beat KOS-MOS without sweating it too much. Heck, she almost looked as good as freaking Mario against Joanna Dark.

So that's what this match boils down to: previous expectations vs. current expectations. I'm taking current. I can't explain why Yuna's suddenly become a bracket steamrolling machine (okay, small brackets!). Maybe she's been hitting the megaelixir this year. Who knows? All I know is based on this year, not 2003 or 2004 or 2005... Yuna's looking better.

Does she have a chance? Would be nice… but no, I'm not going that far!

Lopen's prediction: Zelda with 55.85%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

Zelda

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 19th Place [30.29%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 14th Place [30.89%]

Zelda whipped up on Aeris last round beyond almost anyone's expectations, solidifying her place in the Final Four. And with the way that freaking Samus is performing on the other FF7 girl...Zelda for the Finals??? o_O

Yuna

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 34th Place [23.66%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 31st Place [23.92%]

Yuna destroys Chun-Li last round, making it her third straight overperformance in a row. If it weren't for the uber-Zelda that we've been seeing, people would be calling for the upset here, believe you me.
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