GameFAQs Contests
Spring 2006 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
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| Master Moltar | Posted 7/27/2006 9:27:10 PM | message detail | #451 |
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HM’s Analysis Super Mario Bros. Previous Matches : Super Mario Bros – 92.21% -- 108,723 Madden NFL – 7.79% -- 9,186 Super Mario Bros. – 81.13% -- 97,775 WarCraft – 18.87% -- 22,741 Super Smash Bros. Previous Matches : Super Smash Bros – 76.37% -- 90,789 Dragon Quest – 23.63% -- 28,092 Sonic the Hedgehog – 42.34% -- 53,423 Super Smash Bros. – 57.66% -- 72,755 Can you say … Same Fanbase Factor? I can! This will probably be one of the larger SFF matches we see in the contest because this just screams fanbase overlap. Both hugely popular Nintendo series and one of them is among the untouchable Big Three. Yeah, that has a recipe for destruction. Fortunately, the better of the two series will be winning this affair!! Super Mario Bros. in the last round put on a rather shocking performance to me. When it started off the match with ~85% of the vote, I began to speculate that its chances at winning the entire contest might be looking good just because of the similar performance it was having when compared to Final Fantasy. Eventually, though, that percentage came down to something a bit more realistic, but still a bit above my expectations. SMB managing to quadruple Warcraft speaks well of its own strength – something SSB has to fear, even before SFF enters the equation. Super Smash Bros. … well, it shocked the crap out of me. I did not expect it to win so easily against Sonic, but it was over the moment it started. It was an impressive win, even with any potential SFF between the two, but nothing that even begins to put this match into question. This began to beg the question about whether or not SSB could really end up as the fourth strongest series in the contest, even about Metal Gear, but I clearly have my own doubts about that. Unfortunately, we were once again denied a Mario/Sonic showdown, instead getting this SFF fest between two popular Nintendo series. The biggest question about this match is just how high SMB can get and if just how much SFF it is going to be getting. Another unfortunate aspect of this is we get no good read on this division whatsoever thanks to SFF. It is probably not like we’ll need it, even if we had another contest because so much would likely change between all of the series in this contest, but yeah. This match will likely be boring, and likely devastating to the few people who think SSB stands a chance at getting rSFF for the win. SMB gets one last dominate performance before facing the real beast of this contest in Final Fantasy. It’ll finally get its competition shortly … Aitch Emm’s Bracket : Super Mario Bros. Aitch Emm’s Prediction : Super Mario Bros. – 75% Super Smash Bros. – 25% Aitch Emm’s Vote : Super Mario Bros. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/27/2006 9:28:14 PM | message detail | #452 |
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Mnm’s Analysis Battle Music: Bowser Boss Battle (Super Mario World) I'll try to make this short. Super Smash Bros. is going to have a hell of a tough time with this matchup. In fact, it is going to get killed. Super Smash Bros. has shown that it indeed carries plenty of strength on this site. There's just one thing though... It never has had to go up against another Nintendo entity in this contest, so there's no indication on how it would hold up in a SFF match. This is a hell of a way to find out, as this is probably one of the worst matchups SSB can face. Basically EVERY Super Smash Bros. fan is a Mario Bros. fan, and it will show in this matchup. I also want to go and state how much I respect the Super Mario Bros. series in this contest. It has shown zero signs of weakness in this contest, and that will hold up for this match also. Put it this way, I think Super Mario Bros. beats down Super Smash Bros. at least 70-30 before SFF, so once the SFF is introduced, it will probably get ugly. Sure, SSB will get some vocal support, but that won't hold up against the legions of its fans that are bigger Mario Bros. fans. Seeing how Final Fantasy destroyed Mega Man (which handled Mario Kart), I think SMB will give SSB the same kind of beating, if not worse. The match pic is the nail in the coffin. I also want to go on record and say that the match I am anticipating the most from this point on is not LoZ/FF, but SMB/FF. I may be in the minority in thinking that SMB will give FF a decent fight (40%+). Plus, that match pretty much indicates what happens in LoZ/FF. Anyways, I'm looking for a SMB blowout! Bracket: SMB Vote: SMB Prediction: Super Mario Bros. with 80% HaRRich’s Analysis Predicted winner: Super Mario Bros. Earlier this contest: ---SMB - 92.21% on Madden NFL, 81.13% on Warcraft ---SSB - 76.37% on Dragon Quest, 57.66% on Sonic Top 100 List comparison: ---SMB3 - #5, SM64 - #13, SMB - #22, SMW - #23, SMW2:YI - #82 ---SSBM - #6 Best Game Ever x-stat comparison: ---SMB3 - 39.9% (8 Division champion), SMW - 34.24%, SM64 - 21.93% (SFF'd by LoZ:OoT, has since had SM64DS released) ---SSBM - 37.57% (128 Division champion) SMB has done nothing but impress thus far, yet the same can be said for SSB...just not to the same degree. Furthermore, this will be an SFF match that could possibly test the age-groups voting here. Although I would be very tempted to take SSBM > SMB3, practically any Nintendo fan who has been playing games since the NES (or earlier) will vote for SMB here. I'd think the large majority of the Genesis/SNES-initiated will also vote for SMB. Gamers who started with the PSX/N64 will be torn, though I think they'd side with SSB, and gamers who start with this generation are almost-certainly siding with SSB...but think about how many more voters here started before games went 3D, where Mario will own SSB, then think about how many gamers started with the PS2/Xbox/Gamecube, where SSB will break SMB -- the 32-64 bit era won't make much of a difference here, I figure... ...yeah, so SMB has the strong advantage there. From there, let's just break it down and compare system releases. Yes, SSBM owns SMS on the Gamecube, but SSB would lose (probably somewhat-respectably) to SM64. From there, pile all of Mario's other games in there, and SSB loses big again. So then let's just match games: SMB3 would probably beat SSBM in a close one, SM64 would beat SSB...then pile the rest again, and SSB just can't catch a break. Expect it to be bad, though I'm goin' to predict that an SFF'd SSB would still outdo Warcraft. At least the right Super _____ Bros. series wins..... Super Mario Bros. wins with 80.12% Comments: Clean sweep for Super Mario Bros. I'm surprised alot of the board thinks that SSB is going to break 30% though. Maybe I shouldn't be... |
| transients | Posted 7/27/2006 9:29:23 PM | message detail | #453 |
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board 8 expects a much closer match than the crew. --- NOMINATE JAY SOLANO (Operation Shadow) for 2k6! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=29527124 |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 7/27/2006 9:30:12 PM | message detail | #454 |
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Wow. --- - "ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune stingers, Rad, longblade, and Ryoko owned me in a sig bet and all I got was this lousy T-Shirt |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:31:14 PM | message detail | #455 |
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Looks like most of us think Mario will land right around the tripling range. --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Draco1214 | Posted 7/27/2006 9:32:03 PM | message detail | #456 |
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Wow, I had ~75% in my Oracle, and I thought I was overshooting. Wouldn't be surprised if it broke 80%, though. --- Organization XIII - Number III - Xordac Currently Playing - Suikoden V, Street Fighter Alpha 3, New Super Mario Bros. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 9:33:22 PM | message detail | #457 |
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*high fives Soul* We boxed in HM and yoblazer! And if the board somehow turns out to be right about Super Smash Brothers doing better than expected, I get the point because I have the lowest prediction! Of course, if SMB destroys it, I get last. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/27/2006 9:33:22 PM | message detail | #458 |
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Awww.... I was expecting ranges from High 50's to low 80's. --- Explicit Content Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 7/27/2006 10:52:48 PM | message detail | #459 |
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Amazingly, if Kingdom Hearts finishes with 41.72%, Leon and HaRRicH will tie despite having very different predictions. --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 10:53:25 PM | message detail | #460 |
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It's possible, too! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 10:55:48 PM | message detail | #461 |
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What? NOOOOO! Why did Kingdom Hearts have to go backwards for the first time in forever! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/27/2006 11:31:50 PM | message detail | #462 |
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...Looks like having the lowest pick is going to pay off, heh. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/28/2006 12:11:32 AM | message detail | #463 |
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Metal Gear vs. Kingdom Hearts +9 yo +8 Ulti +7 HM +6 mnm +5 Moltar +4 Soul +3 HaRRicH +2 Leon +1 Lopen The Rankings (Through Metal Gear/Kingdom Hearts) 1. Master Moltar (116) 2. yoblazer33 (112) 3. XxSoulxX (103) 4. UltimaterializerX (96) 5. therealmnm (91) 6. Leonhart (89) 7. Heroic Mario (81) 8. HaRRicH (75) 9. Lopen (69) --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 12:12:59 AM | message detail | #464 |
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Well...I didn't see THIS coming. --- Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog! Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SSB (38/40) |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/28/2006 12:13:10 AM | message detail | #465 |
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BOLD PREDICTION: I will be ONE point behind Ulti after this match. Bah. --- Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 7/28/2006 12:15:09 AM | message detail | #466 |
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Leon's got this pick easy. --- Sp2k6: 36/40 Rank: Tied for 1478th Losses: Halo, GTA, SF Nominate Nidoran F and CATS Yesterday's Pick: Metal Gear Today: SMB Tomorrow:FF in the character contest! |
| SquallidSnake | Posted 7/28/2006 1:36:08 AM | message detail | #467 |
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Feels strange saying I've got this one easily when I might not even be
within 10% of being correct. I am kinda surprised that nobody went
lower. --- Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die. Knowing your enemy is the quickest path to victory. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 7/28/2006 1:36:35 PM | message detail | #468 |
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Man, I can't believe you guys were calling for the tripling here! You should've been more conservative, like me! --- Squall, Tidus, The Prince of Persia, Nightmare, Sub-Zero, Captain Falcon, Raiden Presea, Chun-Li, Tifa, Celes, Quistis, Amy Rose, Mei Ling |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 7/28/2006 1:39:18 PM | message detail | #469 |
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*continues smacking his head against desk* --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 2:56:12 PM | message detail | #470 |
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Metal Gear...............58.31% 80177 Kingdom Hearts.......41.69% 57336 TOTAL VOTES....................137513 46.21% of the brackets predicted this match correctly. Not even half the brackets had Metal Gear winning its division, wow. Anyway, in a match with some very high vote totals, Metal Gear easily beats Kingdom Hearts. KH still did pretty well though. Today, SSB is sure doing well against SMB. Soul - 5 Yoblazer - 3 Lopen - 3 HaRRich - 3 Moltar - 3 Leon - 2 Mnm - 2 Ulti - 2 HM - 2 Yo joins the 3 point club. --- Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog! Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. - Bracket: SMB - Vote: SSB (38/40) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 7/28/2006 4:11:03 PM | message detail | #471 |
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Super Mario Bros. vs. Super Smash Bros. +9 Leon +8 HM (tie) +8 yo (tie) +6 Soul +5 Moltar +4 Lopen +3 Ulti +2 mnm +1 HaRRicH The Rankings (Through Super Mario Bros./Super Smash Bros.) 1. Master Moltar (121) 2. yoblazer33 (120) 3. XxSoulxX (109) 4. UltimaterializerX (99) 5. Leonhart (98) 6. therealmnm (93) 7. Heroic Mario (89) 8. HaRRicH (76) 9. Lopen (73) --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/28/2006 9:18:34 PM | message detail | #472 |
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+1 for me this match, too. Man, this sucks, heh...at least it's the unofficial way. --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 9:39:22 PM | message detail | #473 |
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Ultima Division: Round 3 - Match 28 – (1)Final Fantasy vs. (2)Resident Evil Moltar’s Analysis Final Fantasy - If we’re talking in power, FF is more scary than ANY horror game. Round 1 – 85.98% vs. Diablo (14.02%) Round 2 – 74.19% vs. Mega Man (25.81%) Mega Man is able to avoid the tripling from FF. Resident Evil - I’d like to order one Jill Sandwich, please. Round 1 – 87.76% vs. Shadow Hearts (12.24%) Round 2 – 50.73% vs. Street Fighter (49.27%) In the closest match of Round 2, RE squeaks by SF. The final match of Round 3…what a boring round this was. You know what, this one is going to be another blow out too! Not because it’s Final Fantasy, but because of SFF! No, not that SFF were two characters from the same company share a fanbase and the majority sides with the stronger character. But the weird kind where two seemingly un-related series share just one thing in common and something weird happens so we just label it SFF! A good example of this is how Metal Gear flops every time it faces something FF7 related. One could say that since FF7 and MGS were two popular Playstation games and share a similar fanbase, Sony fans will side with the stronger game. In this case, FF7. Now, we haven’t seen FF directly own something RE-related, but Resident Evil got slaughtered in 2004 by MGS, which went on to get slaughtered by FF7. So does logic apply here? Who knows…Then again, RE2 and RE4 are stronger than the original RE anyway, so maybe it was just very weak. Anyway, I would already say Mega Man is stronger than Resident Evil, so RE is getting tripled. Now add in some fishysticks and FF wins with around 80%. I now demand everyone take 5 seconds to laugh at Shadow Hearts. Moltar’s Bracket Says: Final Fantasy will win. Moltar’s Prediction is: Final Fantasy: 79% - Resident Evil: 21% Ulti’s Analysis Blowout expected, and a blowout we shall have. The question is whether RE beats MM's score on FF or not, though I doubt it does. I'm fairly sure MM is the favorite Capcom series on GameFAQs, though that was before Resident Evil 4... Prediction: FF with 75.01% Soul’s Analysis FF defeated Mega Man with 74.19% Resident Evil defeated Street Fighter with 50.73% WHAT A SLAWBERKNOCKER! Let's see where we lie here. Final Fantasy killed Mega Man, while Resident Evil struggled against Street Fighter. On the Capcom totem pole, Mega Man is stronger then Resident Evil, which is stronger then Street Fighter. So basically, the result of this match will be Final Fantasy winning with more then 74.19%. How much stronger is Mega Man compared to Resident Evil? Mega Man got 64% on Leon Kennedy, proving that RE4 has some strength on this site. Other then RE4, the only other RE game that has some popularity is RE2, but it's all overshadowed by RE4. So if Leon can only get 64% on Mega Man, I'm thinking Final Fantasy is about to get another blowout here. My x-stats calculations are entirely off, so best estimates... My prediction: Final Fantasy wins with 83.01% of the vote. Mnm’s Analysis Battle Music: The Dark Messenger (FFIX) For some reason, I could care less about this matchup. We all know that Final Fantasy is going to destroy Resident Evil. The question is by how much. In the games contest, there is good indication that RE may have been SFF'd by MGS, which in turn was SFF'd by FFVII. Now RE directly faces the FF juggernaut, except this time with a tad of the Nintendo fanbase supporting it with the huge success of RE4. It won't matter though. FF has its eyes on Mario Bros. and Zelda, and RE is just a blip on the radar. 20% = success for Resident Evil. Bracket: FF Vote: FF Prediction: Final Fantasy with 79% |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 9:39:53 PM | message detail | #474 |
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Leon’s Analysis While Final Fantasy didn’t quite triple Mega Man, it still found a way to impress, somehow breaking 100,000 individual votes yet again and pulling in the second highest vote total these contests have ever seen. 135,000 votes in a blowout? Final Fantasy is proving that it is THE vote-drawing power in this contest. While the Legend of Zelda is pulling in higher percentages (though this has been expected for various reasons), Final Fantasy has consistently been pulling in more overall votes. Either way, the final match is shaping up to be loaded, and while I think Final Fantasy is still the favorite, the Legend of Zelda still has the potential to surprise. However, the only thing we’re really going to find out in this particular match is the Capcom pecking order. We’ve already discovered that Resident Evil is slightly favored over Street Fighter (though people would argue that the only reason Street Fighter got so close was because of the extremely unbalanced picture), but how do they compare to Mega Man? To be quite honest, I can’t see either one surpassing the Blue Bomber, and definitely not BOTH of them (which is basically what would have to be the case if Resident Evil outdoes Mega Man), but yet somehow, it wouldn’t be a total shock. Some people are also calling for some measure of “SFF” by Final Fantasy against Resident Evil, though I’m not so sure about that one. It has shown itself to be capable of overperforming on series primarily featured on the Playstation, so once again, it wouldn’t be a total surprise. Really though, the fun thing to see about this match is how low can Shadow Hearts go in the stats! If Final Fantasy manages a quadrupling or better, Yuri and company will register at less than 5% in the stats! How exciting! With that, Shadow Hearts will now create a triumvirate of suck, joining Tanner and Adventure for a combined force that couldn’t even defeat Mr. Driller! Now go for that quadrupling, Final Fantasy! Tranny’s indie cred is riding on this one! Leonhart’s Prediction: Final Fantasy with 80.08% Yoblazer’s Analysis Final Fantasy showed us it was vulnerable against Mega Man, but it will be back in cyborg-like form tonight. Actually, you know somethin'? I think that Zelda assumes the role of "cyborg" better than any other series. It seems to destroy everything in its path without thought, emotion, or mercy. It's simply executing protocol. Final Fantasy, on the other hand, is the "great warrior." Like any human, it is subject to flashes of its own mortality (Mega Man) but its great victories are truly out of this world (Diablo). ...Anyway, despite REMake, RE0, and RE4, we all know a majority of Resident Evil fans are Playstation fans. We also know that Final Fantasy dominates all things Playstation with an iron fist, and after watching what Metal Gear Solid did to Resident Evil two years ago before getting destroyed itself, no one should expect anything impressive from Capcom's series. Bottom line - ugly match. Final Fantasy + Strongest game on this site + Several other very popular games + Spans several consoles and eras + It's the backbone of GameFAQs + Credibility up the wazoo - Nothing Resident Evil + Incredible first round performance + Good history and credibility + Hugely popular game was released just last year + Whored out like a mother + Established a genre - Its Playstation fanbase will abandon it in great numbers - It's going to get killed My prediction: Final Fantasy def. Resident Evil (81-19) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 9:40:27 PM | message detail | #475 |
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HM’s Analysis Final Fantasy Previous Matches : Final Fantasy – 85.98% -- 107,648 Diablo – 17,560 Final Fantasy – 74.19% -- 100,574 Mega Man – 25.81% -- 34,988 Resident Evil Previous Matches : Resident Evil – 87.76% -- 97,696 Shadow Hearts – 12.24% -- 13,627 Street Fighter – 49.27% -- 60,308 Resident Evil – 50.73% -- 62,087 Surprisingly, Resident Evil barely managed to scrap by in the last round against Street Fighter. On the other hand, Final Fantasy put up a rather expected performance that did sway its chances of winning one way or the other. This match should not be a good gauge of anything either given the fact that it could potentially result in some SFF being at play here. Still, you have to figure it will need to perform well in the wake of Zelda’s continued dominance in this contest. Last round, Final Fantasy started out rather weird by not even doubling Mega Man at the first five minutes of the poll. This led many to speculate that the home of the Blue Bomber had basically snatched up the spot as the fourth strongest series in the contest. But, to surprise too many, Final Fantasy went on a rampage and went from not even doubling to nearly tripling by the end of the match. Final Fantasy’s mid-70s performance puts it right where it needs to be to continue to look good at snatching up the championship. Resident Evil, however, put on a rather poor performance going by expectations. Those of us who sided with the survival horror series overshot just how strong Resident Evil would be or undershot just how strong Street Fighter would be. I, myself, went with a solid 54% for Resident Evil, which wasn’t too far from the final percentage. Still, Street Fighter definitely impressed by nearly getting the upset that a couple of others were hoping for. Regardless of its performance, it stands no chance against the beast in this round. Ultimately, this match is going to be a complete blowout. It will be interesting to see if there is any type of SFF in this match-up. If it exceeds 80%, I’m almost convinced there would be, but if Resident Evil can hold strong and keep this in between 75% - 79%, I’d be genuinely impressed by its performance. That said, I cannot imagine Final Fantasy failing to break 80% here, even if it’s only by a little. Aitch Emm’s Bracket : Final Fantasy Aitch Emm’s Prediction : Final Fantasy – 80.15% ; Resident Evil – 19.85% Aitch Emm’s Vote : Final Fantasy |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/28/2006 9:41:16 PM | message detail | #476 |
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HaRRich’s Analysis Predicted winner: Final Fantasy Earlier this contest: ---FF - 85.98% on Diablo, 74.19% on Mega Man ---RE - 87.76% on Shadow Hearts, 50.73% on Street Fighter Top 100 List comparison: ---FF7 - #1, FF3/6 - #10, FFX - #12, FF8 - #17, FFT - #19, FF9 - #42, FF2/4 - #50, FF - #76, FFTA - #89 ---RE4 - #14, RE - #53 (RE Code: Veronica was on the drop-down list yet didn't make the Top 100 List) Best Game Ever x-stat comparison: ---FF7 - 50% (Best. Game. Ever. champion), FF3/6 - 39.4%, FFX - 36.86%, FF - 32.24%, FFT - 28.69% (was behind FF7/MGS), FFTA - 24.27% (SFF'd by FFX) ---RE - 16.86% (was behind FF7/MGS) http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=523 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1454 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2447 It's a given that Resident Evil is going to lose, and RE4 is the only thing that could possibly help RE match Mega Man's performance against Final Fantasy...but seeing how it did against Street Fighter and I can't see MM >= SF, I'm not counting on it. I'd also be cautious about FF maybe even SFF'ing RE -- if FF7 SFF'd MGS after MGS SFF'd RE and if that chain held true so that FF7 could SFF RE, then alot of the RE series would be up for SFF against FF...but that's probably ignorable unless we see this become an 85-15 match. Final Fantasy wins with 77.12% Lopen’s Analysis Final Fantasy smashes things, it smashes em good. Lopen's Prediction: Final Fantasy with 82.61%. … Not enough? Want to read more of my great writing? Fine… I'll just say that Street Fighter would do better here. Yeah, PS SFF will help to crush the enemy. Not to a Metroid-like pulp, mind you, because the big gun RE4's pretty isolated from the evil Final Fantasy dominion, so it'll be spared. There aren't any Gamecube FF titles, right? Oh, no… FINAL FANTASY CRYSTAL CHRONICLES!? WHY!?????? Lopen's Prediction:(hey, it's the same!) Final Fantasy with 82.61%. Comments: Final Fantasy has got this. Hopefully we're closer this time though. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 11:07:42 AM | message detail | #477 |
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Super Mario Bros..........61.76% 76533 Super Smash Bros........38.24% 47386 TOTAL VOTES........................123919 62.89% of the brackets predicted this match correctly. Well, that didn't go as bad as we all thought. SSB is able to hold it's own against the SMB franchise, which is pretty surprising to me. That speaks volumes for SSB's strength. Today, Final Fantasy is pulling the tripling on Resident Evil. Now that's something I expected. Soul - 5 Leon - 3 Yoblazer - 3 Lopen - 3 HaRRich - 3 Moltar - 3 Mnm - 2 Ulti - 2 HM - 2 Though Leon was WAAAAY off, he still had the lowest SMB pick, and therefore gets the point. --- Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog! Final Fantasy vs. Resident Evil - Bracket: FF - Vote: RE (42/44) |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 7/29/2006 3:07:22 PM | message detail | #478 |
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Moltar, I sent the next two analyses to you. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 10:04:57 PM | message detail | #479 |
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Final Four: Match 29 – (1)Legend of Zelda vs. (1)Metal Gear Moltar’s Analysis Legend of Zelda - Match Weapon: Master Sword Round 1 – 89.97% vs. Civilization (10.03%) Round 2 – 80.32% vs. Mega Man X (19.68%) Round 3 – 84.70% vs. Metroid (15.30%) Legend of Zelda beats Metroid worse than it did to MMX…wow. Metal Gear - Match Weapon: Cardboard Box Round 1 – 69.9% vs. Soul Calibur (30.1%) Round 2 – 65.23% vs. Fire Emblem (34.77%) Round 3 – 58.31% vs. Kingdom Hearts (41.69%) Metal Gear has no trouble with Kingdom Hearts. Well, an all 1-seed final four. Surprisingly enough, we’ve never had one before. Let’s see how this turns out. In the first match of the Final Four, Legend of Zelda, aka “The Series that blows out things” takes on Metal Gear. So far, Metal Gear hasn’t been all that impressive. A good win over SC, an unimpressive win over FE, and a respectable win over KH. Legend of Zelda? Well, it hasn’t failed to shock the heck out of us yet. Needless to say, Zelda’s free trip to the finals continues, as Metal Gear is just another victim in its path. At least Metal Gear should do much better than Zelda’s previous three opponents, seeing as how it does have quite a bit of strength and isn’t from Nintendo. I’d consider 30% good enough and if MG can escape the doubling, well, that’s a moral victory. Moltar’s Bracket Says: Legend of Zelda will win. Moltar’s Prediction is: Legend of Zelda: 68% - Metal Gear: 32% Ulti’s Analysis Master Moltar 1 (9:58:14 PM): LoZ/MG? Auto response from Ultimaterializer (9:58:15 PM): Warcraft 3. Ultimaterializer returned at 10:00:12 PM. Ultimaterializer (10:00:14 PM): oops Ultimaterializer (10:00:21 PM): uh, here: Ultimaterializer (10:01:37 PM): "Wow, I totally forgot to write an analysis for this match. Uh.... Zelda wins obviously, the only question is whether or not Zelda will put a scare into all of the 'zomg FF cannot possibly lose' drones." Ultimaterializer (10:01:45 PM): Prediction: Zelda with 73.33% Master Moltar 1 (10:02:33 PM): I should just c/p this whole convo as the analysis Ultimaterializer (10:02:38 PM): Do it Master Moltar 1 (10:03:34 PM): Consider it done Soul’s Analysis LoZ defeated Metroid with 84.70% Metal Gear defeated Kingdom Hearts with 58.31% FINAL FOUR HOLY ****! And what an unpredictable final four we have here as well! >_> Yeah, ok, I'm lying. This final four was very, very easy to call. All the top seeds advanced to the elite eight, and all the number 1 seeds advanced to the final four. BORING! By the looks of things, we have one more match that could be interesting. This isn't it. Wait..... No, it isn't. Metal Gear is looking like the fourth strongest series in this contest, but there is a huge gap between third and fourth. Zelda would be the second, and there's a pretty wide gap between second and third as well. Basically, there's a huge gap between second and fourth. Don't believe me? Let me show you it in a diagram. Final Fantasy (first) > Legend of Zelda (second) >>> Super Mario Bros. (third) >>>>>>>>>>> Metal Gear (fourth). Need another diagram? http://img207.imageshack.us/img207/1839/diagramme3.png Basically, by my proof, it's quite apparent that Legend of Zelda will win this match easily. What? You say you wanted a good match? Sorry bro/sis, but you're looking at the wrong place. Come back in a couple of days. My prediction: Legend of Zelda wins in a boring match. And LoZ does it with 68.79% of the vote. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 10:05:31 PM | message detail | #480 |
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Leon’s Analysis Yeah, we knew the Legend of Zelda was going to SFF Metroid into the ground, but…we were kind of expecting to be able to identify its remains, at the very least! Nearly 85% and over 114,000 individual votes? Overkill much? Yeah, that’s what I thought. At this point, I’m starting to think that the Legend of Zelda derives pleasure from making Metroid suffer because it does such a good job of it. Either way, this has got to be one of the more impressive runs we’ve seen in a contest. Never falling below 80% and breaking 100,000 individual votes in every match? Yeah, that speaks for itself. Metal Gear, on the other hand, was considered to be vulnerable to an upset before the contest began, but it encountered very little resistance. According to the divisional stats (for what little that’s worth. This contest has a lot of oddities that don’t make sense), only Kingdom Hearts and Castlevania are capable of even breaking 40% on Metal Gear. From the looks of things, there are probably only two other series that could beat it outside of the Big Three (Mega Man and Super Smash Brothers), and even then, it wouldn’t be a given. This match is going to be an ugly one. Even in my wildest fanboy dreams, breaking 30% is about the most I can hope for. I believe that Metal Gear is the fifth strongest series in this contest (and if it’s behind Mega Man, it’s not by much), and I still believe that Final Fantasy is stronger than the Legend of Zelda. Mega Man was able to avoid the tripling against Final Fantasy (albeit barely), so I believe Metal Gear can avoid the tripling here. It might be close, but I think it can manage that much. The performance Super Smash Brothers put up on Super Mario Brothers gives me a little more hope, though I’m more feeling that shows that even Mario’s series isn’t on the same level as Final Fantasy and the Legend of Zelda. Leonhart’s Prediction: The Legend of Zelda with 69.69% Yoblazer’s Analysis In terms of percentage beatdowns, we have not seen any entrant in contest history as dominant as The Legend of Zelda. It has brought down the hammer in each of its three matches, perfectly playing the role of an unrelenting, merciless machine every single time. Seriously, 85% on Metroid? WHAT THE **** IS THAT? Of course, there is a reason for Zelda's jaw dropping performances (other than its own awesome strength). Not counting Civilization, which was fodder, Zelda has been put in a pair of SFF matches. Mega Man X's main power unquestionably comes from his SNES games, basically rendering it a Nintendo series. Metroid, as we all know, has a very spotty history when facing other Nintendo entities, and Zelda took advantage of that very well. Metal Gear is a slightly different animal. As of now, it can claim to be one of the five most popular series on GameFAQs, but more importantly, it shares absolutely no fanbase overlap with Zelda (well, none in the traditional SFF sense), so this will be the Legend of Zelda's first match against a non-fodder, non-Nintendo entity. Will it still win comfortably? Yes. Will it look as dominant as it has been the past four weeks? No. Time to show us you're in this to win it all, Link! The Legend of Zelda + Two of the four most popular games on the site + Many more popular games + The holy grail of Nintendo fans + SFF wrecking machine + Credibility up the wazoo + First three wins have been incredible - None here Metal Gear + Three very popular games in the last eight years + Tons of credibility and some old school influence + Spans a surprising amount of consoles and eras - It's simply outclassed My prediction: The Legend of Zelda def. Metal Gear (72-28) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 10:05:59 PM | message detail | #481 |
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HM’s Analysis The Legend of Zelda Previous Matches : The Legend of Zelda – 89.97% -- 100,163 Civilization – 10.03% -- 11,169 The Legend of Zelda – 80.32% -- 104,400 Mega Man X – 19.68% -- 25,577 The Legend of Zelda – 84.7% -- 114,009 Metroid – 15.3% -- 20,595 Metal Gear Previous Matches : Metal Gear – 69.89% -- 77,349 Soul Calibur – 30.11% -- 33,321 Metal Gear – 65.23% -- 74,017 Fire Emblem – 34.77% -- 39,457 Metal Gear – 58.31% -- 80,177 Kingdom Hearts – 41.69% -- 57,336 Woohoo! We’re finally at the end of the contest and the final four contestants to make it are no surprise at all. However, even with the four strongest series from each division making it out, this match still isn’t going to be close, unfortunately. The Legend of Zelda has sported an extremely impressive run by never falling under 80% and getting 100,000 in every single one of its matches. It looks absolutely monstrous coming into this match. On the other hand, Metal Gear had a pretty impressive run through its division too. My prediction of Metal Gear never falling under 58% turned out to be true, which was great for me, and it never once had any trouble with the competitors it faced. Last round, The Legend of Zelda pretty much dominated as expected. It was an obvious match filled to the brim with SFF, which ended up making the stats for this match look really funny when unadjusted. Alongside the continued domination, Zelda also put up an impressive 114,000 individual votes, which I believe is a record. It seems to just be picking up steam as we go along here. It will be very interesting to see if it can once again put forth another 100,000 vote gain against something like Metal Gear, which will have absolutely no SFF to speak of in the match. In the Snake Division, Metal Gear was able to easily dispose of Kingdom Hearts. The upset that many felt was possible before the contest began was crushed right off the bat when Metal Gear put up 60%+ numbers. Not even with Metal Gear’s bad day vote could stop that match from being ugly. The good thing about this match more than anything was that Metal Gear’s hopes of snatching up that fourth strongest series are still very well alive. Now, more than anything, we get to see Metal Gear’s true strength against Zelda. There should be no SFF, no strange occurrence, and no way to under perform. The most interesting thing about this match will be to see how well Metal Gear can do. Depending on how well it does will determine where it sits in the final stats. For Zelda, this match means trying to impress enough to shock the masses and for everyone to start giving it a chance against Final Fantasy in the finals. Personally, I have always felt that Metal Gear stood a very good chance at avoiding the doubling here, and I’m going to stick by that even now. Metal Gear, to my knowledge, has never gone up against something Zelda related. Solid Snake has never faced Link in a contest before, Liquid Snake/Revolver Ocelot never faced Ganondorf in the villains contest, and Metal Gear Solid never faced Ocarina of Time. This should be the first encounter between Metal Gear and Zelda. There should be absolutely no fanbase overlap whatsoever between these two games either, making it even better for Metal Gear since Zelda seems capable of SFFing anything it has a slight relation to. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 10:06:32 PM | message detail | #482 |
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Like I said before, the most important thing to me about this match is
seeing Metal Gear perform will enough to avoid a doubling. If it can do
that, I’ll be ecstatic considering it will have all but wrapped up the
fourth strongest series in this contest. It should get Metal Gear some
more respect among people here, too, since we have some lamers who
think Kingdom Hearts stood a chance (HAW HAW). Besides, this is only
the beginning … 2007 … Believe … Solid Snake > Link … Aitch Emm’s Bracket : The Legend of Zelda Aitch Emm’s Prediction : The Legend of Zelda – 65.2% ; Metal Gear – 34.8% Aitch Emm’s Vote : Metal Gear Mnm’s Analysis Battle Music: Hyrule Temple (SSBM) Busy as usual, so another quick one. I think Metal Gear will probably be at its strongest against Zelda. For some reason, I think Metal Gear does pretty well against Nintendo since the fanbase are about as separate as you can get. The NES games and Twin Snakes aside, Metal Gear is pretty much a Playstation brand, and the majority of its fanbase comes from the Playstation games. To clarify that, Metal Gear is rooted into Playstation the same way that Mega Man is rooted into Nintendo. There may be games on other platforms, but the roots of the fanbase comes from Nintendo/Playstation. Anyways, in Snake's last true test, he performed really well on Mario and got his highest x-stats value. Look for Metal Gear to stand up to the challenge. Sure it is going to get killed, but it will do it in a respectable manner. I wouldn't be surprised if Metal Gear breaks 30%, although asking for much more will be rather optimistic. Zelda has still been a monster in this contest, so Metal Gear better be wary. Bracket: Legend of Zelda Vote: Legend of Zelda Prediction: Legend of Zelda with 72.65% HaRRich’s Analysis Predicted winner: Legend of Zelda Earlier this contest: ---LoZ - 89.97% on Civilization, 80.32% on Mega Man X, 84.7% on Metroid ---MG - 69.89% against Soul Calibur, 65.23% on Fire Emblem, 58.31% on Kingdom Hearts Top 100 List comparison: ---LoZ:OoT - #2, LoZ:LttP - #4, LoZ - #30, LoZ:WW - #45, LoZ:MM - #46 ---MGS - #8, MGS3 - #21, MGS2 - #41 Best Game Ever x-stat comparison: ---LoZ:OoT - 46.18% (32-64 Division runner-up), LoZ:LttP - 41.61% (16 Division runner-up), LoZ:WW - 37.29% (was behind Starcraft), LoZ - 34.49% (8 Divison runner-up) ---MGS2 - 32.52% , MGS - 28.7% (may have been SFF'd by FF7), MG - 14.13% Huzzah for the Final Four, where we can finally get our best ideas possible on LoZ/FF before it actually happens. That said, I'm tired and I want to finish off this analysis...so check this: Link > Solid Snake, Zelda gets 45% on Solid, Ganon is arguably the most likely to upset Solid, LoZ's biggest game getting 46.18% against FF7 > MG's biggest game getting 28.7% on FF7, LoZ:WW would be able to compete with or beat MGS2 or MGS3, the original LoZ would beat the ever-loving hell out of the original MG games (pre-MGS) and it very well could beat MGS2 or MGS3. LoZ has two games in the top five of the Top 100 List while MGS had one game in the top twenty (though I bet MGS3 would have broke in now that MGS3:S is out, being #21 and all), any LoZ match has been more impressive than any MG match, and Nintendo > Konami here. Enjoy the match, MG -- you deserved to barely lose to SMB in the championship this contest..... Legend of Zelda wins with 67.12% |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/29/2006 10:07:48 PM | message detail | #483 |
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Lopen’s Analysis Zelda's track record: Fodder->Sorta SFF Match->Hardcore SFF Match. Tough road, I know. Now we finally get to see how powerful it really is. Will it win? Of course it'll win! (Prove me wrong, please!) I'm just going to try and track a percentage, here. No no… don't worry, I'm going to go off on a tangent about Mega Man first! Alright, so before the contest, I was thinking that Mega Man just might be a more popular series than Metal Gear here… I mean Mega Man firmly beats Snake every time, right? I still think that's possible right now… Mega Man didn't totally collapse against the evil FF. And Metal Gear might've done better on KH (because I'm pretty sure KH would beat Mario Kart) than it should've because of a less severe case of the ole Snake/Sora fishiness. Metal Gear fans like their RPGs, what can I say? Fear not! I'm going somewhere with this… analogy time! Final Fantasy : Mega Man :: (Legend of Zelda + 8) : Metal Gear. Whaddaya mean "Legend of Zelda + 8" doesn't make sense? Work on your Maths, kid. Lopen's Prediction: Legend of Zelda with 66.50% Comments: Metal Gear doesn't get doubled = screwed LoZ Metal Gear doesn't get tripled = screwed FF Metal Gear falls in between = Just right |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/29/2006 10:17:23 PM | message detail | #484 |
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Ulti - 73.33 mnm - 72.65 yo - 72.00 Leon - 69.69 Soul - 68.79 Moltar - 68.00 HaRR - 67.12 Lopen - 66.50 HM - 65.20 I've got 1.47% to work with. Make it happen, Zelda! --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Sir Crono | Posted 7/29/2006 10:18:28 PM | message detail | #485 |
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Here's hoping Zelda hovers right around but doesn't quite cross 70%. Though as a Metal Gear fanboy, I hope Heroic Mario's right. --- As you wish. |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/30/2006 12:11:18 AM | message detail | #486 |
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Final Fantasy vs. Resident Evil +9 Ulti +8 HaRRicH +7 mnm (tie) +7 Moltar (tie) +5 Leon +4 HM +3 yo +2 Lopen +1 Soul The Rankings (Through Super Mario Bros./Super Smash Bros.) 1. Master Moltar (128) 2. yoblazer33 (123) 3. XxSoulxX (110) 4. UltimaterializerX (108) 5. Leonhart (103) 6. therealmnm (100) 7. Heroic Mario (93) 8. HaRRicH (84) 9. Lopen (75) Had Final Fantasy finished 00.01% higher, HaRRicH would have gotten the top spot. --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Sir Crono | Posted 7/30/2006 12:12:26 AM | message detail | #487 |
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Ulti's looking good to take this one, too, considering Metal Gear's day vote history. Though the odd thing is...Zelda's percentages have been oddly stable in every match. --- As you wish. |
| H__RR____H | Posted 7/30/2006 2:06:21 AM | message detail | #488 |
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Had Final Fantasy finished 00.01% higher, HaRRicH would have gotten the top spot. **** you, FF. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
| Lugia2 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:17:10 AM | message detail | #489 |
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Zelda is on 71% now...There goes the "No doubling" predictions. Oh
well. Doesn't guarantee a LoZ>FF either. Maybe we can read the tea
leaves of the SMB+FF match. --- VIVA LA REVOLU-er, Wii!! Thank you Nintendo, thank you very much. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/30/2006 11:48:51 AM | message detail | #490 |
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Final Fantasy.............76.06% 103552 Resident Evil..............23.94% 32602 TOTAL VOTES........................136154 87.42% of the brackets predicted this match correctly. As predicted, Resident Evil ends up looking weaker than Mega Man. Final Fantasy triples it easily and once again garners over 100K votes. Today, Legend of Zelda is putting up an impressive performance on Metal Gear. Soul - 5 Ulti - 3 Leon - 3 Yoblazer - 3 Lopen - 3 HaRRich - 3 Moltar - 3 Mnm - 2 HM - 2 Ulti gets the point and joins the rest of the people with 3. --- Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog! Legend of Zelda vs. Metal Gear - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: MG (46/48) |
| HaRRicH | Posted 7/30/2006 2:12:10 PM | message detail | #491 |
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Now that I'm sober and home, I apologize about my rude comment to FF --
it was uncalled for, and overly harsh. Therefore, let me retry this.
Ahem... ...**** you, Final Fantasy. u can teli meen it by the b-tags m i rite --- Miss my Four-Pack Of Fun? Go here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 |
| gtonizuka49 | Posted 7/30/2006 7:43:11 PM | message detail | #492 |
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The Legend of Zelda vs. Metal Gear +9 Ulti +8 mnm +7 yo +6 Leon +5 Soul +4 Moltar +3 HaRRicH +2 Lopen +1 HM The Rankings (Through The Legend of Zelda/Metal Gear) 1. Master Moltar (132) 2. yoblazer33 (130) 3. UltimaterializerX (117) 4. XxSoulxX (115) 5. Leonhart (109) 6. therealmnm (108) 7. Heroic Mario (94) 8. HaRRicH (87) 9. Lopen (77) One might say that it's now a two-horse race for the top spot, but Ulti's really been on fire lately, so nothing is certain. Plus, with this great performance by Zelda, we might get an Analysis Crew split for the final match. --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Sir Crono | Posted 7/30/2006 8:10:23 PM | message detail | #493 |
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I can still get 3rd, I can still get 3rd. --- As you wish. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 7/30/2006 8:59:55 PM | message detail | #494 |
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New topic is up, so you can just get this to 500...if you want. --- Moltar Status: Wanting you to Nominate Shadow the Hedgehog! Legend of Zelda vs. Metal Gear - Bracket: LoZ - Vote: MG (46/48) |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 7/30/2006 9:01:17 PM | message detail | #495 |
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500? --- - "ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune stingers, Rad, longblade, and Ryoko owned me in a sig bet and all I got was this lousy T-Shirt |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 7/30/2006 9:01:36 PM | message detail | #496 |
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LoZ > FF Book it. --- - "ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune stingers, Rad, longblade, and Ryoko owned me in a sig bet and all I got was this lousy T-Shirt |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 7/30/2006 9:02:18 PM | message detail | #497 |
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Ariel > Snake --- Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your WOOOOOOOOORLD!!! |
| Sir Crono | Posted 7/30/2006 9:02:22 PM | message detail | #498 |
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Leonhart > Soul Book it. --- As you wish. |
| FlamboyantSpy | Posted 7/30/2006 9:02:34 PM | message detail | #499 |
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EC > SOWL --- Explicit Content Cheer Up Emo Kids - Team Tranny Did! |
| Sir Crono | Posted 7/30/2006 9:02:45 PM | message detail | #500 |
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Jack Sparrow > Ariel --- As you wish. |
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