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Fall 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

Lugia2 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:17:18 PM | message detail | #101
ATTN: Guests

STOP MAKING ****TY PICKS KTHX.

I second that.


I third that. As a former PW supporter, I thought it needed a bit more logic. The thought I was going through would've made it closer to 50%. Oh well...

Actually, it looks like KH has this. Lopen goes with the lowest...and loses.
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:42:57 PM | message detail | #102
MM whats your email again >_<; Gotta get to sending you Ganon/Vincent pretty soon =P
Garsha_III | Posted 10/3/2006 3:08:30 PM | message detail | #103
Mind if I can know too?
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George Harrison > Flonne
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 3:14:09 PM | message detail | #104
MasterMoltar@gmail.com
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Phoenix vs. Gordon - Bracket: Gordon - Vote: Gordon (20/21)
Lopen | Posted 10/3/2006 3:26:02 PM | message detail | #105
Don't get too cocky...

Yeah, yeah. Well, at least my Oracle looks good now!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 3:40:18 PM | message detail | #106
Sora........................75.61% 93568
Tingle......................24.39% 30176
TOTAL VOTES..................123744

92.66% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

It may be Tingle, but he's still from Legend of Zelda. Even being one of the worst characters in the series can put up nearly 25% on Sora.

Today, Freeman is winning...wow.

Lopen - 6
Moltar - 4
KH - 4
Ulti - 4
HM - 2
Yoblazer - 1
Guest (Wigs) - 1

Yay me.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Phoenix vs. Gordon - Bracket: Gordon - Vote: Gordon (20/21)
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 8:06:57 PM | message detail | #107
Hit or miss Lopen hits again!

No foresight Leonhart strikes again!

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I'm so hardcore.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 8:10:15 PM | message detail | #108
Destiny Division: Round 1 - Match 23 – (3)Kratos vs. (6)Ryu

Moltar’s Analysis

Kratos
Game/Series Known From: God of War
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 44th (18.70%)
Seed in 2005: 3
Lost in 2005 to Alucard in Round 1

The God of War is back and with another 3-seed. Impressive.

Ryu
Game/Series Known From: Street Fighter
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 10th (34.62%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 18th (30.69%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 9th (29.84%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 23rd (27.47%)
Seed in 2002: 4
Seed in 2003: 5
Seed in 2004: 9
Seed in 2005: 2
Lost in 2002 to Samus in Round 2
Lost in 2003 to Snake in the Round 3
Lost in 2004 to Sonic in Round 2
Lost in 2005 to Bowser in Round 2

While he looks less impressive over the years, the Street Fighter still remains one of the strongest.

Ouch, another bad draw for Kratos. Last year, he faces the underseeded Alucard and gets 45% on him, impressing a lot of people. Now he faces Ryu, who is another underseeded opponent. Ryu should have no trouble here, unless he’s fallen further off the map.

Don’t let Kratos’ 2005 number fool you though, the God of War is pretty strong, and 40% on Ryu is a nice number to shoot for (and in reach too).

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Ryu will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Ryu: 60% - Kratos: 40%



Ulti’s Analysis

All that whining about how the female side sucked, yet the male side hasn't been any less predictable so far.

Prediction: Ryu with 66.65%



HM’s Analysis

Believe it or not, this is one of my more anticipated matches of the first round. Why, you ask? Because I’m a huge fan of Kratos. That man exudes badass on such a level that almost no other character can match. The very definition of an anti-hero! Even better is that Kratos should exceed expectations by quite a bit here, and he’ll only grow stronger in the coming years thanks to God of War II and his original title, God of War, still selling like hotcakes.

Kratos came out last year and lost to Alucard in a 55-45 affair, which wasn’t too bad considering he was a newcomer. The main issue was when Sora, who Alucard faced after Kratos, got beamed by Solid Snake, making the whole group look extremely weak. But regardless, Kratos has reason to come out this year and receive a fairly significant boost. Since the last contest, his game has sold an additional 600,000 copies to bring the total in America to around 1.2 million. Last year, his game had only sold 600,000 copies. So the exposure is definitely spread out more and with his new game coming out in 2007, there is a definite focus on him to put him a step above the one hit wonder action heroes we see so often these days.

Ryu, on the other hand, came out not looking as impressive last year by getting beat down hard by Bowser. Still a very strong competitor, no doubt about it, but one that is not as strong as he used to be; this should be beneficial to Kratos, even moreso if Ryu is lower this year. Of course, this match is not one that Kratos can win, unfortunately.

This probably won’t be all that exciting, but Kratos is definitely going to surprise a few folks who think that Ryu is just going to dominate the match. Kratos should put on an impressive performance here and should bring himself well above the fodder line. This is one of the characters that we should see start to become a real strong force in these contests over time.

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Ryu

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Ryu – 58% ; Kratos – 42%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Kratos
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 8:10:42 PM | message detail | #109
Yoblazer’s Analysis

Thanks to that jerkwad Sora, this match is a bit tough to peg. While Ryu is one of the contest's more consistent performers, Kratos was obviously behind a huge anomoly last year (Snake/Sora). According to the stats, Ryu would beat the God of War star with about 66%.

Of course, when one takes a quick look at Kratos, it's clear that he won't get beaten so soundly. Last year, he scored a very impressive 44.5% on Alucard, a contest veteran. Unfortunately, we haven't had a decent read on Alucard since 2003, but he did decently enough in his losses against Ganondorf and Sora, so there's no reason for me to believe that he's fallen off the map or anything. Kratos's first contest experience may have been a pretty good one, but the big reason I believe he'll do well here lies in recent popularity of his game.

Even though God of War was popular and enjoyed healthy sales upon release, it has practically exploded ever since becoming a Greatest Hits title. I think sales have actually doubled since the smaller price tag, and this means an extremely steady stream of popularity and exposure for Kratos. Right now, it certainly looks as if Devil May Cry 3's increased sales have given Dante a small shot in the arm, so the same will probably hold true for Kratos. I expect him to be stronger this year. With God of War 2 on the horizon and certain other projects on the PS3 (because Sony would be stupid not to), Kratos has a huge upside; I think he definitely has the potential to take the place of guys like Dante and Zero. Right now, however, he'll have to settle for a respectable loss to Ryu.

My prediction: Ryu def. Kratos (56-44)



Lopen’s Analysis

Ryu may have looked crappier than ever last year, but even with that crappiness coming through, he still looked better than anything Alucard has ever done. What does that mean? That means because Alucard beat Kratos pretty easily last year, Ryu too should have a fairly easy time taking out the God of War.

Percentage time? No, not yet. Sure, I could just throw out a really high % and make you all go like "haw haw hit or miss Lopen strikes again!", but that's not how I roll. I want you to feel my thought process!

Okay, okay… check this out… Mario/Street Fighter SFF. Crazy? Maybe, but just think about it! Ryu got 45% on Sonic, and he can only manage a paltry 40% on Bowser? Wassapwitdat? I'll tell you wassapwitdat! They were both hits on the SNES, and Mario rules the SNES. Oh, sure, Genesis had Street Fighter as well… but man, it just wasn't as hip to play Street Fighter on the Sega. It was mainly a SNES game, it's true! And also, they're both from the old school, that means Ryu loses all his "icon power" when he goes against Bowser. Yeap. Watch out for Chun Li, too… she was also a victim of this nonsense!

… what? This makes sense! Open your mind!

Lopen's prediction: Ryu with 62.28%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

KRATOS

"The monster you've created has returned, to kill you.

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 48th Place [18.70%]

WOO KRATOS

RYU

"The fight is everything."

Summer 2002 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 10th Place [34.62%]

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 18th Place [29.70%]
Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 16th Place [29.84%]
Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 25th Place [27.47%]

WOO RYU
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 8:11:52 PM | message detail | #110
Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Kratos: N/A
Ryu: N/A

Upcoming Releases

Kratos: God of War II (PS2)
Ryu: N/A

I'm repeatedly watching Walt Disney's The Little Mermaid Two-Disc Special Platinum Edition DVD Boxset right now while waiting for the universe to implode.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Kratos.

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Ryu with 59.87%.

Upset Potential: 2.5%

Upset Prediction: Kratos with 54.33%



Guest’s Analysis - meche313

My turn to try and give Board 8 a breathe because they are getting such a beating by the Crew for now, heh. Anyway, the match I'm about to analyze is between two characters that some other videogame characters worthy enough to get to a GameFaqs contest have there same name! Who then? They are obviously Kratos and Ryu!

I personally took this match because I like one of the characters or I really think the underdog can give the other character a run for his money, but of the remaining matches it was one that looked a bit too debated on the board (not really between the gurus or veterans on this contest) but that's why the crew is here afterall.

So let's go with the analysis. Both of them had legit matches, no SFF nearby and there numbers seem reliable enough at first glance. So with the lol x-stats Ryu should get around 66%. Meche's predict...No! Wait a minute. It's not like that. Let's really analyze! And what do we get? Oh, right. Ryu had a direct match with Bowser! Remember that Bowser did too well against Solid Snake, so he might be slightly overrated. Tidus was behind this, and look at his match this year. Looks like total fodder. It might be SFF at its best, but things certainly don't look well so far. What can we say about Kratos? The opposite really. He was behind the over-performance of Solid Snake against Sora. So what can we deduct? That Snake really mess up the lol x-stats last year! Well...yeah, but looking more into it, the match can actually be more close that what the stats expect. Now, Street Fighter hang pretty well against post-RE4 RE series, so Ryu, even though last year looked to be his worst, he shouldn't really fall off the map. Something important to note is that even if Kratos gets God of War 3 tomorrow, he would lost anyway. And that's that.

Meche's prediction: Ryu with 62.55%


Crew Consensus: Kratos will do well on Ryu, but he isn't going to win. Ryu from the mid-high 50's to the mid-60's.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 8:19:55 PM | message detail | #111
That man exudes badass on such a level that almost no other character can match.

Too bad his opponent is one of those few who exceeds that level!

And KH stole the Ryu line from my write-up!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/3/2006 8:32:17 PM | message detail | #112
Ryu never approaches that level!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/3/2006 8:33:00 PM | message detail | #113
Don't think I've forgotten about my PoP write-up either, I've just been really busy with school, I'll probably write it tomorrow or the day after.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Lugia2 | Posted 10/3/2006 8:59:40 PM | message detail | #114
...Great. We're back to obvious matches, now that the Phoenix Wright parade has imploded. Then again, Ganondorf/Vincent is in a few days. And this time, my pick actually makes more sense than something like VNW.
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/3/2006 10:41:50 PM | message detail | #115
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/3/2006 10:43:26 PM | message detail | #116
Sora vs. Tingle
+7 Mo
+6 KH
+5 HM
+4 Guest
+3 Yo
+2 Ulti
+1 Lo

Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman
+7 KH
+6 HM
+5 Mo
+4 Yo
+3 Lo
+2 Ulti
-1 Guest

The Rankings (Through Phoenix vs. Gordon)
1. Karma Hunter (109)
2. Master Moltar (99)
3. Heroic Mario (89)
4. UltimaterializerX (86)
5. Yoblazer (81)
6. Lopen (66)
7. Board 8 (60)

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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
DpObliVion | Posted 10/3/2006 10:58:12 PM | message detail | #117
DpOblivion's Quick Analysis:

In the wake of Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman, this match has been kind of forgotton. Unless it's just because this is a much more obvious upset. And that's all I have to say about that, because damn you Gordon Freeman.

My vote: Kratos, I suppose
My bracket: Ryu
My prediction: Ryu with 63%

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
FantasyFreak999 | Posted 10/3/2006 11:02:50 PM | message detail | #118
...dammit! Why did I pick Kratos?! This match was so painfully obvious!
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"Run, run, or you'll be well done!"
~Kefka, Final Fantasy 6~
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/3/2006 11:19:43 PM | message detail | #119
How many times has the guest predicted the winner completely wrong now?

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I love bananas.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/3/2006 11:27:55 PM | message detail | #120
The thing about Guest is that if you're signing up for a particular match, and doing so early, chances are you're interested in it because you think you have something unique to bring to the table -- typically, this manifests itself in the form of an upset. If the prior matches were randomly assigned to the same users we've seen so far you wouldn't see nearly as many matches wrong.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/3/2006 11:54:00 PM | message detail | #121
KH is so smart
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
TheRye | Posted 10/4/2006 1:58:18 AM | message detail | #122
Has any Guest actually scored a +7?

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Congrats to Z1mZum and his Guru ownage
“TheRye is like Jesus, if Jesus ever played video games.” -Inviso
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 2:05:01 AM | message detail | #123
A +7 in Yo's system is equivalent to a point in Moltar's, so yeah, Guest has had one +7.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/4/2006 4:18:08 PM | message detail | #124
Phoenix Wright...........41.8% 46204
Gordon Freeman........58.2% 64324
TOTAL VOTES......................110528

56.77% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

Only 56.77% had Gordon winning? Either GFNW reaches farther than I thought, or people just went "lol high seed winz" for every match. Yeesh...anyway, Gordon wins with ease.

Today, Kratos is doing very well against Ryu.

Lopen - 6
KH - 5
Moltar - 4
Ulti - 4
HM - 2
Yoblazer - 1
Guest (Wigs) - 1

KH gunning for Lopen.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Kratos vs. Ryu - Bracket: Ryu - Vote: Ryu (21/22)
Master Moltar | Posted 10/4/2006 7:56:05 PM | message detail | #125
Destiny Division: Round 1 - Match 24 – (2)Mega Man vs. (7)Axel

Moltar’s Analysis

Mega Man
Game/Series Known From: Mega Man
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 3rd (42.91%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 4th (38.60%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 8th (32.39%) Adjusted Value: 6th (35.99%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 6th (35.55%)
Seed in 2002: 6
Seed in 2003: 2
Seed in 2004: 1
Seed in 2005: 1
Lost in 2002 to Sephiroth in Round 3
Lost in 2003 to Sephiroth in the Final 4
Lost in 2004 to Link in the Final 4
Lost in 2005 to Crono in the Final 4

It’s that robot warrior that refuses to die, Mega Man!

Axel
Game/Series Known From: Kingdom Hearts

Owner of one of the hottest catchphrases of the year.

And the Destiny division ends with another KH character, except this one is on the losing side of things. Axel, who’s gotten his fame from KH: Chain of Memories and KH2, faces Mega Man. Now, Axel may be a fan-favorite, but Mega Man is…Mega Man. You don’t beat Mega Man, heck, you don’t come close to Mega Man unless you are a Contest elite.

If I wouldn’t even take Sora over Mega Man, I wouldn’t dare take Axel over him. I can’t see Axel being worth much either. His fan-favorite status from one of the year’s biggest games may keep him over 20%, but Mega Man is looking good to triple this guy. Now commit THAT to memory!

Er…I mean, now get THAT memorized.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Mega Man will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Mega Man: 78% - Axel: 22%



Ulti’s Analysis

I consider it a moral victory if Axel breaks 20%, just because I love him so much..

GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED? GOT IT MEMORIZED?

Prediction: Mega Man with 75.57%



HM’s Analysis

Mega Man once again gets the opportunity to blow away fodder. Yes, folks, Axel is fodder no matter how much you like him!! I am rather surprised he even managed to get into the contest, but we’ve seen that KH2 has had a definite affect on the nominations judging by Sora’s #1 seed, Kairi’s #2 seed, and Riku’s #3 seed. However, even with that KH2 effect, they’re only 2 – 1 right now as far as wins are concerned and this is looking to make it a dead even 2 – 2!

There’s really not much to go into with this match. Mega Man would beat Sora with absolute ease, so someone like Axel better expect to be destroyed. The only interesting thing about this match will be to see just how big of a blowout this ends up being.

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Mega Man

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Mega Man – 82% ; Axel – 18%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Mega Man



Yoblazer’s Analysis

I'm forced to keep it really short today. We know Mega Man will win, and we know he is fantastic when it comes to stomping the weak. The question now is whether or not Axel can get enough Kingdom Hearts support to avoid this fate. Mega Man is expected to score 69% on last year's Riku, and while Axel has the same amount of big games as Riku did at that time (one), I expect Axel to be weaker. Even still, he should be able to outperform Conker's 24% in 2005. He certainly deserves to.

My prediction: Mega Man def. Axel (75-25). Got it memorized lmaooooooo
Master Moltar | Posted 10/4/2006 7:56:39 PM | message detail | #126
Lopen’s Analysis

I don't like matches like this. Why? Well, for some reason I can't think of anything funny to say about Mega Man or Axel… and really, Axel should be a gold mine! I mean, "Got it memorized?" practically sells itself!

And then, also, this match isn't debatable either. Mega Man's evil, Mega Man blows fools' faces off. And make no mistake about it, Axel's face won't survive. No it won't. But he'll try to escape the blast, he'll try. He's got the new KH2 on his side, and he's huge in that game! Everybody loves Axel! Axel would totally beat Kairi, man… I'm sure of it!

Axel's not out to win, Axel's just out to make himself look good. That's the best he can hope for. And I think he will. I think he'll surprise us all. And this is coming from a man who has Mega Man winning the thing! So fear not, Mega Man fans… if Axel obtains a good %, it's all Axel!

Lopen's prediction: Mega Man with 71.50%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

MEGA MAN

"I AM MORE THAN JUST A ROBOT!"

Summer 2002 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 3rd Place [42.91%]

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 4th Place [38.60%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 6th Place [35.99%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 7th Place [35.55%]

All right! Straight from the year 20XX (aka 2006), it's my main man, Mega Man! While I've traditionally never been much of a MM guy outside of the Legends games, in the past year or so he and I have become more or less inextricably linked. Maybe it's the fact that I didn't know how to charge Atomic Fire. Maybe it's the fact that he's been tied to my now famous upset over that ditz Samus. But whatever the reason, he's back, and he's ready to show us what perhaps the most consistent pillar of strength in these contests can do! He'll easily dispatch his division, and then lose respectably to Solid Snake in a massive upset. <_<

After which he will go on to beat Samus in an even BIGGER upset! Doesn't make sense, you say? Um, all will be revealed in time...yes...

AXEL

"Commit it to memory."

N/A

Wow. Never expected to see Axel in one of these things, though I'm far from disappointed. You can tell that Kingdom Hearts II had a big impact on the nominations, because Axel is a character that I expect very little from in this thing. His role in Kingdom Hearts II just wasn't that great for me to think he can hang with the likes of Sora, Riku, or even Kairi. I love the guy, but not even the full power of Kingdom Hearts combined would be able to topple THE KING OF SFF.

Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Mega Man: N/A

Axel: Kingdom Hearts II (PS2)


Upcoming Releases

Mega Man: N/A

Axel: N/A

Not too much to say here. Just that if Axel performs well on THE KING OF SFF that we're going to have to expect very big things from KH2 as this contest goes on. Look out, Snake, Crono, and Link!!!

Karma Hunter's Vote: Axel. Commit it to memory.

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Mega Man with 77.8%.

I feel like I'm going too high here, but the possibility of Axel just bombing like crazy is too palpable to ignore.

Upset Potential: 0%

GOT IT MEMORIZED?
Master Moltar | Posted 10/4/2006 7:57:34 PM | message detail | #127
Guest’s Analysis - Heroic Citan

The first thing you may notice is that MM got a 2 seed. Let me assure you; that does not matter. Did that hurt Crono last year? No. Mega Man's first opponent is Axel, a fan-favorite from the Kingdom Hearts series. KH got four representatives in this year. That's insane. This is the work of KHII no doubt. But it doesn't matter here. Mega Man is in no danger of doing bad here. Axel is not going to be as strong as Sora or Riku. However, he isn't going to be nothing either. He'll certainly be stronger than Conker but not by that much.

Final Verdict: Mega Man wins with 73.81%



Crew Consensus: Mega Man is going to win, and it won't be pretty for Axel. Hard to say whether or not he'll get a good amount of KH backing.
Lugia2 | Posted 10/4/2006 8:05:25 PM | message detail | #128
Lopen doesn't have the highest. Neither does KH. Now it's...Moltar?!?

Okay, what are going to call the Karma Hunter Hunter? KHH is just stupid.
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/4/2006 9:15:44 PM | message detail | #129
DpOblivion's Quick Analysis:

Mega Man vs. who? It doesn't matter, it's some fodder vs. Mega Man. Good, we need a boring match thrown in here in the midst of this string of excitement.

My vote: Mega Man
My bracket: Mega Man
My prediction: Mega Man with 77%

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/4/2006 10:16:20 PM | message detail | #130
Kratos vs. Ryu
+7 HM
+6 Yo
+5 KH
+4 Mo
+3 Lo
+2 Guest
+1 Ulti

The Rankings (Through Kratos vs. Ryu)
1. Karma Hunter (114)
2. Master Moltar (103)
3. Heroic Mario (96)
4. UltimaterializerX (87)
4. Yoblazer (87)
6. Lopen (69)
7. Board 8 (62)

---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 10:17:54 PM | message detail | #131
Aw, don't give up like that yo. Kratos might just SUDDENLY AND RANDOMLY DEFY VOTING TRENDS YEAH

...
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/4/2006 10:21:22 PM | message detail | #132
Victory is mine KH.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 10:22:24 PM | message detail | #133
I don't see you on the Crew! A victory that is not Crew-sanctioned is hollow.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/4/2006 10:24:14 PM | message detail | #134
Pfft... it won't be hollow when Ryu gets 57.15, dead on with my prediction! And victory is mine more in the sense that you were wrong about a match 3 times in one day. Now that's pathetic!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 10:26:18 PM | message detail | #135
That's not your victory, that's just my defeat. Which isn't even that rare.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 10/5/2006 4:13:10 PM | message detail | #136
Haha... yes, Axel, roll over Mega Man with the massive after school vote! Victory is mine!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2006 7:13:30 PM | message detail | #137
Kratos.....................42.89% 49713
Ryu..........................57.11% 66198
TOTAL VOTES.....................115911

48.99% of the brackets predicted this match correctly.

...This is our first "upset" prediction percentage-wise of the Contest? This match? THIS MATCH?! lol casuals and their higher seeds indeed. Ryu was pretty much destined to win, but Kratos did perfrom very respectably.

Today, Axel is looking for 30% on Mega Man, and that's pretty good.

Lopen - 6
KH - 5
Moltar - 4
Ulti - 4
HM - 3
Yoblazer - 1
Guest (Wigs) - 1

HM looking to catch up...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Mega Man vs. Axel - Bracket: MM - Vote: Axel (22/23)
DpObliVion | Posted 10/5/2006 7:27:46 PM | message detail | #138
Another hit for Lopen.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2006 8:49:52 PM | message detail | #139
Blast Division: Round 1 - Match 25 – (1)Sonic vs. (8)CATS

Moltar’s Analysis

Sonic
Game/Series Known From: Sonic
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 5th (41.05%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 10th (34.92%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 7th (33.56%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 7th (35.28%)
Seed in 2002: 1
Seed in 2003: 2
Seed in 2004: 1
Seed in 2005: 1
Lost in 2002 to Samus in Round 3
Lost in 2003 to Cloud in the Elite 8
Lost in 2004 to Samus in the Elite 8
Lost in 2005 to Mega Man in the Elite 8

That Blue Hedgehog is back!

CATS
Game/Series Known From: Zero Wing
Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 47th (13.30%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 56th (13.52%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 53rd (12.17%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 46th (17.64%)
Seed in 2002: 13
Seed in 2003: 16
Seed in 2004: 16
Seed in 2005: 8
Lost in 2002 to Ryu in Round 1
Lost in 2003 to Cloud in Round 1
Lost in 2004 to Link in Round 1
Lost in 2005 to Master Chief in Round 1

That old fad/joke character is back!

Finally, we reach THE division to watch in this Contest, the Blast Division. And…*INCOMING PUN ALERT*, this division is looking to be a blast!

But of course, we need to start out with the appetizer. Sonic versus CATS. Yeah, no point to debate this one, so I’ll just comment on some things. Last year, CATS did his best ever, getting over 30% of the vote against Master Chief. He also had that nice, recognizable face picture in that match. He has yet another good picture here, so that may help him out. Also, while Sonic does well against fodder…he doesn’t overkill them. So I think CATS may be able to break 20% in this match.

Other than that…I got nothing. On to the next one, and that’s bound to be a slobberknawker!

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Sonic will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Sonic: 79% - CATS: 21%



Ulti’s Analysis

*plugs in Sonic 2005 against Villain Contest CATS in the Xst calc*

k

Prediction Percentage: Sonic with 78.05%



HM’s Analysis

Hey, look at that – CATS is back for another contest! With his opponent being the Blue Hedgehog, this match will allow us to get an idea of how Sonic is going to fare in strength in comparison to 2005 – let’s hope for an underperformance of epic proportions! Outside of the percentage, there won’t be anything too exciting about this one. CATS has a history of being able to predict the winner despite being fodder, so we’ll see if Sonic is looking like a potential winner or a big loser (round 2, round 2!).

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Sonic the Hedgehog

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Sonic the Hedgehog – 76.5% ; CATS – 23.5%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Sonic the Hedgehog



Yoblazer’s Analysis

I may very well fall asleep for the next 18 hours, so this is a safety placeholder more than anything. ALL YOUR BASE ARE BELONG TO US

My prediction: Sonic def. CATS (79-21)



Lopen’s Analysis

Sonic is in last analysis is concern. CATS gets new picture have this match. It will new affect CATS from 12% on Link's Base to 19% on Link's Base, perhaps higher. It is uncertain but one thing that is CATS is picture power voted. The odds are turn CATS third picture is eggplant's superior, this much is of surest.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2006 8:50:15 PM | message detail | #140
Noting also CATS obtained on Master Chief 33%. Master Chief is not of competition of jokingly Felix struggling in 2005! … but, some would say X-Box/Halo hate is main. This is not likely is faulty problem. I tell you on this on date that was partially X-Box/Halo hate but not all the way it is to be not. Slightly balance in that Master Chief SFF CATS, he only is one with fanatic of fanbase. Also upset DARKNESS all is almost to be last year with proper facing. Undeniable support of CATS last fiercely upon date of face picture on.

CATS has no chance to win make his time, but survive tripling is truly.

Lopen is Prediction: Taking of Sonic obtain and 74.18%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

SONIC THE HEDGEHOG

"What you see is what you get. Just a guy who loves adventure. I'm Sonic the Hedgehog!"

Summer 2002 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 5th place [41.05%]

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 10th place [34.92%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 8th place [33.56%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 8th Place [35.28%]

The very silent but very real threat to take the male bracket (and statistically, the main bracket), Sonic the Hedgehog is back in action with another tough road ahead of him! He definitely impressed last year in his nailbiter against Mega Man, and while he didn't pull it off, he showed that he's better than he's been in a long time. However, he and Snake are the only two Noble Niners to never have won a match over any other NNer, and Sonic is the only NNer to never make the Final Four. *sigh* Depressing, and he's not the favorite to do either of those things this year by any means…but, hope springs eternal I suppose! WOO SONIC



CATS

"You appear to be preoccupied, gentlemen."

Summer 2002 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 47th Place [13.30%]

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 56th Place [13.09%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 58th Place [12.17%]

Spring 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 15th Place [19.66%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 49th Place [17.64%]

It seems as though Gordon and CATS, two of our most beloved laughingstocks, are finally coming into their own – doesn't it? Now, while CATS is by no stretch of the imagination going to win a match a la Mr. Freeman, since unlocking his true potential (that is, his face picture), he gave Ansem a scare and has elevated himself to the level of tough fodder. Let's see if he can keep up this good streak against another Noble Niner! WOO CATS



Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Sonic the Hedgehog: Sonic Rush (DS)

CATS: N/A


Upcoming Releases

Sonic the Hedgehog: Sonic the Hedgehog (PS3, X360), Sonic and the Secret Rings (WII)

CATS: N/A



Y'know, this will probably be the first time we get a good reading on Face CATS. With Face CATS being behind Ganondorf's overperformance in the VC and then behind MC in 2k5, this seems to be our best shot to gauge how well he can do. As well, we're going to be looking for Sonic to prove himself to see if he has a shot at getting over the hump and perhaps finally winning a match against a Noble Niner, perhaps even taking the male bracket to face Samus…



…third time's a charm? In any case, it all starts here.


Karma Hunter's Vote: Sonic. Not that it isn't cool to vote for CATS, but Sonic is nipping at the heels of Mario for my favoritism.



Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Sonic the Hedgehog with 77.8%.



Too lazy to even switch up predictions. Bah!

Upset Potential: 0%
Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2006 8:51:08 PM | message detail | #141
…it's CATS.



Guest’s Analysis - War13104

All your base are belong to us!

Once again, CATS gets in as a low seed, hoping to scrape on by. Could this be the year?


...



...



...




No.


Sorry, Board 8, but CATS isn't losing again this time. Sonic overperformed last year, and is now being compared to Ganondorf and Vincent. The same Vincent who only put up 80% on Sarah Kerrigan. This is Sonic's weakest year yet, and CATS will take advantage of it.

Prediction: CATS with 62.3% at the first update.

That's enough of a win for me, but CATS will show strong in the unfair normal voting.

Final Prediction: Sonic the Hedgehog with 76.2%



Crew Consensus: Sonic beats CATS, I know, surprise surprise. Sonic in the mid-to-high 70's.
Lugia2 | Posted 10/5/2006 9:25:38 PM | message detail | #142
Wow. Shocking. People actually think that Sonic can take the Male bracket over Mega Man and Crono? In my opinion, there's a better chance of Ganondorf taking the male bracket than such a thing occuring.

As for CATS...come on, this isn't against Phoenix Wright or something! At least 10/7 will be interesting...
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VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!!
Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 9:37:42 PM | message detail | #143
People actually think that Sonic can take the Male bracket over Mega Man and Crono?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2125

It's not like he didn't get close last time...
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/5/2006 9:39:16 PM | message detail | #144
Or some people think CATS isn't as strong as he was last year. I want Sonic to underperform like no other in this match, but I like my "safe" prediction here.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
DpObliVion | Posted 10/5/2006 9:40:46 PM | message detail | #145
Why do I keep missing the analyses going up? Ugh.....

DpOblivion's Quick Analysis:

SONIC!!!!! Finally, he gets his shot to kill CATS, this should be fun.

My vote: A-DUUUHHHH.....Sonic
My bracket: A-DUUUHHHH......Sonic
My prediction: Sonic with 86%

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2006 9:42:25 PM | message detail | #146
86%?!

Everyone not named Sonic is so screwed.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Mega Man vs. Axel - Bracket: MM - Vote: Axel (22/23)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 9:43:23 PM | message detail | #147
I like Dp's analyses. It's refreshing to see someone who obviously doesn't look at the stats for his predictions. <_<

(seriously, not a knock against ya)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/5/2006 9:43:29 PM | message detail | #148
It's Sonic....bias is involved.

At least I didn't put his % over what Link scored on CATS two years ago.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
DpObliVion | Posted 10/5/2006 9:44:27 PM | message detail | #149
Thanks, KH. That's why I like doing it like this, instead of officially with the Crew, so I don't have to take it too seriously. I just make it up on the spot when it's time.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Big Bob | Posted 10/5/2006 9:45:20 PM | message detail | #150
Oddly enough, for the 4 remaining NN males, their stengths last year is inversely proportional to their potential this contest:

Crono - No reason to go up
Mega Man - MMX Collection (mild), MMZX (mild)
Sonic - Sonic Rush (mild), new StH (low-mid) and SatSR (low-mid)
Snake - Metal Gear Solid 4 (big), Super Smash Bros. Brawl (big)
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"My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti
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