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Fall 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:10:20 PM | message detail | #451
Oh man... if Kirby pulled a Squall I'd probably rip a hole through my jeans with a raging boner.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2006 9:10:26 PM | message detail | #452
If Kirby manages to win, I daresay anyone would call it a fluke. If you can give Bowser a good match and beat Luigi, you're pretty high up on the Nintendo ladder.
Big Bob | Posted 10/26/2006 9:10:30 PM | message detail | #453
Big Bob's biased and completely nonsensical analysis

That'll be the last time I do this before reading the crew's predictions.

Anyway, it's simple math here.

Yoshi << Bowser (2k3)
Luigi << Yoshi (2k4)
Kirby < Bowser (2k5)

What does that mean?

Luigi <<< Kirby

And Kirby fought a stronger Bowser than Yoshi did! Kirby 60-40'd the Prince of Persia, who's had three great games on the major consoles this generation! Kirby also has a part in the Super Smash Bros. Brawl trailer (something Luigi didn't have), so that should give him a small boost as well (it seems to have helped Snake so far). Luigi may have beat Zero, but Zero's already shown weakness.

Bob's Predicition: Kirby with 55%
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 9:11:39 PM | message detail | #454
Well, basically the only way Kirby proves it was legitimate is by beating Luigi, but even then, he could still "fluke" a win.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:13:10 PM | message detail | #455
Well the idea behind "fluking" the win is more that he has the ability to overperform on Nintendo characters. Put Kirby and say Luigi up against a completely random non ninty-guy, and Luigi does better. Do I believe that? No, but I think that's what they're saying.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 9:14:18 PM | message detail | #456
Either way, the idea that Luigi beats Kirby despite Bowser struggling mightily against him confuses me.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/26/2006 9:14:35 PM | message detail | #457
It will mean that Kirby is legitimately really high up on the Nintendo chain, but not too much for his actual contest strength. We'd get a good read against Sonic regardless, but it'd be Luigi who could be potentially underrated.

On the opposite side of possibilities, Luigi would have the potential to be severely overrated if he ended up winning and facing Sonic. Though I doubt his proxy power (Shadow is the cool Sonic, Luigi is the wimpy Mario), the possibility is always there.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/26/2006 9:15:07 PM | message detail | #458
yoblazer mor lik noblazer mirite?!

And really, I'll be dumbfounded if Luigi outperforms Bowser on Kirby. That was my thought when I had Kirby taking this fourpack if he fought Luigi. I just couldn't see it. I mean, if anything, Luigi should be easier to overperform on that Bowser.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Vincent - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (50/56)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:15:27 PM | message detail | #459
Same here... I mean, does anyone really dispute that Bowser > Luigi on the pecking order? Because if not, I don't see how you could possibly take Luigi in this match up. You have an insanely small margin of error to work with there.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 9:15:29 PM | message detail | #460
Shadow is the cool Sonic

Die.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:15:54 PM | message detail | #461
Same here goes along with Leon's post. Silly me not quoting.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/26/2006 9:16:25 PM | message detail | #462
Either way, the idea that Luigi beats Kirby despite Bowser struggling mightily against him confuses me.

It could suggest that Luigi is simply better with the SFF despite being weaker. They could be nearly even a la Mario/Samus but Luigi could end up handing out a similar beatdown.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 9:17:29 PM | message detail | #463
I don't know. SFF is difficult to pull when characters are close in strength. I don't think it makes a difference in who wins or loses. Whoever is legitimately stronger wins, in my opinion.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/26/2006 9:18:02 PM | message detail | #464
Die.

I hate Shadow as much as the next guy, but you can't deny that is his defining character trait. He's Sonic, only dark, has hover boots and he's vaguely badass and anti-heroic.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
PokemonPatriarch | Posted 10/26/2006 9:18:07 PM | message detail | #465
I'm excited about this match, but I see Luigi following suit with pals Yoshi and Peach.

Ironically, I don't see the strongest Mario character in this contest making the sweet sixteen (Bowser)!!!
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Proud fanboy of the Ogre Battle saga!!!
~~~Allah Approves~~~
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:18:24 PM | message detail | #466
This match is reminding me of Dante/Yoshi so much. Despite Dante having every apparent advantage, and all logic and signs pointing to him winning, Yoshi wins anyway. And now, despite everything pointing to Kirby, and all logic telling me he should win, my faith in his victory is extremely shakey.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/26/2006 9:19:38 PM | message detail | #467
There was always one piece of logic that put Yoshi in that match, and that was Yoshi/Luigi 2004. Downplay it all you like, but Yoshi > Luigi was staring us all in the face and I'm not gonna doubt it any more.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/26/2006 9:20:05 PM | message detail | #468
Ironically, I don't see the strongest Mario character in this contest making the sweet sixteen (Bowser)!!!

None of the other Mario characters had to go up against a Noble Nine member though.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2006 9:20:21 PM | message detail | #469
I just want Luigi to win. I don't care by how much. I just want him to get out of the ****ing second round for once.

Also, I can't see Kirby winning with more than 52%-53%, but I could definitely see Luigi making Kirby look worse than Zero.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/26/2006 9:21:58 PM | message detail | #470
Also, I can't see Kirby winning with more than 52%-53%, but I could definitely see Luigi making Kirby look worse than Zero.

Typically that's what would give me the clear indication toward Luigi, but I had that same feeling with Peach against Jill and it ended up being more or less a tie.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:21:59 PM | message detail | #471
There was always one piece of logic that put Yoshi in that match, and that was Yoshi/Luigi 2004. Downplay it all you like, but Yoshi > Luigi was staring us all in the face and I'm not gonna doubt it any more.

True, but there was about 18 factors in Dante's favor compared to Yoshi's one, and in a match where SFF very well could have taken place, it wasn't exactly rock solid. The signs were there, or rather the sign, but Dante should have been favored after Round 1 without question, and I still feel good about my Dante pick despite it being wrong.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 9:22:47 PM | message detail | #472
lol analysis crew more like contest stats and discussion

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
DpObliVion | Posted 10/27/2006 12:19:59 AM | message detail | #473
Moltar and yo get the point with 53%, same as me. I lost count, I don't know whether that would be my 4th or my 5th point.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
transience | Posted 10/27/2006 12:20:51 AM | message detail | #474
guess i uh overshot

oh well
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xyzzy
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/27/2006 12:21:03 AM | message detail | #475
Last I checked, this match wasn't over.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
DpObliVion | Posted 10/27/2006 12:22:01 AM | message detail | #476
I was talking about Sonic/Vincent.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/27/2006 12:26:59 AM | message detail | #477
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Vincent Valentine
+7 Mo (tie)
+7 Yo (tie)
+5 HM
+4 KH
+3 Lo
+2 Ulti
-1 Guest

The Rankings (Through Sonic vs. Vincent)
1. Master Moltar (188)
2. Karma Hunter (185)
3. Heroic Mario (177)
4. Yoblazer (165)
5. UltimaterializerX (161)
6. Board 8 (145)
7. Lopen (107)

After weeks of clawing and scratching his way up the mountain, Master Moltar has finally made it to the top. But with Karma Hunter hot on his trail and Heroic Mario closing the gap, how long can he stay there?
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Lugia2 | Posted 10/27/2006 5:42:16 AM | message detail | #478
STUPID LUIGI!

You're not supposed to get past the second match! Who are you, Gordon Freeman? My bracket is dead! Stop killing it unless you're going to kill Sonic and drive the whole board insane!

And since that last one is almost impossible...
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 5:45:45 AM | message detail | #479
Ulti or Yo better end up getting this point. Maybe HM. The guests need to stay in first! D:
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/27/2006 9:03:19 PM | message detail | #480
Sonic the Hedgehog.................52.09% 64699
Vincent Valentine....................47.91% 59497
TOTAL VOTES...................................124196

52.61% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Wow, I thought Sonic would have a little more bracket support here, even though the competition was tough. Anyway, Vincent proves he's not a one-hit wonder by becoming the closest non-Noble Nine character to beat Sonic.

Today, Luigi is all like, "lol kirby".

Moltar - 8
Lopen - 8
KH - 8
Guest (Wigs, SilverNightmareX7, EC (2), TheRye, transience, Lady Ashe, Kleenex) - 8
HM - 7
Ulti - 6
Yoblazer - 3

Yo and I share a point.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Kirby vs. Luigi - Bracket: Kirby - Vote: Kirby (52/58)
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:04:25 PM | message detail | #481
D:

We need our lead back, damnit!
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:05:53 PM | message detail | #482
HM has the point this time, so as long as we win this next one, it's all good.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/27/2006 9:11:15 PM | message detail | #483
Thanks for putting the pressure on me guys.

*Is guest for Bowser/Crono
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:12:04 PM | message detail | #484
As long as you don't have Bowser winning that'll make me happy enough.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 10/27/2006 9:13:16 PM | message detail | #485
What does to take to make it on the Guest List?
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/27/2006 9:13:26 PM | message detail | #486
lol, I almost pulled the trigger, but not quite.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:13:46 PM | message detail | #487
Oh, and I have a write-up ready in case Portugal forgets for tomorrow. >_>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:13:54 PM | message detail | #488
Penis envy.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:14 PM | message detail | #489
From TrueHeroComplex
What does to take to make it on the Guest List?

It takes signing up in the Guest Sign-Up topics.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:34 PM | message detail | #490
Oh, and I have a write-up ready in case Portugal forgets for tomorrow. >_>

More like when EC owns everybody for a third time in a row m i rite?

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
trannyscience | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:32 PM | message detail | #491
let me predict your writeup:

KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS

Prediction: Sub-Zero with 99%
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zizzy
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:24 PM | message detail | #492
My write-ups are all more style than substance. They also happen to be incredibly accurate! =D
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
trannyscience | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:51 PM | message detail | #493
sounds like your posts, only without the style!
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zizzy
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:27:33 PM | message detail | #494
KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS KHF SUCKS

Actually it's more like KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS, KHF SUCKS, SUB-ZERO SUCKS. Prince of Persia with 104% of the vote

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
EyEs fr0m Ab0vE | Posted 10/27/2006 9:33:14 PM | message detail | #495
5...
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"them memory is xbox hard down the framerate"
From: Fluxeon | Posted: 4/26/2004 2:48:33 PM |
Master Moltar | Posted 10/27/2006 9:38:55 PM | message detail | #496
hay guyz new topik wit corno/bwosr
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Kirby vs. Luigi - Bracket: Kirby - Vote: Kirby (52/58)
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:40:09 PM | message detail | #497
hey moltar go stuff a chicken in ur butt
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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:45:50 PM | message detail | #498
^So much win.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
DaBoMbDiGiTy15 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:48:17 PM | message detail | #499
numba

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Is or...was alat778
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:48:29 PM | message detail | #500
Wtf I can't stop laffing. =/
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
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