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Fall 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/22/2006 6:48:08 AM | message detail | #251
I fancy doing a guest write-up at some point since I'm conveniently shacked up at home, unable to walk. Damn you drunken injuries!
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Contest Score: 45/48 Todays Pick: Snake
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 6:52:17 AM | message detail | #252
I demand exclusive rights for the guest spots of all of Ashe's matches next contest. >_>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/22/2006 4:00:29 PM | message detail | #253
Chun Li..................55.54% 64126
Lara Croft .............44.46% 51338
TOTAL VOTES..................115464

33.13% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Chun-Li started off strong, but Lara fought back, and in the end, we got this result. Makes Lara look pretty good...

Today, Snake is beating Squall with ease.

Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex) - 8
Moltar - 7
KH - 7
Lopen - 7
HM - 6
Ulti - 5
Yoblazer - 2

HM with another point.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Snake vs. Squall - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (44/48)
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/22/2006 4:01:01 PM | message detail | #254
lol Lara underestimaters >_>
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 46/48 Today: Snake
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 6:36:20 PM | message detail | #255
Jill Valentine vs. Princess Peach
+7 Mo
+6 Guest
+5 HM
+4 KH
+3 Ulti
+2 Yo
-1 Lo

Zelda vs. Terra Branford
+7 Guest
+6 HM
+5 Yo
+4 Ulti
+3 Mo
+2 KH
+1 Lo

KOS-MOS vs. Aeris Gainsborough
+7 Guest
+6 Mo
+5 Ulti
+4 HM
+3 Yo
+2 Lo
+1 KH

Yuna vs. Joanna Dark
+7 Mo
+6 KH
+5 Yo
+4 HM
+3 Guest
+2 Lo
+1 Ulti

Chun-Li vs. Lara Croft
+7 HM
+6 Yo
+5 Guest
+4 Mo
+3 KH
+2 Ulti
+1 Lo

Solid Snake vs. Squall Leonhart
+7 KH
+6 Yo
+5 Lo
+4 Mo
+3 HM
+2 Ulti
-1 Guest


The Rankings (Through Tifa vs. The Boss)
1. Karma Hunter (180)
2. Master Moltar (171)
3. Heroic Mario (159)
4. UltimaterializerX (143)
5. Yoblazer (141)
6. Board 8 (136)
7. Lopen (97)

First off, I apologize profusely for the huge delay. Even with six matches added to the total scoreboard, there was absolutely no change in positions. Looks like the removal of only two extra predictors makes for a much more consistent scoreboard, as people were moving up and down the rankings on a daily basis during the series contest. Also, it looks like Master Moltar has made up some ground on Karma Hunter. With what might be a split match on tap for tonight, this could be Moltar's chance to strike.

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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 6:36:56 PM | message detail | #256
go Lopen!
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 6:39:20 PM | message detail | #257
Board 8 is like Lopen but with strength in numbers and on crack!
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 6:42:43 PM | message detail | #258
Who were the other two predictors last time?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 6:47:33 PM | message detail | #259
Who were the other two predictors last time?

XxSoulxX, HaRRicH, Leonhart, and therealmnm were also predictors last time (we had a total of nine). For this contest, our new predictors are Karma Hunter and, of course, the "Guest" slot.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 6:48:57 PM | message detail | #260
Ah. Might I point out that 1.3~ of the new predictors are made of quality and win?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 6:55:25 PM | message detail | #261
Soul kind of got shafted, admittedly, considering he won in the last contest. That said, aside from the occasional Lopen controversy, I think this year's turned out very nicely.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 6:57:36 PM | message detail | #262
How are the people who end up getting in decided on? Like, how did KH get in and why didn't Soul?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
therealmnm | Posted 10/22/2006 6:58:38 PM | message detail | #263
Moltar runs the show.
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Devil May Cry, Mega Man ZX
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 6:59:29 PM | message detail | #264
Yeah. How does he decide?

Bah, screw it. *stops with the annoying questions*
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 7:08:53 PM | message detail | #265
Moltar decided by BRIBES!

Nah, he did what he felt was best for the Crew this year and wanted to give other people their chance to make analyses too, since that's a common complaint that they feel like they can compete like anybody else on the Crew.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 7:26:49 PM | message detail | #266
I really didn't want Soul to miss out at my expense, but I didn't want to stiff Moltar either. So, bah. I just have to kick as much ass as possible to prove myself! Chip on shoulder FTW

(also it probably saves face for Soul as he would be doing TERRIBLY this year)
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 7:29:33 PM | message detail | #267
Amen. I would replace Ulti with someone more dedicated if I was Moltar, but that's just me! Half his write-ups are a word long, and while it's fitting in plenty of blowout jokes matches, it'd be nice if there was a little more substance in other matches.

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I'm so hardcore.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 7:29:49 PM | message detail | #268
he he he he he he he he he he alyx
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 7:32:01 PM | message detail | #269
I'll concur with that -- not that every blow-out's analysis needs to be like mine from Zelda/Carmen, but you don't see much effort from him on that anymore. He feels like he's kept around because he's a classic to the Crew, yet Soul was dropped.....
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 7:51:44 PM | message detail | #270
I generally look forward to KH and HM's predictions the most, and easily find Ulti's predictions to be the least interesting. Moltar, Lopen and Yo are all average, with Moltar being the most consistent quality-wise of the three. Guests? We are exactly as we should be, with writeups as good as Chun-Li/Lara Croft, along with writeups as bad as Phoenix/Gordon and whatever my first round writeup was. =/

I have to admit though, I didn't like Squallid's writeup for some reason. :x
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 7:53:18 PM | message detail | #271
My write-ups are the best!

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I'm so hardcore.
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2006 7:55:02 PM | message detail | #272
Yuna vs. Joanna Dark
+7 Mo
+6 KH
+5 Yo
+4 HM
+3 Guest
+2 Lo
+1 Ulti


Ulti predicted Magus with 87.xx%. He got the wrong winner, he should get -1 for that one. ... what? I'm completely serious!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2006 7:56:52 PM | message detail | #273
Whoa whoa whoa... was I just called average? Fine, Ashe, you'll get no more of my fanclub benefits!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 7:59:53 PM | message detail | #274
In quality of writeups, yes. In quality of picks? Not a chance.
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The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 8:02:35 PM | message detail | #275
Heh, I would actually support Ulti not gettin' a point for not turning one in. Not cost him any points, mind you, but you don't see Soul getting points for not turning in an analysis.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2006 8:09:26 PM | message detail | #276
Psh, even a wrong analysis is better than none at all. At least that's the way I see it. Not that I care, really... I've said in the past that this topic puts more emphasis on the points than should be anyway.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 8:10:00 PM | message detail | #277
I agree. My fellow guests, Ulti and Yo are within striking range! Stop making ridiculous picks! =D
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 8:10:41 PM | message detail | #278
yeah - why bother being right? it's being daring that counts!
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xyzzy
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/22/2006 8:13:23 PM | message detail | #279
From Lopen
Psh, even a wrong analysis is better than none at all.

That is what I said, which is why I put you above Ulti. o.o
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/22/2006 8:22:28 PM | message detail | #280
Yeah. How does he decide?

Dartboard!

Oh fine, I keep an eye on what other contest-followers say and predict, and look for the cream of the crop. Of course, plenty of other candidates get turned down in the process, so sometimes rotation is necessary.

Oh, and "dropping" Leon, Soul, mnm and HaRR from the Crew was insanely hard for me to do. I don't plan on doing anything that drastic again. I just really wasn't too happy with the huge 9 person Crew, so I decided to trim it down to 7. I also wanted a Guest spot, so anyone would be able to be part of the Crew for at least one match (plus, it cuts down on "omgz plz can i be on da krew?!?!").



Anyway, speaking of Ulti, his Yoshi/Dante analysis is his longest so far! It's also split 3-3 at the moment. Woo!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Snake vs. Squall - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (44/48)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:23:54 PM | message detail | #281
I thought about giving Ulti 0 points for not having a write-up at all, but he would have obviously picked Chun-Li.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:24:34 PM | message detail | #282
Split? God dammit Guest, you better have gone with Dante, or I'm ripping off your balls. Do me proud Lopen!

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I'm so hardcore.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 8:24:43 PM | message detail | #283
Yoshi/Dante was long? ehhhhh...

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:24:52 PM | message detail | #284
Wow, I better start writing mine.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 8:27:37 PM | message detail | #285
Lopen obviously has Dante, and HM has had him from the beginning as well. Moltar should defer to Yoshi thanks to having him in his bracket and Yoshi fanboyism, Ulti will likely go with Yoshi for the same reasons...

...so that leaves me, Yo, and Guest.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:28:07 PM | message detail | #286
Split 3-3, and yo didn't send his in?

Moltar - Yoshi
KH - Dante
Lopen - Dante
HM - Dante
Ulti - Yoshi
Guest - Yoshi

m i rite?

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I'm so hardcore.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:28:39 PM | message detail | #287
darn you kh
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I'm so hardcore.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/22/2006 8:29:31 PM | message detail | #288
Yoshi/Dante was long? ehhhhh...

Compared to your other ones...

Moltar should defer to Yoshi thanks to having him in his bracket and Yoshi fanboyism

Only right on one of those accounts, buddy!!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Snake vs. Squall - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (44/48)
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:32:50 PM | message detail | #289

Compared to your other ones...


more like compared to his wang m i rite? lololol

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I'm so hardcore.
Lugia2 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:35:04 PM | message detail | #290
"longest" from Ulti, these days, could mean two paragraphs. Oye.

Yoshi/Dante...this'll be fun, like Jill/Peach. Or it could suck, like the majority of the matches that were supposed to be nice, like the Celes/Big Boss one...Oye...
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 8:35:04 PM | message detail | #291
for KH, it depends on if he goes with his bracket or with his recent thoughts on the match. I'd expect the latter, ie Dante.
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xyzzy
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 8:36:30 PM | message detail | #292
I'm expecting it to be over in 15 minutes personally. You have no idea how much I hope there's an absolute slaughter in favor of Dante in today's match. Dante with 57% would make me hard.

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I'm so hardcore.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/22/2006 8:37:30 PM | message detail | #293
It's like one big guessing game in here!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 8:43:28 PM | message detail | #294
I figure Yoshi will be ahead after the first five minutes, then Dante takes over from there to win the match in a 54-46 match.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2006 8:51:37 PM | message detail | #295
yeah - why bother being right? it's being daring that counts!

Damn straight! Er...

Man, what I'm saying is that if the analysis argues the % well, or is just that awesome, it doesn't matter that much if you're way off. Psh, you damn kids just can't appreciate quality unless it's backed up by a number. It's not my fault you have a narrow outlook on things!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 8:54:03 PM | message detail | #296
I have to agree with Lopen here...I don't see much of a difference with taking Kairi to win with 60% (which is what I did) and Jill to win with 60%. I felt my analysis (or lack thereof) was solid enough, but it still ended up being dead wrong. I don't feel like I should be punished or penalized, I feel foolish enough.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/22/2006 8:57:11 PM | message detail | #297
It's best just to think of Lopen as someone who is very distant from the reality of things and rarely -- but sometimes -- gets really lucky and predicts a match correctly !!


(I have not the slightest clue what the hell you guys are arguing about!)

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 8:57:57 PM | message detail | #298
well, the idea of analysis is to be right. the number isn't everything, but it does matter somewhat. if you're a mile off every match, it isn't saying much for your predicting skills!

that said, I'll take a wrong analysis over a correct pick - ie, INDESTRUCTIBLE LOPEN to Ulti's six word "analyses".
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 8:59:37 PM | message detail | #299
well, the idea of analysis is to be right. the number isn't everything, but it does matter somewhat. if you're a mile off every match, it isn't saying much for your predicting skills!

...Lopen is in dead-last place in the guru for a reason. You guys knew what you were getting into when you signed him up!
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:00:32 PM | message detail | #300
I blame Moltar!

nah, I love Lopen's analysis. much better than I would do, even if my score doubled his in the end!
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xyzzy
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